- The trend backdrop is active with a 198-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BPE
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
BPER Banca SpA · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
14.58 EUR
3.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 4.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
79
out of 100
Latest Close
14.58 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
25.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.3%.
Indicator stack
100/74
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 65.78%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 4.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8412-week average 0.73
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.84Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.3% over four weeks, 25.1% over 12 weeks, and 77.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 198 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak198 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change14.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
1 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Financial Services
4-week rank17 / 31
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth67.7%
Trend67.7%active weekly trend signals
MD67.7%positive activity pressure
RS45.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Banks - Regional
4-week rank10 / 12
Group average7.1%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD83.3%positive activity pressure
RS83.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape80/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 80/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis77/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.84; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 65.78%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 65.78% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
BPER Banca (BIT:BPE) Valuation Check After Sondrio Absorption And Strong Q1 2026 Profit Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 14.58 EUR | 3.7% | 12.07 EUR | 6.69 EUR | 1.25 | 14.55 | 50.3M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 14.07 EUR | 1.1% | 11.96 EUR | 6.62 EUR | 1.21 | 14.47 | 37.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 13.91 EUR | 1.5% | 11.87 EUR | 6.54 EUR | 1.16 | 14.68 | 36.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 13.70 EUR | -2.0% | 11.77 EUR | 6.47 EUR | 1.10 | 13.58 | 34.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.98 EUR | 0.2% | 11.68 EUR | 6.40 EUR | 1.09 | 15.08 | 34.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 13.95 EUR | 3.6% | 11.56 EUR | 6.32 EUR | 0.93 | 15.24 | 5.7M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 13.46 EUR | -2.4% | 11.42 EUR | 6.25 EUR | 0.60 | 15.46 | 4.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 13.80 EUR | 5.8% | 11.30 EUR | 6.17 EUR | 0.34 | 15.60 | 18.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 13.04 EUR | 11.8% | 11.16 EUR | 6.10 EUR | 0.10 | 12.87 | 13.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 11.67 EUR | 0.4% | 11.05 EUR | 6.03 EUR | -0.14 | 4.85 | 4.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 11.62 EUR | 1.1% | 10.99 EUR | 5.97 EUR | 0.03 | 4.55 | 40.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 11.49 EUR | -1.4% | 10.93 EUR | 5.91 EUR | -0.01 | 4.96 | 48.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 11.65 EUR | -2.3% | 10.85 EUR | 5.85 EUR | -0.19 | 7.74 | 42.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 11.93 EUR | -0.3% | 10.75 EUR | 5.79 EUR | -0.15 | 10.57 | 61.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.