- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
GKP
OSL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
22.15 NOK
0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -2.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
22.15 NOK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 25 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.92% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 30.92%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -2.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.9% over four weeks, -6.5% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
2 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2414 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split8/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNO Energy
4-week rank40 / 45
Group average5.6%
Trend breadth48.9%
Trend48.9%active weekly trend signals
MD24.4%positive activity pressure
RS46.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNO Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank11 / 13
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.92%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.92% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Gulf Keystone Increases Shaikan Production as It Seeks Long-Term Export Agreements (GKP) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 22.15 NOK | 0.7% | - | 24.19 NOK | 0.00 | - | 5.9K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 22.00 NOK | 0.0% | - | 24.27 NOK | 0.00 | - | 8.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 22.00 NOK | -2.7% | - | 24.37 NOK | 0.00 | - | 11.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 22.60 NOK | -0.9% | - | 24.48 NOK | 0.00 | - | 18.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 22.80 NOK | 0.2% | - | 24.57 NOK | 0.00 | - | 5.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 22.75 NOK | 0.2% | - | 24.66 NOK | 0.00 | - | 840 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 22.70 NOK | -3.0% | - | 24.76 NOK | 0.00 | - | 3.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 23.40 NOK | 6.4% | - | 24.87 NOK | 0.00 | - | 1.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 22.00 NOK | -6.6% | - | 24.96 NOK | 0.00 | - | 880 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 23.55 NOK | 9.0% | - | 25.14 NOK | 0.00 | - | 5.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 21.60 NOK | -6.5% | - | 25.25 NOK | 0.00 | - | 32.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 23.10 NOK | -2.5% | - | 25.51 NOK | 0.00 | - | 12.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 23.70 NOK | 0.0% | - | 25.70 NOK | 0.00 | - | 6.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 23.70 NOK | -6.7% | - | 25.86 NOK | 0.00 | - | 8.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.