METSB HEL Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Metsä Board Oyj · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Latest close 3.34 EUR
13.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.7%, after a 24.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 3.34 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 13.7% latest completed week
4W Return 24.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.88% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.7%, after a 24.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 24.2% over four weeks, 17.9% over 12 weeks, and 2.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.7%
4W24.2%
12W17.9%
26W12.5%
52W2.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change148.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change124.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+13.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.34 EUR13.7%2.89 EUR4.69 EUR0.384.272.8MOff
31 Jul 20262.94 EUR5.1%2.89 EUR4.72 EUR-0.36-8.452.1MOff
24 Jul 20262.80 EUR1.9%2.90 EUR4.75 EUR-1.00-13.121.4MOff
17 Jul 20262.74 EUR2.0%2.90 EUR4.77 EUR-1.06-15.131.4MOff
10 Jul 20262.69 EUR-2.7%2.91 EUR4.80 EUR-0.78-17.431.4MOff
3 Jul 20262.77 EUR0.7%2.92 EUR4.82 EUR-0.60-17.03248.8KOff
26 Jun 20262.75 EUR-2.9%2.92 EUR4.85 EUR-0.41-16.62484.1KOff
19 Jun 20262.83 EUR1.5%2.93 EUR4.87 EUR-0.34-16.101.2MOff
12 Jun 20262.79 EUR-3.1%2.93 EUR4.90 EUR-0.50-19.29359.1KOff
5 Jun 20262.88 EUR-1.0%2.93 EUR4.92 EUR-0.54-18.99185.7KOff
29 May 20262.91 EUR0.1%2.93 EUR4.95 EUR-0.27-18.71929.0KOff
22 May 20262.90 EUR2.5%2.93 EUR4.98 EUR-0.19-19.771.3MOff
15 May 20262.83 EUR-4.0%2.94 EUR5.00 EUR-0.13-19.651.3MOff
8 May 20262.95 EUR3.7%2.93 EUR5.03 EUR-0.03-16.662.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context