- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 63.26% based on similar historical setup states.
ORK
OSL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Orkla ASA · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
105.3 NOK
-0.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
105.3 NOK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%.
Indicator stack
25/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 63.26%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.27
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, -5.1% over 12 weeks, and 0.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change64.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-35.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
4 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNO Consumer Defensive
4-week rank18 / 27
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth14.8%
Trend14.8%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNO Packaged Foods
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average8.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 63.26%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 63.26% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
Orkla Snacks acquires The European Candy Group B.V. to support continued BUBS growth Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 105.3 NOK | -0.1% | 109.9 NOK | 89.38 NOK | -0.28 | -12.26 | 4.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 105.4 NOK | 3.3% | 109.9 NOK | 89.11 NOK | -0.37 | -12.20 | 3.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 102.0 NOK | -4.9% | 109.9 NOK | 88.84 NOK | -0.46 | -14.91 | 7.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 107.2 NOK | 1.4% | 110.0 NOK | 88.60 NOK | -0.54 | -8.64 | 7.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 105.7 NOK | -2.1% | 110.0 NOK | 88.33 NOK | -0.80 | -9.04 | 7.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 108.0 NOK | 2.6% | 110.0 NOK | 88.06 NOK | -1.03 | -7.85 | 1.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 105.3 NOK | 5.7% | 109.8 NOK | 87.77 NOK | -1.22 | -8.31 | 2.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 99.65 NOK | -0.1% | 109.7 NOK | 87.49 NOK | -1.23 | -15.68 | 3.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 99.75 NOK | 1.9% | 109.7 NOK | 87.24 NOK | -1.08 | -17.80 | 2.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 97.90 NOK | 0.3% | 109.8 NOK | 87.01 NOK | -0.98 | -20.03 | 2.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 97.65 NOK | -7.2% | 109.7 NOK | 86.78 NOK | -0.79 | -20.59 | 15.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 105.2 NOK | -5.2% | 109.7 NOK | 86.56 NOK | -0.72 | -16.82 | 12.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 111.0 NOK | 0.1% | 109.6 NOK | 86.30 NOK | -0.67 | -11.64 | 4.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 110.9 NOK | -2.9% | 109.2 NOK | 86.02 NOK | -0.52 | -9.94 | 6.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.