- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ALAQU
PAR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Aquila SA · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Latest close
3.80 EUR
2.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
3.80 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.2x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.73% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%.
Indicator stack
49/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.73%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 0.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7712-week average 0.49
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, 9.6% over 12 weeks, and 4.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change2.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-78.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-7.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFR Industrials
4-week rank70 / 98
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD57.1%positive activity pressure
RS45.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFR Security & Protection Services
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.77; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.73%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.73% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.80 EUR | 2.7% | 3.49 EUR | 3.31 EUR | 1.18 | 1.15 | 2.8K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.70 EUR | -3.1% | 3.47 EUR | 3.31 EUR | 1.15 | 0.70 | 63 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.82 EUR | 3.2% | 3.46 EUR | 3.31 EUR | 1.30 | 5.53 | 1.5K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.70 EUR | -2.6% | 3.45 EUR | 3.31 EUR | 1.14 | 2.61 | 633 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.80 EUR | 1.6% | 3.44 EUR | 3.32 EUR | 1.15 | 5.31 | 1.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.74 EUR | 3.9% | 3.43 EUR | 3.32 EUR | 1.15 | 1.61 | 400 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.60 EUR | -3.2% | 3.41 EUR | 3.32 EUR | 1.03 | -0.80 | 84 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.72 EUR | 3.3% | 3.41 EUR | 3.32 EUR | 1.03 | 1.90 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.60 EUR | 2.9% | 3.40 EUR | 3.32 EUR | 0.96 | -0.70 | 3.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.50 EUR | 1.7% | 3.40 EUR | 3.33 EUR | 0.79 | -2.11 | 44 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.44 EUR | 0.9% | 3.40 EUR | 3.33 EUR | 1.01 | -3.61 | 2.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.41 EUR | -1.6% | 3.41 EUR | 3.33 EUR | 0.51 | -3.91 | 1.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.47 EUR | -7.0% | 3.42 EUR | 3.34 EUR | 0.16 | -0.82 | 1.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.73 EUR | 14.3% | 3.42 EUR | 3.35 EUR | -0.23 | 4.13 | 5.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.