Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier
ARIS earnings intelligence
Aris Mining CorporationBasic Materials · Gold · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Results and price are diverging
The sign of the earnings surprise has often differed from the direction of the next completed weekly close.
Evidence92/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Wednesday 4 November 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026
66event risk
Elevated
Countdown23 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.53 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+155.5%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement8.7%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Three-year relationship unavailable
The 156-week price window contains a material history gap.
Beat rate54.5%6 beats in 11 measured quarters
Average surprise-2.8%median 1.7%
Delivery streak33 consecutive beats
Average response+3.1%11 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation33%same directional sign
Surprise variability26.1 ptspopulation dispersion
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth96.3%year on year
Average surprise-5.4%latest four quarters
SUE-0.33standardised surprise
Net margin22.4%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.42xcash flow / net income
P/E12.6xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness93%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close17.33 USDcompleted week
13-week return19.0%price momentum
Fair-value gap114.2%price versus current fair value
Relative strength1.0exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week statePositive56.2%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period29 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.47 / 0.39USD
Surprise+20.5%Beat
EPS growth+104.3%year on year
Revenue / growth330227000+62.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.9% / +42.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.60 / 0.59USD
Surprise+1.7%Beat
EPS growth+275.0%year on year
Revenue / growth372479000+136.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.2% / +1.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period11 Mar 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.46 / 0.43USD
Surprise+7.0%Beat
EPS growth+228.6%year on year
Revenue / growth308565000- · USD
Next close / four weeks- / +8.2%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.21 / 0.42USD
Surprise-50.6%Miss
EPS growth-39.0%year on year
Revenue / growth258115000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-0.5% / +17.1%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.23 / 0.31USD
Surprise-25.8%Miss
EPS growth-20.7%year on year
Revenue / growth203456000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+5.1% / +22.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.16 / 0.17USD
Surprise-5.9%Miss
EPS growth-52.9%year on year
Revenue / growth157528000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+13.1% / +22.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.14 / 0.18USD
Surprise-22.2%Miss
EPS growth+423.3%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+11.1% / +11.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.34 / 0.30USD
Surprise+13.3%Beat
EPS growth+209.1%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-10.1% / -12.6%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.29 / 0.24USD
Surprise+20.8%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.3% / +8.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.34 / 0.24USD
Surprise+41.7%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-2.5% / -5.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.04 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+14.7% / +22.9%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.11 / 0.16USD
Surprise-31.2%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-9.0% / +20.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.