US Equity ยท NYSE ยท Earnings Dossier

AG earnings intelligence

First Majestic Silver Corp

Basic Materials ยท Silver ยท USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery under pressure

Estimate misses and negative next-close reactions have appeared together often enough to warrant caution.

Evidence95/100 ยท Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Thursday 5 November 2026

Before the open ยท Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

59event risk

Elevated

Countdown23 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.20 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+185.7%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement8.0%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate25.0%3 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise-80.5%median -18.0%
Delivery streak22 consecutive misses
Average response-2.0%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation90%same directional sign
Surprise variability141.3 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Oct 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth98.0%year on year
Average surprise-6.3%latest four quarters
SUE-0.22standardised surprise
Net margin21.1%trailing basis
Cash conversion2.00xcash flow / net income
P/E24.5xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness93%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 9 Oct 2026
Weekly close17.28 USDcompleted week
13-week return2.0%price momentum
Fair-value gap62.0%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-16.6exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided53.2%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period30 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.21 / 0.25USD
Surprise-16.0%Miss
EPS growth+425.0%year on year
Revenue / growth415499000+57.0% ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-7.8% / +29.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 May 202631 Mar 2026 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.31 / 0.32USD
Surprise-3.1%Miss
EPS growth+520.0%year on year
Revenue / growth470065323+91.1% ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-6.6% / -22.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period19 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.30 / 0.23USD
Surprise+30.4%Beat
EPS growth+900.0%year on year
Revenue / growth471054086- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+20.0% / -1.7%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period5 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.07 / 0.11USD
Surprise-36.4%Miss
EPS growth+333.3%year on year
Revenue / growth286723000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-10.6% / +19.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period14 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.04 / 0.05USD
Surprise-20.0%Miss
EPS growth+157.1%year on year
Revenue / growth264726000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+2.8% / +6.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202531 Mar 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.05 / 0.07USD
Surprise-24.4%Miss
EPS growth+200.0%year on year
Revenue / growth245992000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-0.2% / +4.5%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate0.03 / 0.03USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth+200.0%year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+2.0% / +22.9%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.03 / 0.01USD
Surprise-400.0%Miss
EPS growth+25.0%year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-9.9% / -14.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period1 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.07 / -0.02USD
Surprise-250.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-13.4% / -0.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 May 202431 Mar 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.05 / -0.07USD
Surprise+28.6%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+8.8% / +6.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Feb 202431 Dec 2023 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.03 / -0.04USD
Surprise+25.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+2.2% / +24.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period2 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.04 / 0.02USD
Surprise-300.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-11.5% / +3.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ยฑ0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context