Move decomposition
Earnings contribution and valuation offset
The market move is separated into the change in trailing earnings power and the offset from relative valuation.
US Equity · NASDAQ · Earnings Dossier
GCT earnings intelligence
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary SharesTechnology · Software - Infrastructure · USD reporting basis
Current earnings profile
Delivery and acceptance aligned
Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery.
Evidence95/100 · Deep
Next scheduled catalyst
Thursday 5 November 2026
Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026
79event risk
High
Countdown23 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate1.28 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+10.3%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement17.7%average absolute next weekly close
Three-year earnings transmission
Delivered earnings power versus market price
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 5 updates. Both series begin at 100, so the gap isolates the relative change in price and trailing earnings power.
Market move569.7%2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09
Earnings move303.5%trailing diluted EPS
Unresolved spread-266.2 ptsWidening
Current multiple12.4xprice divided by TTM EPS
Relationship pressure97/100Extreme
Model confidence76/100High
Relationship controls
What qualifies the headline spread
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Expectations stretched
Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power.
Starting-base sensitivity
The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale.
Model qualification
The three-year starting earnings level was unusually depressed.
Model qualification
The earnings move is exceptionally large and should be read with its quality confirmation.
Beat rate91.7%11 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+51.0%median 55.9%
Delivery streak66 consecutive beats
Average response+7.6%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation64%same directional sign
Surprise variability25.4 ptspopulation dispersion
Estimate delivery
Actual EPS versus consensus
Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.
Price acceptance
Surprise and next weekly close
The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.
Fundamental delivery
Quarterly revenue and net income
Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.
Transmission matrix
Does price confirm delivery?
Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.
Current business context
Growth, quality and valuation
EPS growth17.1%year on year
Revenue growth22.9%year on year
Average surprise56.4%latest four quarters
SUE1.77standardised surprise
Net margin10.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion1.01xcash flow / net income
P/E13.1xcurrent snapshot
Data completeness100%alphavantage
Market context
Positioning into the event
Weekly close57.26 USDcompleted week
13-week return66.4%price momentum
Fair-value gap97.4%price versus current fair value
Relative strength22.4exchange benchmark
Trend signalActiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided49.5%
Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.
Reported evidence ledger
Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance
Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period6 Aug 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.16 / 0.85USD
Surprise+36.5%Beat
EPS growth+27.5%year on year
Revenue / growth411643000+27.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks+21.7% / +21.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.24 / 0.72USD
Surprise+72.2%Beat
EPS growth+49.4%year on year
Revenue / growth359488000+32.2% · USD
Next close / four weeks-10.9% / -20.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period26 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.04 / 0.65USD
Surprise+60.0%Beat
EPS growth+38.7%year on year
Revenue / growth362747000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+26.6% / +15.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.16 / 0.74USD
Surprise+56.8%Beat
EPS growth+0.9%year on year
Revenue / growth332638000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+18.3% / +32.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.91 / 0.46USD
Surprise+97.8%Beat
EPS growth-11.7%year on year
Revenue / growth322606000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+37.9% / +26.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.83 / 0.53USD
Surprise+56.6%Beat
EPS growth-1.2%year on year
Revenue / growth271906000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+30.2% / +28.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period3 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.75 / 0.82USD
Surprise-8.5%Miss
EPS growth-13.8%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-7.3% / -10.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period8 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.15 / 0.67USD
Surprise+71.6%Beat
EPS growth+94.9%year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-8.1% / +8.8%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period6 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate1.03 / 0.79USD
Surprise+30.4%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-12.2% / -23.9%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 May 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.84 / 0.63USD
Surprise+33.3%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+0.2% / -16.4%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.87 / 0.58USD
Surprise+50.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks-21.7% / +1.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period30 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.59 / 0.38USD
Surprise+55.3%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- · USD
Next close / four weeks+17.2% / +47.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reproducible method
How the earnings dossier is measured
Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.
The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.
Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.
Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.