US Equity · NYSE · Earnings Dossier

CLF earnings intelligence

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc

Basic Materials · Steel · USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Mixed earnings transmission

Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern.

Evidence100/100 · Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Monday 19 October 2026

Time unconfirmed · Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

64event risk

Elevated

Countdown67 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate0.16 USDprovider consensus
Estimate growth+135.6%versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement12.3%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power must be positive through the latest visible week.

Beat rate50.0%6 beats in 12 measured quarters
Average surprise+57.0%median 2.4%
Delivery streak33 consecutive beats
Average response-0.3%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation80%same directional sign
Surprise variability179.2 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 9 Aug 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth4.0%year on year
Average surprise8.2%latest four quarters
SUE0.33standardised surprise
Net margin-4.6%trailing basis
Cash conversion-0.41xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness79%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 7 Aug 2026
Weekly close12.26 USDcompleted week
13-week return11.3%price momentum
Fair-value gap-6.0%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-5.1exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateUndecided50.0%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period23 Jul 202630 Jun 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.20 / -0.21USD
Surprise+4.8%Beat
EPS growth+60.0%year on year
Revenue / growth5226000000+5.9% · USD
Next close / four weeks+28.6% / -completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Apr 202631 Mar 2026 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.40 / -0.42USD
Surprise+4.8%Beat
EPS growth+56.5%year on year
Revenue / growth4922000000+6.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.8% / +3.7%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Feb 202631 Dec 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.43 / -0.56USD
Surprise+23.2%Beat
EPS growth+36.8%year on year
Revenue / growth4313000000-0.3% · USD
Next close / four weeks-29.5% / -33.3%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period20 Oct 202530 Sep 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.45 / -0.45USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-36.4%year on year
Revenue / growth4734000000+3.6% · USD
Next close / four weeks-1.4% / -19.4%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Jul 202530 Jun 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.50 / -0.67USD
Surprise+25.4%Beat
EPS growth-554.5%year on year
Revenue / growth4934000000-3.1% · USD
Next close / four weeks+20.7% / +9.8%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period7 May 202531 Mar 2025 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.92 / -0.83USD
Surprise-10.8%Miss
EPS growth-611.1%year on year
Revenue / growth4629000000-11.0% · USD
Next close / four weeks-21.2% / -34.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period24 Feb 202531 Dec 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.68 / -0.67USD
Surprise-1.5%Miss
EPS growth-1260.0%year on year
Revenue / growth4325000000-15.4% · USD
Next close / four weeks-4.5% / -17.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period4 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.33 / -0.30USD
Surprise-10.0%Miss
EPS growth-161.1%year on year
Revenue / growth4569000000-18.5% · USD
Next close / four weeks-3.0% / -6.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Jul 202430 Jun 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.11 / -0.02USD
Surprise+650.0%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5092000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+2.0% / -17.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period22 Apr 202431 Mar 2024 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.18 / 0.21USD
Surprise-14.3%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5199000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks-14.1% / -15.9%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period29 Jan 202431 Dec 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.05 / -0.05USD
Surprise0.0%In-Line
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5112000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+10.4% / +9.8%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period23 Oct 202330 Sep 2023 · exact
EPS actual / estimate0.54 / 0.48USD
Surprise+12.5%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth5605000000- · USD
Next close / four weeks+9.9% / +16.4%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ±0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context