SET · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BCPG

BCPG Public Company Limited

TH · Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

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EMD SCORE37/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Cautious

The balance of evidence is weakening and risk control deserves more attention. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration60% directional agreement87/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 2 Oct 2026
Latest close: THB 6.45
Evidence: 156 weeks

This report uses 2 Oct 2026. The latest completed calendar week is 9 Oct 2026; newer evidence has not yet reached this listing.

Four-week EMD change-25.2 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-9.8%

completed closing prices

Current directional run3 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency8/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive · 4 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

13 Oct 2023–2 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 35%Current EMD -25.14-week EMD change -25.2Full saved history price range THB 4.81–9.00

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · THB	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-13	7.99	3.6	52	50	83
2023-10-20	7.86	-2.15	49	20	83
2023-10-27	7.95	-2.78	49	0	83
2023-11-03	8.13	0.49	50	20	100
2023-11-10	7.90	-9.0	45	20	100
2023-11-17	7.77	-7.32	46	0	100
2023-11-24	7.81	-12.73	44	20	100
2023-12-01	7.77	-14.62	43	33	100
2023-12-08	7.77	-14.58	43	20	100
2023-12-15	7.73	-10.02	45	20	100
2023-12-22	7.77	-8.74	46	0	100
2023-12-29	7.86	-8.35	46	20	100
2024-01-05	7.77	-17.79	41	50	100
2024-01-12	7.55	-25.54	37	67	100
2024-01-19	7.46	-22.35	39	60	100
2024-01-26	7.37	-19.64	40	33	100
2024-02-02	7.32	-32.81	34	67	100
2024-02-09	7.37	-25.38	37	60	100
2024-02-16	7.37	-32.01	34	60	100
2024-02-23	7.28	-25.82	37	50	100
2024-03-01	7.06	-32.02	34	60	100
2024-03-08	6.69	-42.79	29	67	100
2024-03-15	6.60	-43.19	28	60	100
2024-03-22	6.51	-43.09	28	60	100
2024-03-29	6.33	-36.68	32	33	100
2024-04-05	6.19	-48.29	26	67	100
2024-04-12	6.42	-36.33	32	33	100
2024-04-19	5.69	-53.94	23	67	100
2024-04-26	5.96	-49.29	25	100	100
2024-05-03	6.15	-45.8	27	100	100
2024-05-10	6.01	-52.61	24	100	100
2024-05-17	6.01	-33.84	33	50	100
2024-05-24	5.92	-46.95	27	100	100
2024-05-31	6.05	-35.75	32	60	100
2024-06-07	5.64	-52.25	24	100	100
2024-06-14	5.42	-59.97	20	100	100
2024-06-21	5.55	-33.51	33	60	100
2024-06-28	5.74	-38.62	31	100	100
2024-07-05	5.69	-33.61	33	100	100
2024-07-12	5.92	-20.2	40	20	100
2024-07-19	5.46	-34.84	33	50	100
2024-07-26	5.01	-44.45	28	60	100
2024-08-02	5.01	-41.23	29	67	100
2024-08-09	5.05	-30.98	35	33	100
2024-08-16	5.05	-34.94	33	33	100
2024-08-23	5.46	-20.33	40	0	100
2024-08-30	5.55	-16.96	42	0	100
2024-09-06	6.53	20.65	60	60	100
2024-09-13	6.57	22.18	61	67	100
2024-09-20	6.90	41.36	71	67	100
2024-09-27	6.76	14.91	57	33	100
2024-10-04	6.62	22.07	61	60	100
2024-10-11	6.53	29.16	65	60	100
2024-10-18	6.43	26.25	63	60	100
2024-10-25	6.20	18.37	59	33	100
2024-11-01	6.25	23.77	62	60	100
2024-11-08	5.65	-0.12	50	0	100
2024-11-15	5.14	-23.19	38	50	100
2024-11-22	5.32	-21.77	39	60	100
2024-11-29	5.23	-29.15	35	60	100
2024-12-06	5.37	-30.12	35	60	100
2024-12-13	5.23	-28.33	36	50	100
2024-12-20	4.81	-42.32	29	67	100
2024-12-27	5.28	-22.31	39	33	100
2025-01-03	5.04	-38.43	31	60	100
2025-01-10	5.88	-0.4	50	20	100
2025-01-17	5.74	-2.67	49	20	100
2025-01-24	6.15	30.19	65	100	100
2025-01-31	5.97	12.49	56	60	100
2025-02-07	6.29	47.49	74	100	100
2025-02-14	6.57	58.09	79	100	100
2025-02-21	6.20	31.54	66	60	100
2025-02-28	5.23	-4.32	48	20	100
2025-03-07	5.50	10.27	55	60	100
2025-03-14	5.88	21.39	61	60	100
2025-03-21	6.74	49.66	75	100	100
2025-03-28	6.50	48.14	74	100	100
2025-04-04	6.26	41.37	71	60	100
2025-04-11	6.12	44.88	72	100	100
2025-04-18	6.69	63.65	82	100	100
2025-04-25	6.50	49.4	75	67	100
2025-05-02	6.60	64.22	82	100	100
2025-05-09	6.45	59.29	80	100	100
2025-05-16	7.07	74.51	87	100	100
2025-05-23	6.41	44.86	72	67	100
2025-05-30	5.88	31.24	66	67	100
2025-06-06	5.88	40.3	70	100	100
2025-06-13	5.59	0.84	50	33	100
2025-06-20	5.16	-14.0	43	33	100
2025-06-27	5.59	1.89	51	0	100
2025-07-04	6.26	28.15	64	60	100
2025-07-11	6.26	22.41	61	50	100
2025-07-18	6.74	36.97	68	67	100
2025-07-25	6.31	19.49	60	60	100
2025-08-01	6.21	10.01	55	20	100
2025-08-08	7.84	81.37	91	100	100
2025-08-15	7.70	49.32	75	67	100
2025-08-22	7.79	70.67	85	100	100
2025-08-29	8.17	65.26	83	67	100
2025-09-05	7.55	53.51	77	67	100
2025-09-12	7.98	72.55	86	100	100
2025-09-19	7.98	69.63	85	100	100
2025-09-26	8.13	73.62	87	100	100
2025-10-03	8.18	71.86	86	100	100
2025-10-10	9.00	81.02	91	100	100
2025-10-17	8.56	64.03	82	67	100
2025-10-24	8.32	58.87	79	67	100
2025-10-31	7.98	55.67	78	67	100
2025-11-07	7.60	39.21	70	60	100
2025-11-14	7.26	24.04	62	33	100
2025-11-21	7.06	13.25	57	20	100
2025-11-28	6.92	5.05	53	20	100
2025-12-05	6.68	-17.5	41	67	100
2025-12-12	6.87	-5.79	47	50	100
2025-12-19	6.58	-21.06	39	67	100
2025-12-26	6.53	-24.35	38	67	100
2026-01-02	6.53	-22.52	39	60	100
2026-01-09	6.68	-17.77	41	33	100
2026-01-16	6.87	-11.98	44	20	100
2026-01-23	6.72	-30.29	35	60	100
2026-01-30	6.87	-19.79	40	50	100
2026-02-06	7.26	-2.5	49	0	100
2026-02-13	7.69	0.96	50	20	100
2026-02-20	8.03	21.82	61	67	100
2026-02-27	7.84	4.36	52	20	100
2026-03-06	7.10	-4.27	48	0	100
2026-03-13	6.30	-14.0	43	0	100
2026-03-20	6.55	-12.99	44	0	100
2026-03-27	6.45	-25.37	37	50	100
2026-04-03	6.65	-23.95	38	50	100
2026-04-10	6.75	-17.84	41	20	100
2026-04-17	6.65	-22.46	39	20	100
2026-04-24	7.00	-9.19	45	0	100
2026-05-01	7.05	-13.92	43	20	100
2026-05-08	7.60	7.16	54	50	100
2026-05-15	7.20	-5.39	47	0	100
2026-05-22	6.80	-17.5	41	20	100
2026-05-29	6.75	-19.33	40	50	100
2026-06-05	6.75	-25.66	37	60	100
2026-06-12	6.50	-28.16	36	50	100
2026-06-19	7.35	4.41	52	20	100
2026-06-26	6.95	2.25	51	20	100
2026-07-03	7.15	10.18	55	60	100
2026-07-10	7.30	23.16	62	67	100
2026-07-17	7.50	27.99	64	67	100
2026-07-24	7.40	23.79	62	60	100
2026-07-31	7.10	13.09	57	60	100
2026-08-07	6.91	3.83	52	20	100
2026-08-14	6.86	-15.1	42	60	100
2026-08-21	7.06	-4.85	48	20	100
2026-08-28	7.15	0.87	50	0	100
2026-09-04	7.15	0.13	50	20	100
2026-09-11	7.20	3.79	52	33	100
2026-09-18	6.60	-25.95	37	33	100
2026-09-25	6.70	-16.05	42	50	100
2026-10-02	6.45	-25.12	37	60	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct
Trend	9	8	23	27	56	41	21	21	22	12	54	69	80	86	91	87	72	60	23	33	38	38	77	13	19	10
Momentum	70	58	74	69	76	64	42	41	40	47	78	68	73	79	71	73	58	44	44	56	67	72	77	44	48	39
Underlying pressure	35	32	33	34	47	58	57	52	38	28	37	44	56	72	77	82	80	72	54	43	42	50	61	57	47	33
Price & volume	49	47	58	44	62	43	45	53	47	49	71	51	47	56	66	50	46	50	39	57	59	43	0	0	40	44
Relative strength	4	4	11	9	23	11	4	3	3	2	10	7	6	7	10	8	6	5	5	7	12	12	13	6	6	6
Modeled Trend	64	63	63	61	61	61	62	63	63	64	67	70	73	76	78	81	83	84	85	86	85	86	86	85	84	83

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

83/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

6/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER+7.1%

Median price return · 11 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -12.7% to +30.6%
Positive returns: 82%
All-period comparison: +0.7% median

13 WEEKS LATER+14.3%

Median price return · 6 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: +3.2% to +54.6%
Positive returns: 100%
All-period comparison: +2.5% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

13 Mar 2026Down-cycle confirmedTHB 6.30

7 Nov 2025Down-cycle confirmedTHB 7.60

8 Aug 2025Upper cycle zone confirmedTHB 7.84

4 Jul 2025Up-cycle confirmedTHB 6.26

10 Jan 2025Up-cycle confirmedTHB 5.88

6 Sep 2024Up-cycle confirmedTHB 6.53

5 Apr 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedTHB 6.19

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS