NYSE · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

EPRT

Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc

US · Real Estate · Reit - Retail

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EMD SCORE29/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Defensive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly cautious. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration60% directional agreement87/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: USD 25.37
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-6.8 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-10.8%

completed closing prices

Current directional run11 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency2/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

1 supportive · 4 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

20 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 13%Current EMD -41.44-week EMD change -6.8Full saved history price range USD 18.88–33.99

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · USD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-20	18.88	-44.7	28	60	83
2023-10-27	19.12	-33.47	33	50	83
2023-11-03	21.15	-9.92	45	20	83
2023-11-10	20.55	-18.31	41	33	100
2023-11-17	21.11	-1.06	49	0	100
2023-11-24	21.49	3.54	52	0	100
2023-12-01	22.24	16.9	58	60	100
2023-12-08	22.02	8.94	54	20	100
2023-12-15	23.30	32.01	66	67	100
2023-12-22	23.42	31.47	66	67	100
2023-12-29	23.41	31.93	66	33	100
2024-01-05	23.33	44.36	72	100	100
2024-01-12	23.57	31.72	66	33	100
2024-01-19	22.93	31.98	66	60	100
2024-01-26	22.64	23.18	62	33	100
2024-02-02	22.70	21.57	61	33	100
2024-02-09	22.52	23.74	62	67	100
2024-02-16	22.61	26.02	63	67	100
2024-02-23	22.49	17.14	59	60	100
2024-03-01	22.32	17.81	59	60	100
2024-03-08	22.83	21.91	61	60	100
2024-03-15	23.23	21.07	61	50	100
2024-03-22	23.52	23.87	62	60	100
2024-03-29	24.68	42.21	71	67	100
2024-04-05	23.63	23.44	62	33	100
2024-04-12	23.55	22.07	61	33	100
2024-04-19	23.59	38.73	69	100	100
2024-04-26	23.78	22.6	61	33	100
2024-05-03	24.91	49.48	75	100	100
2024-05-10	25.13	51.24	76	100	100
2024-05-17	25.49	57.54	79	100	100
2024-05-24	24.94	40.43	70	60	100
2024-05-31	24.79	46.82	73	100	100
2024-06-07	25.41	51.68	76	100	100
2024-06-14	25.55	47.2	74	100	100
2024-06-21	24.86	20.78	60	33	100
2024-06-28	25.92	61.62	81	100	100
2024-07-05	26.18	53.41	77	100	100
2024-07-12	27.39	63.9	82	100	100
2024-07-19	28.78	75.56	88	100	100
2024-07-26	28.43	67.82	84	100	100
2024-08-02	27.47	54.13	77	67	100
2024-08-09	27.45	71.18	86	100	100
2024-08-16	27.80	56.41	78	100	100
2024-08-23	29.58	71.84	86	100	100
2024-08-30	29.85	73.58	87	100	100
2024-09-06	30.01	72.32	86	100	100
2024-09-13	30.69	77.92	89	100	100
2024-09-20	31.90	82.58	91	100	100
2024-09-27	31.94	72.25	86	100	100
2024-10-04	30.56	54.51	77	67	100
2024-10-11	30.67	62.16	81	100	100
2024-10-18	32.22	69.71	85	100	100
2024-10-25	30.75	45.56	73	67	100
2024-11-01	29.85	40.44	70	67	100
2024-11-08	31.22	59.87	80	100	100
2024-11-15	31.00	43.4	72	100	100
2024-11-22	31.57	47.27	74	100	100
2024-11-29	32.17	50.32	75	100	100
2024-12-06	30.82	25.23	63	60	100
2024-12-13	31.04	37.63	69	100	100
2024-12-20	29.74	12.03	56	0	100
2024-12-27	29.56	9.0	55	33	100
2025-01-03	29.99	24.59	62	67	100
2025-01-10	29.12	1.62	51	0	100
2025-01-17	30.19	5.59	53	20	100
2025-01-24	29.91	-1.61	49	20	100
2025-01-31	30.57	8.04	54	33	100
2025-02-07	30.03	-1.32	49	0	100
2025-02-14	29.78	-0.82	50	20	100
2025-02-21	30.36	4.08	52	20	100
2025-02-28	31.16	15.52	58	33	100
2025-03-07	30.75	10.38	55	20	100
2025-03-14	30.19	10.98	55	50	100
2025-03-21	30.21	4.44	52	20	100
2025-03-28	31.04	23.93	62	67	100
2025-04-04	29.52	2.17	51	0	100
2025-04-11	29.54	15.88	58	60	100
2025-04-18	30.95	23.87	62	60	100
2025-04-25	30.49	7.72	54	20	100
2025-05-02	30.74	14.51	57	50	100
2025-05-09	30.90	20.62	60	67	100
2025-05-16	31.01	13.87	57	60	100
2025-05-23	30.63	10.38	55	50	100
2025-05-30	31.23	18.19	59	60	100
2025-06-06	31.25	29.67	65	100	100
2025-06-13	31.13	22.22	61	60	100
2025-06-20	31.08	29.55	65	100	100
2025-06-27	30.68	10.83	55	33	100
2025-07-04	31.08	21.95	61	67	100
2025-07-11	30.66	16.85	58	60	100
2025-07-18	29.57	-13.64	43	50	100
2025-07-25	29.70	-10.65	45	50	100
2025-08-01	29.62	-16.76	42	60	100
2025-08-08	29.31	-23.59	38	60	100
2025-08-15	29.50	-14.12	43	0	100
2025-08-22	30.38	-9.44	45	0	100
2025-08-29	30.38	-9.93	45	0	100
2025-09-05	29.87	-15.77	42	20	100
2025-09-12	28.94	-30.22	35	60	100
2025-09-19	29.24	-18.82	41	33	100
2025-09-26	28.85	-31.07	34	60	100
2025-10-03	29.27	-27.69	36	60	100
2025-10-10	28.61	-33.75	33	60	100
2025-10-17	30.26	-9.34	45	0	100
2025-10-24	30.51	-8.65	46	20	100
2025-10-31	29.27	-20.54	40	50	100
2025-11-07	29.93	-0.79	50	33	100
2025-11-14	30.23	-2.4	49	33	100
2025-11-21	30.82	8.1	54	33	100
2025-11-28	31.02	5.96	53	20	100
2025-12-05	30.03	-4.63	48	0	100
2025-12-12	29.91	-4.61	48	0	100
2025-12-19	29.79	-5.92	47	20	100
2025-12-26	29.09	-13.19	43	33	100
2026-01-02	29.76	-3.57	48	20	100
2026-01-09	29.17	-14.14	43	20	100
2026-01-16	30.52	4.7	52	20	100
2026-01-23	30.05	-3.48	48	0	100
2026-01-30	30.05	13.38	57	60	100
2026-02-06	31.43	28.12	64	67	100
2026-02-13	31.77	33.8	67	67	100
2026-02-20	32.41	44.59	72	67	100
2026-02-27	33.60	59.02	80	100	100
2026-03-06	33.99	61.74	81	100	100
2026-03-13	32.61	42.15	71	67	100
2026-03-20	31.39	30.98	65	60	100
2026-03-27	30.07	18.74	59	50	100
2026-04-03	30.85	27.22	64	60	100
2026-04-10	32.54	46.17	73	100	100
2026-04-17	33.50	48.83	74	100	100
2026-04-24	31.42	16.53	58	33	100
2026-05-01	30.93	13.31	57	33	100
2026-05-08	31.07	9.34	55	33	100
2026-05-15	29.89	-19.62	40	67	100
2026-05-22	31.00	-5.79	47	20	100
2026-05-29	30.26	-20.25	40	60	100
2026-06-05	29.95	-14.1	43	20	100
2026-06-12	30.55	-6.71	47	0	100
2026-06-19	29.05	-29.34	35	67	100
2026-06-26	30.30	-7.22	46	0	100
2026-07-03	31.18	-1.8	49	0	100
2026-07-10	31.18	-9.83	45	20	100
2026-07-17	33.33	20.23	60	100	100
2026-07-24	32.34	7.14	54	20	100
2026-07-31	31.29	-1.36	49	0	100
2026-08-07	30.63	-8.87	46	20	100
2026-08-14	31.06	-4.63	48	20	100
2026-08-21	30.84	-13.93	43	50	100
2026-08-28	30.00	-20.05	40	50	100
2026-09-04	29.28	-26.89	37	60	100
2026-09-11	28.44	-34.51	33	67	100
2026-09-18	26.42	-49.49	25	67	100
2026-09-25	26.21	-44.08	28	67	100
2026-10-02	25.90	-39.05	30	60	100
2026-10-09	25.37	-41.36	29	60	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	94	76	69	69	20	33	23	20	27	12	25	36	35	56	46	33	24	29	26	17	11	7	2	2	2	1
Momentum	81	74	66	54	44	56	50	45	59	43	58	64	56	72	70	60	54	52	51	52	50	42	37	33	31	29
Underlying pressure	66	70	66	54	34	27	23	22	23	21	25	29	33	50	62	66	66	57	52	44	38	30	21	17	15	15
Price & volume	69	28	41	53	40	60	40	59	61	34	65	66	45	62	38	40	40	61	38	39	35	36	10	35	55	52
Relative strength	48	24	19	16	10	16	10	13	17	8	21	23	21	50	41	26	14	17	19	13	10	8	3	3	2	2
Modeled Trend	89	89	88	88	87	87	86	86	85	84	77	73	71	70	70	69	68	67	66	65	64	64	64	64	63	62

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

62/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Trend

1/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER+1.9%

Median price return · 5 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -11.5% to +14.7%
Positive returns: 60%
All-period comparison: +0.2% median

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

2 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

21 Aug 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 30.84

15 May 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 29.89

27 Mar 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 30.07

19 Dec 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 29.79

27 Jun 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 30.68

4 Apr 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 29.52

20 Dec 2024Down-cycle confirmedUSD 29.74

19 Apr 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 23.59

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS