TAI · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

2049

Hiwin Technologies Corporation

TW · Industrials · Tools & Accessories

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EMD SCORE53/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions remain positive, but momentum has eased.

Constructive fade0% directional agreement68/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 2 Oct 2026
Latest close: TWD 332.50
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-39.3 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-8.4%

completed closing prices

Current directional run30 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency13/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive · 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

29 Sep 2023–2 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 87%Current EMD +6.54-week EMD change -39.3Full saved history price range TWD 182.43–390.22

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · TWD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-09-29	197.60	-60.79	20	100	67
2023-10-06	196.14	-60.87	20	100	67
2023-10-13	202.94	-35.73	32	50	67
2023-10-20	195.17	-45.69	27	100	83
2023-10-27	191.77	-47.51	26	100	83
2023-11-03	195.17	-27.8	36	50	83
2023-11-10	201.48	-19.09	40	50	83
2023-11-17	204.39	-14.62	43	33	83
2023-11-24	225.27	35.58	68	100	83
2023-12-01	220.90	5.76	53	0	83
2023-12-08	216.05	7.87	54	0	83
2023-12-15	222.36	31.65	66	50	83
2023-12-22	226.73	32.29	66	100	83
2023-12-29	228.18	20.46	60	50	83
2024-01-05	219.93	21.25	61	20	83
2024-01-12	218.96	20.52	60	50	83
2024-01-19	209.74	2.7	51	0	83
2024-01-26	210.22	0.72	50	0	83
2024-02-02	213.13	7.22	54	50	83
2024-02-09	212.65	1.93	51	33	83
2024-02-16	224.30	18.46	59	50	83
2024-02-23	247.60	52.53	76	100	83
2024-03-01	231.10	12.45	56	20	83
2024-03-08	230.61	28.61	64	60	83
2024-03-15	231.10	19.51	60	20	83
2024-03-22	240.81	22.64	61	50	83
2024-03-29	265.08	57.42	79	100	83
2024-04-05	261.68	39.66	70	60	83
2024-04-12	245.66	23.86	62	20	83
2024-04-19	221.87	5.99	53	20	83
2024-04-26	227.21	9.98	55	33	83
2024-05-03	222.84	-5.1	47	0	83
2024-05-10	230.13	-1.15	49	0	83
2024-05-17	231.58	5.89	53	20	83
2024-05-24	218.47	-29.26	35	100	83
2024-05-31	216.05	-43.49	28	100	83
2024-06-07	207.79	-57.28	21	100	83
2024-06-14	201.97	-60.22	20	100	83
2024-06-21	203.42	-54.65	23	100	83
2024-06-28	206.82	-46.05	27	60	83
2024-07-05	210.71	-38.25	31	50	83
2024-07-12	221.09	-21.81	39	20	83
2024-07-19	208.80	-53.51	23	100	83
2024-07-26	201.44	-54.17	23	100	83
2024-08-02	199.96	-54.81	23	100	83
2024-08-09	195.05	-49.04	25	60	83
2024-08-16	198.98	-57.03	21	100	83
2024-08-23	205.37	-45.5	27	100	83
2024-08-30	212.24	-24.62	38	20	83
2024-09-06	196.52	-50.81	25	100	83
2024-09-13	199.96	-32.23	34	50	83
2024-09-20	201.44	-42.43	29	100	83
2024-09-27	216.67	-11.85	44	0	83
2024-10-04	212.74	-14.43	43	33	83
2024-10-11	232.39	24.75	62	50	83
2024-10-18	237.30	12.72	56	20	83
2024-10-25	232.88	9.77	55	20	83
2024-11-01	231.90	18.92	59	50	83
2024-11-08	249.09	53.32	77	60	83
2024-11-15	230.42	18.0	59	20	83
2024-11-22	230.91	29.95	65	60	83
2024-11-29	227.47	23.28	62	50	83
2024-12-06	236.32	24.34	62	50	83
2024-12-13	243.69	35.42	68	50	83
2024-12-20	280.54	82.14	91	100	83
2024-12-27	310.51	78.84	89	100	83
2025-01-03	297.73	55.03	78	60	83
2025-01-10	280.04	53.22	77	60	83
2025-01-17	283.48	69.19	85	100	83
2025-01-24	287.91	61.47	81	100	83
2025-02-07	319.35	90.42	95	100	83
2025-02-14	331.63	73.52	87	100	83
2025-02-21	352.76	78.6	89	100	83
2025-02-28	307.56	58.46	79	60	83
2025-03-07	293.80	50.56	75	60	83
2025-03-14	290.36	58.24	79	100	83
2025-03-21	274.15	31.38	66	50	83
2025-03-28	256.95	8.36	54	0	83
2025-04-04	240.74	-7.75	46	33	83
2025-04-11	187.68	-55.39	22	100	83
2025-04-18	187.68	-59.14	20	100	83
2025-04-25	196.52	-41.25	29	60	83
2025-05-02	221.09	-30.82	35	50	83
2025-05-09	204.38	-46.84	27	100	83
2025-05-16	237.79	-9.2	45	20	83
2025-05-23	226.49	-34.28	33	100	83
2025-05-30	220.60	-42.47	29	100	83
2025-06-06	217.65	-41.35	29	100	83
2025-06-13	212.24	-59.11	20	100	83
2025-06-20	200.45	-63.96	18	100	83
2025-06-27	207.82	-55.93	22	100	83
2025-07-04	212.24	-50.52	25	100	83
2025-07-11	204.38	-44.45	28	100	83
2025-07-18	212.26	-29.16	35	50	83
2025-07-25	215.24	-26.57	37	50	83
2025-08-01	212.26	-38.58	31	100	83
2025-08-08	214.75	-21.59	39	20	83
2025-08-15	208.78	-44.98	28	100	83
2025-08-22	201.82	-60.06	20	100	83
2025-08-29	212.26	-40.68	30	100	83
2025-09-05	206.79	-45.76	27	100	83
2025-09-12	216.24	-18.92	41	0	83
2025-09-19	221.71	-6.93	47	0	83
2025-09-26	214.75	-24.44	38	20	83
2025-10-03	215.74	-11.94	44	0	83
2025-10-10	223.20	-4.57	48	33	83
2025-10-17	206.79	-29.39	35	60	83
2025-10-24	220.71	7.51	54	60	83
2025-10-31	222.20	9.11	55	50	83
2025-11-07	212.76	-7.53	46	0	83
2025-11-14	197.35	-33.88	33	60	83
2025-11-21	182.43	-53.69	23	100	83
2025-11-28	191.88	-40.04	30	60	83
2025-12-05	197.35	-49.07	25	100	83
2025-12-12	202.32	-32.55	34	50	83
2025-12-19	194.86	-44.27	28	100	83
2025-12-26	193.37	-50.63	25	100	83
2026-01-02	194.86	-49.2	25	100	83
2026-01-09	195.86	-49.59	25	100	83
2026-01-16	218.23	-2.66	49	0	83
2026-01-23	229.66	-5.86	47	20	83
2026-01-30	248.55	8.75	54	20	83
2026-02-06	218.23	-7.79	46	0	83
2026-02-13	230.65	16.87	58	20	83
2026-02-27	228.66	19.16	60	50	83
2026-03-06	228.66	-0.91	50	20	83
2026-03-13	237.12	29.97	65	60	83
2026-03-20	222.20	5.03	53	20	83
2026-03-27	233.64	23.25	62	60	83
2026-04-03	226.68	5.92	53	20	83
2026-04-10	240.60	20.19	60	50	83
2026-04-17	289.31	55.98	78	60	83
2026-04-24	291.80	25.25	63	20	83
2026-05-01	310.69	58.2	79	100	83
2026-05-08	317.65	40.31	70	50	83
2026-05-15	390.22	87.99	94	100	83
2026-05-22	374.31	73.07	87	100	83
2026-05-29	386.74	57.53	79	60	83
2026-06-05	343.00	32.94	66	20	83
2026-06-12	321.62	25.78	63	50	83
2026-06-19	333.06	27.74	64	60	83
2026-06-26	305.22	11.56	56	20	83
2026-07-03	347.97	31.75	66	60	83
2026-07-10	331.50	31.91	66	50	67
2026-07-17	306.00	9.01	55	33	83
2026-07-24	313.00	21.21	61	20	100
2026-07-31	304.50	9.16	55	0	100
2026-08-07	387.00	49.98	75	60	100
2026-08-14	373.50	45.85	73	100	100
2026-08-21	349.00	32.88	66	60	100
2026-08-28	354.00	39.19	70	100	100
2026-09-04	363.00	45.8	73	100	100
2026-09-11	359.00	32.25	66	60	100
2026-09-18	334.50	23.5	62	67	100
2026-09-25	325.50	7.93	54	0	100
2026-10-02	332.50	6.54	53	0	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct
Trend	97	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	99	100	100	97	98	93	100	100	99	99	99	99	90	78	82
Momentum	77	96	94	95	94	97	97	98	92	63	67	62	84	85	56	73	47	92	76	72	72	58	65	56	56	47
Underlying pressure	75	88	93	95	97	97	97	97	95	91	85	71	64	58	50	44	35	39	46	48	51	52	55	56	51	42
Price & volume	54	89	23	61	46	81	53	37	34	47	56	43	57	—	48	50	49	55	47	42	49	74	37	57	41	45
Relative strength	5	35	21	44	30	95	86	81	35	23	20	12	35	31	26	27	24	93	79	60	57	66	65	30	19	23
Modeled Trend	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	90	90	90	89	89	89	89	88	88	88	88

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

88/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

23/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

1 non-overlapping example. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

17 Apr 2026Upper cycle zone confirmedTWD 289.31

16 Jan 2026Up-cycle confirmedTWD 218.23

9 May 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 204.38

11 Apr 2025Lower cycle zone confirmedTWD 187.68

4 Apr 2025Down-cycle confirmedTWD 240.74

18 Oct 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedTWD 237.30

27 Sep 2024Up-cycle confirmedTWD 216.67

23 Aug 2024Up-cycle confirmedTWD 205.37

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS