TAI · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

2850

Shinkong Insurance Co., Ltd.

TW · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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EMD SCORE62/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Constructive

The balance of evidence is supportive, with some confirmation still incomplete. Conditions remain positive, but momentum has eased.

Constructive fade33% directional agreement79/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 2 Oct 2026
Latest close: TWD 158.50
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-8.9 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-0.3%

completed closing prices

Current directional run26 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency13/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

4 supportive · 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

29 Sep 2023–2 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 89%Current EMD +23.24-week EMD change -8.9Full saved history price range TWD 50.64–168.50

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · TWD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-09-29	50.64	75.58	88	100	67
2023-10-06	51.06	79.89	90	100	67
2023-10-13	52.24	69.68	85	100	67
2023-10-20	52.74	56.85	78	60	83
2023-10-27	51.82	60.67	80	100	83
2023-11-03	58.11	91.18	96	100	83
2023-11-10	59.53	81.8	91	100	83
2023-11-17	58.28	59.22	80	60	83
2023-11-24	58.69	77.93	89	100	83
2023-12-01	57.86	60.64	80	100	83
2023-12-08	57.44	60.69	80	100	83
2023-12-15	57.44	58.68	79	100	83
2023-12-22	57.02	52.82	76	100	83
2023-12-29	57.10	50.7	75	100	83
2024-01-05	56.77	43.71	72	100	83
2024-01-12	55.17	21.5	61	50	83
2024-01-19	56.68	37.08	69	60	83
2024-01-26	58.02	41.65	71	60	83
2024-02-02	57.02	19.29	60	20	83
2024-02-09	56.77	23.56	62	50	83
2024-02-16	58.28	30.71	65	60	83
2024-02-23	57.44	11.04	56	20	83
2024-03-01	58.28	30.17	65	60	83
2024-03-08	59.28	30.3	65	100	83
2024-03-15	68.59	69.56	85	100	83
2024-03-22	69.01	56.72	78	60	83
2024-03-29	71.02	75.8	88	100	83
2024-04-05	71.69	79.62	90	100	83
2024-04-12	74.37	80.48	90	100	83
2024-04-19	76.97	80.93	90	100	83
2024-04-26	79.66	78.74	89	100	83
2024-05-03	82.09	81.39	91	100	83
2024-05-10	77.14	53.87	77	60	83
2024-05-17	77.64	71.31	86	100	83
2024-05-24	76.81	50.19	75	60	83
2024-05-31	79.66	68.78	84	100	83
2024-06-07	80.16	65.82	83	100	83
2024-06-14	81.94	72.84	86	100	83
2024-06-21	86.27	84.35	92	100	83
2024-06-28	85.12	49.53	75	60	83
2024-07-05	81.50	43.01	72	60	83
2024-07-12	83.53	56.36	78	100	83
2024-07-19	82.56	42.15	71	100	83
2024-07-26	82.56	38.78	69	100	83
2024-08-02	80.70	24.54	62	50	83
2024-08-09	79.02	30.17	65	60	83
2024-08-16	81.32	26.61	63	50	83
2024-08-23	81.67	21.74	61	20	83
2024-08-30	84.24	36.3	68	60	83
2024-09-06	82.56	33.03	67	50	83
2024-09-13	81.67	23.87	62	50	83
2024-09-20	84.15	32.67	66	60	83
2024-09-27	83.00	16.07	58	50	83
2024-10-04	83.18	20.93	60	50	83
2024-10-11	86.45	37.52	69	60	83
2024-10-18	89.81	56.28	78	100	83
2024-10-25	87.25	32.34	66	60	83
2024-11-01	88.49	58.15	79	100	83
2024-11-08	88.49	51.82	76	100	83
2024-11-15	87.87	47.1	74	100	83
2024-11-22	88.31	46.02	73	100	83
2024-11-29	88.49	46.33	73	100	83
2024-12-06	92.03	60.57	80	100	83
2024-12-13	91.14	54.65	77	100	83
2024-12-20	90.26	32.89	66	60	83
2024-12-27	92.47	54.27	77	100	83
2025-01-03	93.35	55.78	78	100	83
2025-01-10	90.70	34.4	67	60	83
2025-01-17	90.26	37.24	69	100	83
2025-01-24	92.03	34.66	67	100	83
2025-02-07	91.58	22.93	61	50	83
2025-02-14	87.60	-0.52	50	20	83
2025-02-21	89.37	12.79	56	50	83
2025-02-28	88.93	9.55	55	50	83
2025-03-07	88.93	12.56	56	60	83
2025-03-14	101.32	56.03	78	60	83
2025-03-21	99.11	40.06	70	60	83
2025-03-28	99.99	64.38	82	100	83
2025-04-04	99.11	65.61	83	100	83
2025-04-11	96.01	61.81	81	100	83
2025-04-18	93.80	33.72	67	60	83
2025-04-25	92.47	22.96	61	50	83
2025-05-02	94.68	37.88	69	100	83
2025-05-09	93.35	13.91	57	20	83
2025-05-16	96.01	39.65	70	60	83
2025-05-23	94.24	16.96	58	20	83
2025-05-30	92.91	10.57	55	20	83
2025-06-06	90.70	0.35	50	20	83
2025-06-13	92.47	0.11	50	0	83
2025-06-20	92.03	-18.32	41	50	83
2025-06-27	93.76	12.17	56	20	83
2025-07-04	94.33	11.35	56	50	83
2025-07-11	92.14	-13.95	43	50	83
2025-07-18	91.85	-20.37	40	60	83
2025-07-25	92.24	-21.58	39	100	83
2025-08-01	91.28	-18.71	41	50	83
2025-08-08	96.99	3.76	52	33	83
2025-08-15	100.32	33.8	67	100	83
2025-08-22	98.42	31.71	66	100	83
2025-08-29	102.69	54.56	77	100	83
2025-09-05	113.63	78.29	89	100	83
2025-09-12	109.83	46.24	73	60	83
2025-09-19	107.45	52.29	76	100	83
2025-09-26	113.15	68.23	84	100	83
2025-10-03	113.63	41.18	71	60	83
2025-10-10	111.25	35.34	68	50	83
2025-10-17	110.30	34.14	67	50	83
2025-10-24	109.35	22.66	61	20	83
2025-10-31	106.97	11.54	56	20	83
2025-11-07	111.73	35.38	68	60	83
2025-11-14	110.30	28.25	64	60	83
2025-11-21	110.78	35.64	68	100	83
2025-11-28	111.73	25.16	63	50	83
2025-12-05	110.78	10.01	55	33	83
2025-12-12	113.15	20.36	60	50	83
2025-12-19	111.73	2.52	51	0	83
2025-12-26	110.30	-0.45	50	0	83
2026-01-02	110.78	1.18	51	0	83
2026-01-09	111.25	9.68	55	20	83
2026-01-16	111.25	1.7	51	20	83
2026-01-23	109.35	-14.03	43	20	83
2026-01-30	106.97	-19.34	40	20	83
2026-02-06	108.40	-5.54	47	20	83
2026-02-13	108.40	-11.05	44	20	83
2026-02-27	109.83	-8.62	46	20	83
2026-03-06	111.73	-5.41	47	0	83
2026-03-13	114.11	13.47	57	50	83
2026-03-20	111.73	-0.98	50	50	83
2026-03-27	111.25	0.62	50	60	83
2026-04-03	112.20	-7.63	46	0	83
2026-04-10	118.38	17.71	59	60	83
2026-04-17	119.34	13.83	57	50	83
2026-04-24	118.38	17.72	59	50	83
2026-05-01	126.47	35.35	68	60	83
2026-05-08	125.99	26.0	63	50	83
2026-05-15	125.99	21.41	61	20	83
2026-05-22	129.79	28.8	64	50	83
2026-05-29	138.35	46.57	73	60	83
2026-06-05	138.83	39.94	70	60	83
2026-06-12	141.21	38.36	69	60	83
2026-06-19	142.00	34.25	67	50	83
2026-06-26	140.00	20.05	60	20	83
2026-07-03	143.50	33.23	67	60	83
2026-07-10	143.50	36.16	68	50	67
2026-07-17	145.00	33.07	67	50	83
2026-07-24	147.50	42.6	71	60	100
2026-07-31	161.00	63.25	82	100	100
2026-08-07	163.00	63.99	82	100	100
2026-08-14	159.00	47.74	74	60	100
2026-08-21	168.50	67.19	84	100	100
2026-08-28	160.50	36.93	68	33	100
2026-09-04	159.00	32.07	66	33	100
2026-09-11	159.00	44.32	72	67	100
2026-09-18	159.00	43.96	72	67	100
2026-09-25	157.50	25.66	63	33	100
2026-10-02	158.50	23.21	62	33	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct
Trend	90	91	88	97	97	97	98	100	100	100	100	99	100	99	99	100	100	100	100	100	100	99	99	99	98	98
Momentum	73	78	78	89	85	84	90	91	92	93	92	81	85	80	81	87	94	95	92	95	74	70	73	64	70	71
Underlying pressure	58	68	80	90	92	92	94	95	96	97	98	97	96	95	93	93	95	96	96	97	96	94	91	83	72	65
Price & volume	73	48	54	67	49	43	48	91	71	60	56	30	57	—	48	50	49	54	49	56	40	32	56	78	40	36
Relative strength	6	5	2	6	3	3	4	4	5	8	5	7	6	9	24	23	61	56	33	63	35	31	37	31	24	25
Modeled Trend	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	92

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Trend

98/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

25/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

1 non-overlapping example. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

18 Jul 2025Down-cycle confirmedTWD 91.85

6 Jun 2025Down-cycle confirmedTWD 90.70

14 Feb 2025Down-cycle confirmedTWD 87.60

9 Aug 2024Down-cycle confirmedTWD 79.02

22 Mar 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedTWD 69.01

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS