CBOE · ETF · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

IBHI

ISHARES IBONDS 2029 TERM HIGH YIELD AND INCOME ETF

EMD SCORE49/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions remain cautious, although the latest readings are improving.

Early repair20% directional agreement74/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: USD 22.86
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change+8.3 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-0.7%

completed closing prices

Current directional run5 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency8/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive · 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

20 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 82%Current EMD -2.94-week EMD change +8.3Full saved history price range USD 17.74–23.29

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · USD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-20	17.74	-18.27	41	60	83
2023-10-27	17.85	-7.85	46	33	83
2023-11-03	18.58	6.97	53	0	83
2023-11-10	18.49	0.47	50	33	100
2023-11-17	18.68	30.35	65	67	100
2023-11-24	18.78	35.61	68	67	100
2023-12-01	19.12	38.8	69	67	100
2023-12-08	19.09	34.0	67	60	100
2023-12-15	19.49	42.82	71	67	100
2023-12-22	19.74	47.09	74	67	100
2023-12-29	19.67	31.96	66	33	100
2024-01-05	19.44	27.65	64	33	100
2024-01-12	19.77	46.48	73	67	100
2024-01-19	19.60	28.39	64	33	100
2024-01-26	19.77	39.53	70	67	100
2024-02-02	19.75	27.84	64	33	100
2024-02-09	19.82	39.52	70	67	100
2024-02-16	19.69	25.52	63	33	100
2024-02-23	19.75	23.96	62	33	100
2024-03-01	19.83	43.09	72	67	100
2024-03-08	19.89	29.02	65	60	100
2024-03-15	19.85	17.62	59	33	100
2024-03-22	19.93	17.52	59	33	100
2024-03-29	20.07	25.13	63	67	100
2024-04-05	19.88	5.08	53	33	100
2024-04-12	19.77	11.9	56	33	100
2024-04-19	19.64	17.0	58	50	100
2024-04-26	19.77	16.24	58	50	100
2024-05-03	20.00	17.96	59	33	100
2024-05-10	19.98	7.05	54	0	100
2024-05-17	20.10	16.9	58	50	100
2024-05-24	20.08	19.13	60	60	100
2024-05-31	20.05	19.1	60	60	100
2024-06-07	20.14	15.58	58	33	100
2024-06-14	20.17	14.01	57	33	100
2024-06-21	20.24	22.24	61	67	100
2024-06-28	20.22	8.3	54	33	100
2024-07-05	20.35	24.41	62	67	100
2024-07-12	20.49	31.69	66	67	100
2024-07-19	20.51	21.97	61	33	100
2024-07-26	20.59	34.59	67	67	100
2024-08-02	20.55	26.84	63	33	100
2024-08-09	20.56	37.03	69	67	100
2024-08-16	20.82	47.13	74	67	100
2024-08-23	20.98	23.08	62	33	100
2024-08-30	20.98	40.09	70	67	100
2024-09-06	20.98	37.84	69	60	100
2024-09-13	21.07	34.26	67	60	100
2024-09-20	21.31	50.36	75	67	100
2024-09-27	21.23	24.18	62	33	100
2024-10-04	21.19	24.67	62	33	100
2024-10-11	21.19	35.15	68	67	100
2024-10-18	21.24	31.69	66	60	100
2024-10-25	21.12	22.4	61	33	100
2024-11-01	21.07	17.56	59	33	100
2024-11-08	21.37	28.9	64	67	100
2024-11-15	21.21	12.72	56	33	100
2024-11-22	21.28	19.14	60	50	100
2024-11-29	21.42	20.64	60	60	100
2024-12-06	21.49	13.81	57	20	100
2024-12-13	21.34	9.81	55	20	100
2024-12-20	21.33	21.5	61	60	100
2024-12-27	21.29	20.12	60	60	100
2025-01-03	21.41	29.55	65	60	100
2025-01-10	21.27	5.61	53	20	100
2025-01-17	21.50	17.73	59	50	100
2025-01-24	21.58	19.8	60	50	100
2025-01-31	21.56	14.58	57	33	100
2025-02-07	21.53	16.82	58	33	100
2025-02-14	21.63	24.01	62	67	100
2025-02-21	21.62	17.5	59	33	100
2025-02-28	21.72	29.45	65	67	100
2025-03-07	21.60	24.71	62	60	100
2025-03-14	21.39	23.04	62	67	100
2025-03-21	21.48	25.93	63	100	100
2025-03-28	21.37	11.29	56	33	100
2025-04-04	20.66	1.3	51	20	100
2025-04-11	20.86	5.27	53	33	100
2025-04-18	21.08	6.86	53	20	100
2025-04-25	21.40	7.99	54	33	100
2025-05-02	21.42	5.47	53	20	100
2025-05-09	21.44	3.42	52	20	100
2025-05-16	21.71	4.29	52	0	100
2025-05-23	21.57	3.82	52	33	100
2025-05-30	21.76	25.66	63	100	100
2025-06-06	21.80	19.42	60	60	100
2025-06-13	21.81	21.13	61	60	100
2025-06-20	21.91	30.21	65	100	100
2025-06-27	22.05	26.45	63	60	100
2025-07-04	22.21	29.72	65	60	100
2025-07-11	22.11	21.29	61	33	100
2025-07-18	22.17	38.1	69	67	100
2025-07-25	22.25	34.49	67	67	100
2025-08-01	22.22	33.98	67	60	100
2025-08-08	22.28	27.01	64	33	100
2025-08-15	22.37	39.95	70	67	100
2025-08-22	22.48	44.33	72	67	100
2025-08-29	22.49	34.93	67	60	100
2025-09-05	22.60	38.49	69	67	100
2025-09-12	22.62	39.53	70	67	100
2025-09-19	22.71	39.59	70	67	100
2025-09-26	22.68	32.87	66	60	100
2025-10-03	22.69	29.78	65	60	100
2025-10-10	22.44	20.3	60	33	100
2025-10-17	22.65	30.66	65	67	100
2025-10-24	22.74	26.89	63	67	100
2025-10-31	22.68	9.72	55	33	100
2025-11-07	22.68	25.34	63	67	100
2025-11-14	22.64	13.18	57	33	100
2025-11-21	22.67	21.76	61	60	100
2025-11-28	22.82	18.22	59	60	100
2025-12-05	22.85	17.59	59	60	100
2025-12-12	22.84	15.7	58	50	100
2025-12-19	22.93	28.38	64	67	100
2025-12-26	22.98	27.93	64	67	100
2026-01-02	22.97	17.79	59	33	100
2026-01-09	23.10	35.23	68	67	100
2026-01-16	23.10	32.33	66	67	100
2026-01-23	23.12	29.98	65	67	100
2026-01-30	23.11	23.63	62	33	100
2026-02-06	23.08	26.21	63	60	100
2026-02-13	23.09	22.29	61	33	100
2026-02-20	23.09	24.17	62	60	100
2026-02-27	23.06	20.8	60	60	100
2026-03-06	22.87	10.51	55	20	100
2026-03-13	22.79	7.53	54	0	100
2026-03-20	22.77	8.51	54	20	100
2026-03-27	22.65	-3.47	48	20	100
2026-04-03	22.99	6.3	53	20	100
2026-04-10	23.10	10.07	55	20	100
2026-04-17	23.29	18.63	59	33	100
2026-04-24	23.26	20.62	60	60	100
2026-05-01	23.16	22.22	61	67	100
2026-05-08	23.17	20.78	60	67	100
2026-05-15	23.05	3.89	52	33	100
2026-05-22	23.14	14.81	57	60	100
2026-05-29	23.24	16.06	58	60	100
2026-06-05	23.16	8.92	54	20	100
2026-06-12	23.20	15.93	58	60	100
2026-06-19	23.26	20.86	60	67	100
2026-06-26	23.21	11.09	56	33	100
2026-07-03	23.16	14.89	57	60	100
2026-07-10	23.15	8.95	54	33	100
2026-07-17	23.14	10.86	55	50	100
2026-07-24	23.09	1.41	51	0	100
2026-07-31	23.03	2.3	51	20	100
2026-08-07	23.15	0.49	50	20	100
2026-08-14	23.17	2.0	51	20	100
2026-08-21	23.19	6.09	53	33	100
2026-08-28	23.10	2.3	51	20	100
2026-09-04	23.07	2.49	51	20	100
2026-09-11	23.01	-11.26	44	33	100
2026-09-18	22.99	-9.23	45	20	100
2026-09-25	22.86	-16.06	42	60	100
2026-10-02	22.70	-16.5	42	50	100
2026-10-09	22.86	-2.93	49	20	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	75	74	72	71	69	71	72	70	71	71	70	69	69	69	68	67	69	69	69	68	67	31	31	29	26	29
Momentum	67	67	63	62	60	61	64	64	66	66	65	64	63	62	62	62	63	63	63	61	60	58	57	55	53	55
Underlying pressure	40	56	63	65	60	52	55	55	61	67	68	66	59	47	33	26	24	25	28	29	27	25	21	21	22	24
Price & volume	73	60	66	65	21	61	60	36	47	56	24	44	37	51	31	46	44	48	56	46	51	39	51	42	45	86
Relative strength	26	26	23	18	17	17	15	21	21	20	27	21	18	23	24	22	16	16	20	19	19	21	21	18	17	17
Modeled Trend	87	87	87	87	87	88	88	88	88	88	86	86	86	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	86	85	83	81	79	78

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Price & volume

86/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

17/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

18 Sep 2026Down-cycle confirmedUSD 22.99

4 Apr 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 20.66

3 May 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 20.00

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS