SET · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

CHARAN

Charan Insurance Public Company Limited

TH · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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EMD SCORE90/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Strongly constructive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly supportive. Conditions are positive and have strengthened over the latest four completed weeks.

Constructive build100% directional agreement100/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 25 Sep 2026
Latest close: THB 21.30
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change+4.6 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price+4.4%

completed closing prices

Current directional run39 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency13/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

6 supportive · 0 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

6 Oct 2023–25 Sep 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 97%Current EMD +79.74-week EMD change +4.6Full saved history price range THB 11.75–22.71

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · THB	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-06	22.39	-39.42	30	60	83
2023-10-13	22.71	-32.97	34	60	83
2023-10-20	22.12	-29.77	35	50	83
2023-10-27	21.40	-30.52	35	60	100
2023-11-03	21.40	-34.56	33	60	100
2023-11-10	21.49	-36.6	32	100	100
2023-11-17	21.40	-30.96	35	60	100
2023-11-24	21.04	-26.73	37	20	100
2023-12-01	20.95	-31.81	34	50	100
2023-12-08	21.13	-33.37	33	60	100
2023-12-15	21.31	-32.81	34	100	100
2023-12-22	21.58	-24.48	38	50	100
2023-12-29	21.13	-39.08	30	100	100
2024-01-05	21.49	-18.83	41	50	100
2024-01-12	21.58	-15.4	42	50	100
2024-01-19	21.40	-25.15	37	100	100
2024-01-26	21.49	-8.98	46	33	100
2024-02-02	21.49	-5.12	47	33	100
2024-02-09	21.31	-15.54	42	50	100
2024-02-16	21.13	-15.49	42	20	100
2024-02-23	21.40	-5.68	47	0	100
2024-03-01	21.40	-5.84	47	0	100
2024-03-08	21.58	7.6	54	33	100
2024-03-15	21.58	-0.54	50	20	83
2024-03-22	21.13	-14.05	43	20	100
2024-03-29	21.04	-11.72	44	20	100
2024-04-05	21.13	-4.92	48	0	100
2024-04-12	20.95	-17.72	41	50	100
2024-04-19	20.95	-6.13	47	0	83
2024-04-26	20.86	-18.38	41	50	100
2024-05-03	21.49	3.38	52	50	100
2024-05-10	21.70	8.62	54	50	100
2024-05-17	21.23	-0.15	50	20	100
2024-05-24	21.32	6.52	53	33	100
2024-05-31	21.13	2.48	51	33	100
2024-06-07	20.85	-6.81	47	20	100
2024-06-14	20.85	-5.45	47	20	100
2024-06-21	20.94	3.86	52	50	100
2024-06-28	20.94	-1.04	49	33	83
2024-07-05	21.70	17.58	59	67	100
2024-07-12	21.89	19.63	60	60	100
2024-07-19	20.85	2.72	51	20	100
2024-07-26	20.56	2.64	51	33	100
2024-08-02	20.56	-3.52	48	0	83
2024-08-09	20.28	-12.09	44	50	100
2024-08-16	21.42	4.92	52	20	100
2024-08-23	21.42	2.71	51	20	83
2024-08-30	20.85	-11.3	44	0	100
2024-09-06	22.08	23.85	62	100	100
2024-09-13	21.13	-5.0	48	20	100
2024-09-20	21.04	2.16	51	20	100
2024-09-27	20.85	-16.4	42	20	100
2024-10-04	20.94	-12.62	44	33	100
2024-10-11	20.94	-21.39	39	20	100
2024-10-18	21.13	-11.07	44	50	100
2024-10-25	20.75	-12.39	44	50	100
2024-11-01	20.85	-21.96	39	50	100
2024-11-08	21.04	-7.39	46	0	100
2024-11-15	20.75	-16.32	42	20	100
2024-11-22	20.85	-3.26	48	0	100
2024-11-29	20.85	-21.31	39	50	100
2024-12-06	20.85	-7.37	46	20	100
2024-12-13	20.47	-19.88	40	60	100
2024-12-20	20.38	-16.51	42	50	100
2024-12-27	19.52	-37.41	31	67	100
2025-01-03	19.52	-37.45	31	60	83
2025-01-10	18.95	-35.69	32	60	100
2025-01-17	18.95	-44.43	28	67	100
2025-01-24	18.95	-44.23	28	67	100
2025-01-31	18.95	-31.3	34	60	100
2025-02-07	19.43	-22.46	39	50	100
2025-02-14	18.95	-24.53	38	50	100
2025-02-21	19.14	-18.32	41	20	100
2025-02-28	19.33	-11.1	44	0	83
2025-03-07	19.14	-16.71	42	33	100
2025-03-14	19.05	-8.76	46	0	100
2025-03-21	18.01	-23.69	38	50	100
2025-03-28	17.15	-37.97	31	67	100
2025-04-04	16.39	-38.42	31	67	100
2025-04-11	16.11	-36.28	32	60	100
2025-04-18	13.84	-54.81	23	67	100
2025-04-25	12.41	-61.21	19	67	100
2025-05-02	13.17	-30.31	35	33	100
2025-05-09	13.55	-29.81	35	33	100
2025-05-16	14.12	-26.45	37	33	100
2025-05-23	14.40	-21.44	39	20	100
2025-05-30	14.03	-49.84	25	60	100
2025-06-06	14.03	-34.76	33	60	100
2025-06-13	14.12	-41.97	29	67	100
2025-06-20	14.12	-39.69	30	60	83
2025-06-27	13.84	-38.59	31	100	100
2025-07-04	13.65	-38.72	31	100	100
2025-07-11	13.27	-41.24	29	100	100
2025-07-18	14.03	-29.26	35	100	100
2025-07-25	13.74	-17.26	41	0	100
2025-08-01	13.84	-20.99	40	33	100
2025-08-08	13.27	-36.35	32	100	100
2025-08-15	13.27	-28.61	36	50	100
2025-08-22	13.27	-35.04	32	50	83
2025-08-29	13.27	-37.42	31	60	83
2025-09-05	13.27	-35.53	32	50	83
2025-09-12	13.27	-36.32	32	50	83
2025-09-19	13.27	-35.51	32	50	83
2025-09-26	13.27	-33.08	33	50	83
2025-10-03	13.27	-35.62	32	100	83
2025-10-10	13.27	-31.46	34	100	83
2025-10-17	13.27	-29.29	35	100	83
2025-10-24	13.27	-22.01	39	33	83
2025-10-31	13.27	-20.58	40	33	83
2025-11-07	13.27	-18.15	41	33	83
2025-11-14	13.27	-16.37	42	33	83
2025-11-21	11.75	-24.38	38	20	100
2025-11-28	12.22	-26.89	37	50	100
2025-12-05	12.32	-24.73	38	50	100
2025-12-12	12.32	-45.86	27	67	100
2025-12-19	12.60	-15.74	42	0	100
2025-12-26	12.79	-15.49	42	0	100
2026-01-02	13.74	5.7	53	50	100
2026-01-09	16.58	56.39	78	100	100
2026-01-16	17.53	69.99	85	100	100
2026-01-23	15.07	38.29	69	60	100
2026-01-30	17.25	81.73	91	100	100
2026-02-06	16.30	43.2	72	67	100
2026-02-13	15.35	14.4	57	20	100
2026-02-20	16.87	55.56	78	60	83
2026-02-27	15.07	12.38	56	33	100
2026-03-06	15.92	44.74	72	67	100
2026-03-13	15.73	40.88	70	60	100
2026-03-20	15.54	37.02	69	67	100
2026-03-27	15.16	34.55	67	60	83
2026-04-03	15.64	14.15	57	33	100
2026-04-10	16.30	31.31	66	60	100
2026-04-17	16.49	46.29	73	100	83
2026-04-24	16.49	50.99	75	100	100
2026-05-01	15.92	10.18	55	33	100
2026-05-08	17.20	48.46	74	100	100
2026-05-15	17.40	53.25	77	100	100
2026-05-22	17.40	28.9	64	67	100
2026-05-29	18.00	36.91	68	67	100
2026-06-05	18.00	58.31	79	100	100
2026-06-12	17.40	33.88	67	60	100
2026-06-19	17.00	51.0	75	100	83
2026-06-26	16.80	56.21	78	100	100
2026-07-03	16.90	32.47	66	60	83
2026-07-10	17.90	53.32	77	100	83
2026-07-17	16.50	16.28	58	50	83
2026-07-24	17.00	22.77	61	50	83
2026-07-31	17.30	28.27	64	50	83
2026-08-07	17.90	34.52	67	60	83
2026-08-14	19.90	61.58	81	100	100
2026-08-21	20.00	76.65	88	100	83
2026-08-28	20.40	75.14	88	100	100
2026-09-04	20.70	76.9	88	100	100
2026-09-11	20.60	60.09	80	67	100
2026-09-18	20.70	58.98	79	67	100
2026-09-25	21.30	79.7	90	100	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	3 Apr	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep
Trend	94	98	98	98	93	99	99	99	99	99	97	92	88	87	96	71	80	83	91	99	99	100	100	99	99	100
Momentum	69	67	67	82	59	75	80	74	90	80	71	66	61	60	75	58	67	73	65	89	89	89	89	81	83	86
Underlying pressure	63	59	59	61	62	64	69	76	79	85	87	85	82	70	67	55	48	43	41	60	73	86	91	93	94	94
Price & volume	0	52	—	65	0	55	59	0	0	60	24	—	100	—	—	—	—	—	—	56	—	67	66	41	34	73
Relative strength	36	40	52	59	35	64	64	59	66	63	48	45	49	36	57	24	33	44	61	91	90	95	95	94	95	96
Modeled Trend	90	90	89	89	89	88	88	88	88	88	88	89	89	89	89	90	89	89	89	90	90	90	90	90	90	91

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Trend

100/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Price & volume

73/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

2 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

1 non-overlapping example. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

2 Jan 2026Up-cycle confirmedTHB 13.74

8 Nov 2024Up-cycle confirmedTHB 21.04

6 Sep 2024Up-cycle confirmedTHB 22.08

12 Jul 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedTHB 21.89

5 Jul 2024Up-cycle confirmedTHB 21.70

3 May 2024Up-cycle confirmedTHB 21.49

29 Mar 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedTHB 21.04

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS