SAO · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

TGTB34

Target Corporation

BR · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

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EMD SCORE84/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Strongly constructive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly supportive. Conditions are positive and have strengthened over the latest four completed weeks.

Constructive build100% directional agreement100/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 25 Sep 2026
Latest close: BRL 818.18
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change+3.5 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-3.3%

completed closing prices

Current directional run41 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency13/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

5 supportive · 0 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

6 Oct 2023–25 Sep 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 95%Current EMD +67.34-week EMD change +3.5Full saved history price range BRL 456.40–855.16

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · BRL	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-06	507.04	-36.47	32	50	83
2023-10-13	526.33	-27.65	36	20	83
2023-10-20	510.49	-49.74	25	60	83
2023-10-27	497.86	-32.92	34	60	100
2023-11-03	515.07	-25.17	37	20	100
2023-11-10	493.09	-46.48	27	100	100
2023-11-17	598.25	-1.17	49	20	100
2023-11-24	600.30	-2.55	49	0	100
2023-12-01	611.78	8.12	54	60	100
2023-12-08	623.09	19.28	60	67	100
2023-12-15	640.33	14.19	57	60	100
2023-12-22	634.29	14.07	57	60	100
2023-12-29	645.12	27.69	64	67	100
2024-01-05	641.38	20.01	60	33	100
2024-01-12	642.24	20.58	60	33	100
2024-01-19	635.09	28.62	64	60	100
2024-01-26	649.43	36.78	68	67	100
2024-02-02	680.85	51.49	76	67	100
2024-02-09	684.50	52.74	76	67	100
2024-02-16	694.69	56.85	78	100	100
2024-02-23	710.74	62.21	81	100	100
2024-03-01	722.58	78.84	89	100	100
2024-03-08	798.06	89.22	95	100	100
2024-03-15	768.85	63.54	82	67	100
2024-03-22	798.55	78.15	89	100	100
2024-03-29	833.69	79.23	90	100	100
2024-04-05	831.91	62.8	81	67	100
2024-04-12	810.81	72.58	86	100	100
2024-04-19	819.33	72.08	86	100	100
2024-04-26	805.51	56.01	78	67	100
2024-05-03	760.39	46.92	73	67	100
2024-05-10	792.18	78.58	89	100	100
2024-05-17	763.36	41.15	71	67	100
2024-05-24	706.30	20.89	60	50	100
2024-05-31	766.17	47.89	74	67	100
2024-06-07	737.38	18.0	59	20	100
2024-06-14	710.95	18.93	59	50	100
2024-06-21	746.75	37.59	69	67	100
2024-06-28	752.87	26.74	63	50	100
2024-07-05	764.27	23.38	62	33	100
2024-07-12	764.96	31.05	66	60	100
2024-07-19	793.98	36.55	68	60	100
2024-07-26	795.92	38.27	69	60	100
2024-08-02	763.80	18.34	59	60	100
2024-08-09	703.00	-1.77	49	50	100
2024-08-16	731.30	-3.27	48	33	100
2024-08-23	823.85	30.34	65	67	100
2024-08-30	821.27	27.79	64	60	100
2024-09-06	807.79	49.12	75	100	100
2024-09-13	811.87	65.39	83	100	83
2024-09-20	807.47	41.8	71	100	100
2024-09-27	801.78	27.72	64	60	100
2024-10-04	776.64	17.2	59	50	100
2024-10-11	841.21	57.24	79	100	100
2024-10-18	838.97	41.12	71	67	100
2024-10-25	823.97	42.38	71	67	100
2024-11-01	840.13	75.42	88	100	100
2024-11-08	823.17	53.91	77	100	100
2024-11-15	855.16	61.17	81	100	100
2024-11-22	692.04	-11.95	44	33	100
2024-11-29	762.50	16.1	58	20	100
2024-12-06	766.70	12.71	56	20	100
2024-12-13	772.13	-11.47	44	20	100
2024-12-20	761.17	-0.42	50	0	100
2024-12-27	802.01	18.07	59	20	100
2025-01-03	794.88	16.4	58	20	100
2025-01-10	827.27	24.46	62	50	100
2025-01-17	740.88	-7.57	46	33	100
2025-01-24	776.97	2.24	51	0	100
2025-01-31	769.34	-9.95	45	50	100
2025-02-07	720.48	-28.22	36	67	100
2025-02-14	700.58	-35.53	32	67	100
2025-02-21	687.36	-30.21	35	50	100
2025-02-28	702.70	-28.22	36	60	100
2025-03-07	637.93	-46.94	27	67	100
2025-03-14	577.06	-56.98	22	67	100
2025-03-21	574.84	-44.76	28	60	100
2025-03-28	572.26	-57.74	21	67	100
2025-04-04	541.53	-46.4	27	60	100
2025-04-11	523.29	-50.63	25	67	100
2025-04-18	519.93	-46.5	27	60	100
2025-04-25	527.13	-34.63	33	33	100
2025-05-02	530.01	-37.23	31	33	100
2025-05-09	523.29	-44.07	28	60	100
2025-05-16	540.99	-35.23	32	33	100
2025-05-23	520.14	-43.26	28	60	100
2025-05-30	522.81	-43.42	28	60	100
2025-06-06	523.91	-32.69	34	33	100
2025-06-13	509.06	-53.65	23	67	100
2025-06-20	511.61	-41.27	29	100	100
2025-06-27	527.93	-29.59	35	50	100
2025-07-04	545.57	-24.72	38	50	100
2025-07-11	561.71	-14.56	43	0	100
2025-07-18	557.93	-13.0	43	0	100
2025-07-25	567.00	-13.29	43	20	100
2025-08-01	534.92	-19.38	40	0	100
2025-08-08	553.58	-15.39	42	20	100
2025-08-15	543.83	-16.78	42	0	100
2025-08-22	525.64	-27.13	36	50	100
2025-08-29	511.67	-26.14	37	50	100
2025-09-05	492.48	-36.87	32	60	100
2025-09-12	470.68	-48.4	26	67	100
2025-09-19	456.40	-39.95	30	67	100
2025-09-26	460.18	-23.53	38	33	100
2025-10-03	468.10	-21.29	39	33	100
2025-10-10	458.35	-45.55	27	67	100
2025-10-17	477.37	-24.33	38	20	100
2025-10-24	497.64	-20.9	40	20	100
2025-10-31	486.47	-37.96	31	60	100
2025-11-07	465.66	-32.12	34	60	100
2025-11-14	478.72	-29.54	35	60	100
2025-11-21	467.33	-26.35	37	33	100
2025-11-28	481.33	-21.15	39	20	100
2025-12-05	490.95	-14.11	43	20	100
2025-12-12	517.13	-3.27	48	33	100
2025-12-19	536.20	6.25	53	50	100
2025-12-26	536.57	15.2	58	60	100
2026-01-02	538.46	24.92	62	60	100
2026-01-09	554.63	13.88	57	33	100
2026-01-16	586.58	24.36	62	60	100
2026-01-23	561.78	12.14	56	33	100
2026-01-30	527.35	13.83	57	33	100
2026-02-06	590.61	37.92	69	67	100
2026-02-13	597.33	37.99	69	67	100
2026-02-20	596.16	23.45	62	33	100
2026-02-27	593.20	39.69	70	60	100
2026-03-06	627.81	59.02	80	67	100
2026-03-13	607.91	42.47	71	60	100
2026-03-20	598.84	39.11	70	60	100
2026-03-27	603.68	45.16	73	67	100
2026-04-03	613.64	34.23	67	60	100
2026-04-10	619.78	33.17	67	60	100
2026-04-17	630.83	42.37	71	67	100
2026-04-24	639.77	39.75	70	60	100
2026-05-01	638.46	37.61	69	33	100
2026-05-08	623.21	36.23	68	60	100
2026-05-15	611.94	32.56	66	60	100
2026-05-22	636.93	61.07	81	100	100
2026-05-29	647.40	56.15	78	100	100
2026-06-05	632.40	57.06	79	100	83
2026-06-12	674.02	73.67	87	100	83
2026-06-19	674.03	74.61	87	100	83
2026-06-26	727.76	84.03	92	100	83
2026-07-03	677.00	77.63	89	100	83
2026-07-10	687.45	75.24	88	100	83
2026-07-17	696.30	77.98	89	100	83
2026-07-24	684.51	37.04	69	67	100
2026-07-31	726.17	73.44	87	100	100
2026-08-07	755.86	86.03	93	100	83
2026-08-14	805.60	90.32	95	100	83
2026-08-21	842.77	82.73	91	100	100
2026-08-28	846.24	63.78	82	67	100
2026-09-04	831.66	60.76	80	67	100
2026-09-11	798.39	51.17	76	67	100
2026-09-18	811.80	52.56	76	67	100
2026-09-25	818.18	67.33	84	100	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	3 Apr	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep
Trend	99	99	99	99	99	96	93	97	97	94	99	98	100	96	97	97	95	99	99	100	100	100	100	99	99	99
Momentum	70	76	78	83	84	69	61	68	73	67	86	82	92	82	76	77	60	85	90	96	97	96	93	74	70	67
Underlying pressure	86	82	81	81	82	80	72	70	66	60	69	73	81	86	87	86	80	82	86	90	94	95	96	96	95	91
Price & volume	49	50	69	46	42	45	44	88	62	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5	69	—	—	68	30	24	14	22	56
Relative strength	23	15	22	36	43	41	50	69	80	81	92	93	97	89	88	94	91	96	99	100	100	100	99	97	98	98
Modeled Trend	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Trend

99/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Price & volume

56/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER-3.8%

Median price return · 6 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -9.2% to +5.8%
Positive returns: 17%
All-period comparison: +1.0% median

13 WEEKS LATER-5.1%

Median price return · 3 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -11.3% to +0.7%
Positive returns: 33%
All-period comparison: +0.9% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

21 Aug 2026Upper cycle zone confirmedBRL 842.77

19 Dec 2025Up-cycle confirmedBRL 536.20

4 Jul 2025Up-cycle confirmedBRL 545.57

14 Mar 2025Lower cycle zone confirmedBRL 577.06

22 Nov 2024Down-cycle confirmedBRL 692.04

4 Oct 2024Down-cycle confirmedBRL 776.64

2 Aug 2024Down-cycle confirmedBRL 763.80

3 May 2024Down-cycle confirmedBRL 760.39

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS