NASDAQ · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

UG

United-Guardian Inc

US · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

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EMD SCORE49/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration0% directional agreement68/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: USD 7.00
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-16.9 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-2.4%

completed closing prices

Current directional run1 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency12/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

3 supportive · 2 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

20 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 22%Current EMD -1.64-week EMD change -16.9Full saved history price range USD 4.97–13.91

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · USD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-20	5.61	-25.19	37	0	83
2023-10-27	5.31	-39.77	30	50	83
2023-11-03	4.97	-48.56	26	60	83
2023-11-10	6.09	-21.78	39	0	100
2023-11-17	6.96	-5.15	47	0	100
2023-11-24	6.70	-6.68	47	0	100
2023-12-01	6.92	1.96	51	20	100
2023-12-08	7.01	9.41	55	50	100
2023-12-15	6.99	6.02	53	60	100
2023-12-22	6.70	-2.32	49	0	100
2023-12-29	6.18	-17.38	41	33	100
2024-01-05	6.77	-0.8	50	50	100
2024-01-12	6.85	0.17	50	50	100
2024-01-19	6.47	-6.94	47	0	100
2024-01-26	6.52	3.99	52	33	100
2024-02-02	7.21	34.04	67	67	100
2024-02-09	8.16	52.11	76	67	100
2024-02-16	7.59	33.01	67	60	100
2024-02-23	7.32	32.09	66	60	100
2024-03-01	7.32	28.02	64	60	100
2024-03-08	7.24	21.0	60	50	100
2024-03-15	6.82	10.5	55	20	100
2024-03-22	7.09	24.84	62	67	100
2024-03-29	6.74	11.21	56	60	100
2024-04-05	6.70	3.49	52	33	100
2024-04-12	6.74	6.57	53	50	100
2024-04-19	7.06	18.55	59	33	100
2024-04-26	7.29	24.78	62	33	100
2024-05-03	7.16	14.99	57	20	100
2024-05-10	7.45	36.23	68	60	100
2024-05-17	8.17	59.62	80	100	100
2024-05-24	7.82	36.34	68	60	100
2024-05-31	8.22	63.51	82	100	100
2024-06-07	7.81	38.63	69	60	100
2024-06-14	7.93	37.76	69	60	100
2024-06-21	8.07	41.67	71	60	100
2024-06-28	7.88	30.68	65	33	100
2024-07-05	8.14	35.92	68	33	100
2024-07-12	9.61	84.18	92	100	100
2024-07-19	10.49	85.15	93	100	100
2024-07-26	9.65	60.35	80	67	100
2024-08-02	10.06	82.16	91	100	100
2024-08-09	9.95	71.92	86	100	100
2024-08-16	11.03	88.1	94	100	100
2024-08-23	12.18	84.91	92	100	100
2024-08-30	12.95	78.8	89	100	100
2024-09-06	12.52	78.05	89	100	100
2024-09-13	13.08	80.47	90	100	100
2024-09-20	13.33	66.78	83	67	100
2024-09-27	13.73	66.03	83	67	100
2024-10-04	13.91	68.19	84	67	100
2024-10-11	11.52	55.45	78	67	100
2024-10-18	12.57	65.58	83	100	100
2024-10-25	11.91	58.94	79	100	100
2024-11-01	11.63	41.52	71	67	100
2024-11-08	9.80	2.34	51	0	100
2024-11-15	8.67	-14.7	43	67	100
2024-11-22	8.86	-28.1	36	67	100
2024-11-29	8.94	-26.12	37	60	100
2024-12-06	9.10	-23.26	38	33	100
2024-12-13	8.93	-27.3	36	50	100
2024-12-20	8.79	-31.46	34	60	100
2024-12-27	8.87	-26.84	37	33	100
2025-01-03	9.01	-25.76	37	33	100
2025-01-10	9.18	-26.85	37	50	100
2025-01-17	9.74	-17.08	41	20	100
2025-01-24	9.90	-14.78	43	0	100
2025-01-31	10.48	-3.05	48	33	100
2025-02-07	10.17	-7.09	46	0	100
2025-02-14	10.20	-4.11	48	0	100
2025-02-21	9.84	-13.23	43	20	100
2025-02-28	9.72	-11.61	44	33	100
2025-03-07	9.37	-14.93	43	33	100
2025-03-14	9.36	-14.92	43	50	100
2025-03-21	9.01	-20.35	40	50	100
2025-03-28	8.58	-28.54	36	67	100
2025-04-04	8.33	-22.79	39	60	100
2025-04-11	7.66	-41.55	29	67	100
2025-04-18	7.73	-36.91	32	60	100
2025-04-25	7.82	-42.29	29	60	100
2025-05-02	7.51	-45.05	27	60	100
2025-05-09	7.55	-44.3	28	67	100
2025-05-16	7.88	-39.11	30	60	100
2025-05-23	7.63	-45.6	27	67	100
2025-05-30	7.78	-37.79	31	50	100
2025-06-06	7.76	-43.42	28	100	100
2025-06-13	7.62	-49.76	25	100	100
2025-06-20	7.67	-46.24	27	100	100
2025-06-27	7.64	-45.0	27	100	100
2025-07-04	7.59	-40.59	30	100	100
2025-07-11	7.61	-37.0	32	100	100
2025-07-18	8.58	-2.17	49	0	100
2025-07-25	8.08	-25.02	37	0	100
2025-08-01	7.73	-21.25	39	0	100
2025-08-08	7.63	-23.67	38	20	100
2025-08-15	7.60	-30.17	35	33	100
2025-08-22	8.08	-12.38	44	20	100
2025-08-29	8.12	-8.02	46	33	100
2025-09-05	8.22	-5.68	47	20	100
2025-09-12	7.53	-22.73	39	20	100
2025-09-19	7.68	-20.49	40	20	100
2025-09-26	7.49	-28.24	36	60	100
2025-10-03	7.49	-31.38	34	60	100
2025-10-10	7.18	-37.3	31	60	100
2025-10-17	7.29	-26.93	37	33	100
2025-10-24	7.11	-40.19	30	67	100
2025-10-31	6.92	-41.57	29	67	100
2025-11-07	6.13	-56.48	22	67	100
2025-11-14	5.94	-52.23	24	67	100
2025-11-21	5.55	-61.98	19	67	100
2025-11-28	5.59	-44.87	28	60	100
2025-12-05	5.81	-35.13	32	33	100
2025-12-12	5.82	-36.79	32	33	100
2025-12-19	5.88	-29.69	35	20	100
2025-12-26	5.99	-30.5	35	20	100
2026-01-02	5.92	-41.11	29	60	100
2026-01-09	6.03	-36.18	32	50	100
2026-01-16	6.51	-19.05	40	0	100
2026-01-23	6.27	-31.12	34	50	100
2026-01-30	6.96	-5.38	47	20	100
2026-02-06	6.90	-9.82	45	0	100
2026-02-13	6.60	-11.61	44	0	100
2026-02-20	6.60	-3.79	48	20	100
2026-02-27	6.72	-3.16	48	20	100
2026-03-06	6.31	-15.27	42	0	100
2026-03-13	6.68	-3.49	48	20	100
2026-03-20	6.26	-17.54	41	20	100
2026-03-27	6.56	-3.05	48	20	100
2026-04-03	6.51	-4.9	48	0	100
2026-04-10	6.54	-8.28	46	20	100
2026-04-17	6.89	9.42	55	60	100
2026-04-24	7.21	32.56	66	67	100
2026-05-01	7.30	31.1	66	60	100
2026-05-08	6.87	13.33	57	33	100
2026-05-15	7.16	32.23	66	67	100
2026-05-22	7.17	27.54	64	60	100
2026-05-29	6.93	14.53	57	20	100
2026-06-05	7.01	21.7	61	33	100
2026-06-12	7.01	25.92	63	67	100
2026-06-19	7.04	25.46	63	60	100
2026-06-26	6.88	20.92	60	60	100
2026-07-03	6.97	28.8	64	67	100
2026-07-10	6.89	15.77	58	60	100
2026-07-17	7.25	33.35	67	67	100
2026-07-24	7.32	20.58	60	33	100
2026-07-31	7.05	9.91	55	33	100
2026-08-07	7.29	22.38	61	33	100
2026-08-14	7.15	12.85	56	33	100
2026-08-21	7.15	14.57	57	33	100
2026-08-28	7.15	15.55	58	33	100
2026-09-04	7.14	11.64	56	20	100
2026-09-11	7.17	15.26	58	20	100
2026-09-18	7.21	22.49	61	60	100
2026-09-25	7.08	8.16	54	20	100
2026-10-02	7.13	12.37	56	50	100
2026-10-09	7.00	-1.6	49	0	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	54	96	97	89	96	96	91	92	91	91	83	85	79	92	92	81	89	82	81	81	80	80	81	74	75	67
Momentum	73	79	74	64	71	64	54	72	61	67	64	66	63	71	72	60	75	59	57	66	59	64	65	62	63	58
Underlying pressure	63	74	84	88	90	90	87	85	84	81	79	76	67	66	69	69	74	70	61	57	54	54	56	52	50	44
Price & volume	59	68	56	24	59	51	36	36	56	55	48	70	49	66	14	12	32	29	40	37	36	40	52	36	46	19
Relative strength	10	15	16	4	8	8	4	9	7	6	9	11	8	29	40	27	24	18	27	28	29	34	35	21	22	19
Modeled Trend	74	76	78	81	82	84	85	85	86	86	87	87	87	87	88	88	88	89	88	88	88	87	87	87	87	87

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

87/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Price & volume

19/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER-1.0%

Median price return · 6 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -11.8% to +5.0%
Positive returns: 50%
All-period comparison: -0.1% median

13 WEEKS LATER-4.4%

Median price return · 4 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -23.4% to +17.6%
Positive returns: 50%
All-period comparison: -0.1% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

17 Apr 2026Up-cycle confirmedUSD 6.89

30 Jan 2026Up-cycle confirmedUSD 6.96

31 Oct 2025Lower cycle zone confirmedUSD 6.92

8 Nov 2024Down-cycle confirmedUSD 9.80

10 May 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 7.45

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS