SAU · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

8010

The Company for Cooperative Insurance

SA · Financial Services · Insurance - Life

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EMD SCORE46/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration33% directional agreement79/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 2 Oct 2026
Latest close: SAR 86.35
Evidence: 156 weeks

This report uses 2 Oct 2026. The latest completed calendar week is 9 Oct 2026; newer evidence has not yet reached this listing.

Four-week EMD change-23.2 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-4.8%

completed closing prices

Current directional run1 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency11/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive · 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

29 Sep 2023–2 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 31%Current EMD -7.84-week EMD change -23.2Full saved history price range SAR 74.46–109.65

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · SAR	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-09-29	81.35	47.79	74	60	83
2023-10-06	78.77	36.35	68	50	83
2023-10-13	76.83	37.53	69	50	83
2023-10-20	79.80	43.09	72	67	100
2023-10-27	75.15	30.13	65	50	100
2023-11-03	82.64	62.12	81	100	100
2023-11-10	76.31	32.48	66	60	100
2023-11-17	76.83	39.19	70	60	100
2023-11-24	77.99	44.35	72	67	100
2023-12-01	79.54	38.64	69	60	100
2023-12-08	81.99	45.46	73	60	100
2023-12-15	83.80	51.05	76	100	100
2023-12-22	81.87	42.33	71	60	100
2023-12-29	84.19	52.61	76	100	100
2024-01-05	90.65	67.69	84	100	100
2024-01-12	84.19	40.24	70	67	100
2024-01-19	80.70	29.0	64	67	100
2024-01-26	81.74	43.38	72	100	100
2024-02-02	80.06	18.25	59	20	100
2024-02-09	85.48	48.53	74	100	100
2024-02-16	93.36	65.59	83	100	100
2024-02-23	97.88	69.87	85	100	100
2024-03-01	104.59	78.12	89	100	100
2024-03-08	96.84	61.61	81	67	100
2024-03-15	109.11	82.69	91	100	100
2024-03-22	108.59	74.31	87	100	100
2024-03-29	104.59	66.75	83	100	100
2024-04-05	101.49	66.61	83	100	100
2024-04-19	95.17	43.63	72	67	100
2024-04-26	98.14	47.13	74	67	100
2024-05-03	103.82	63.25	82	100	100
2024-05-10	100.85	42.4	71	67	100
2024-05-17	91.55	29.6	65	67	100
2024-05-24	91.81	26.93	63	60	100
2024-05-31	90.65	26.9	63	60	100
2024-06-07	87.55	-5.81	47	33	100
2024-06-14	89.87	4.55	52	20	100
2024-06-28	94.04	19.94	60	20	100
2024-07-05	95.60	36.52	68	67	100
2024-07-12	94.95	32.45	66	67	100
2024-07-19	96.90	34.88	67	67	100
2024-07-26	97.68	31.72	66	60	100
2024-08-02	92.74	9.4	55	20	100
2024-08-09	100.68	41.99	71	100	100
2024-08-16	108.48	59.85	80	100	100
2024-08-23	109.65	64.19	82	100	100
2024-08-30	102.63	47.43	74	67	100
2024-09-06	103.15	60.74	80	100	100
2024-09-13	99.24	37.15	69	67	100
2024-09-20	93.00	0.16	50	0	100
2024-09-27	98.85	19.17	60	60	100
2024-10-04	93.65	-4.63	48	50	100
2024-10-11	91.05	-12.77	44	60	100
2024-10-18	95.60	9.96	55	33	100
2024-10-25	89.75	-21.23	39	67	100
2024-11-01	91.31	-11.0	45	50	100
2024-11-08	87.54	-26.65	37	67	100
2024-11-15	81.95	-41.42	29	67	100
2024-11-22	85.07	-28.41	36	60	100
2024-11-29	85.85	-18.74	41	33	100
2024-12-06	92.74	-2.37	49	0	100
2024-12-13	93.65	-4.52	48	0	100
2024-12-20	92.22	-5.29	47	0	100
2024-12-27	91.96	-5.94	47	0	100
2025-01-03	97.55	11.33	56	60	100
2025-01-10	97.81	9.21	55	50	100
2025-01-17	98.72	18.42	59	100	100
2025-01-24	101.59	32.22	66	100	100
2025-01-31	98.85	20.03	60	100	100
2025-02-07	99.37	19.1	60	50	100
2025-02-14	99.24	27.79	64	100	100
2025-02-21	94.17	1.55	51	0	100
2025-02-28	94.04	6.25	53	20	100
2025-03-07	90.53	-6.43	47	20	100
2025-03-14	96.38	22.69	61	60	100
2025-03-21	93.78	5.76	53	33	100
2025-03-28	92.74	2.05	51	0	100
2025-04-04	88.45	-13.84	43	50	100
2025-04-11	82.34	-26.3	37	60	100
2025-04-18	88.84	-15.6	42	60	100
2025-04-25	88.84	-21.8	39	67	100
2025-05-02	94.95	8.37	54	33	100
2025-05-09	91.57	-2.03	49	0	100
2025-05-16	93.39	3.28	52	20	100
2025-05-23	90.66	-4.41	48	20	100
2025-05-30	91.17	3.2	52	20	100
2025-06-06	97.74	29.85	65	100	100
2025-06-13	95.38	11.37	56	33	100
2025-06-20	93.80	19.23	60	60	100
2025-06-27	102.74	49.17	75	100	100
2025-07-04	103.66	39.09	70	67	100
2025-07-11	101.23	49.56	75	67	100
2025-07-18	96.36	25.81	63	33	100
2025-07-25	89.98	2.99	51	20	100
2025-08-01	88.34	-4.19	48	20	100
2025-08-08	86.10	-14.13	43	60	100
2025-08-15	81.63	-29.78	35	67	100
2025-08-22	82.29	-20.99	40	60	100
2025-08-29	77.09	-44.38	28	67	100
2025-09-05	79.26	-16.41	42	33	100
2025-09-12	78.27	-32.26	34	67	100
2025-09-19	83.54	-10.6	45	20	100
2025-09-26	90.38	1.03	51	20	100
2025-10-03	87.81	-16.8	42	60	100
2025-10-10	90.44	-3.66	48	20	100
2025-10-17	89.13	-10.3	45	50	100
2025-10-24	84.26	-30.77	35	67	100
2025-10-31	89.59	-2.45	49	20	100
2025-11-07	87.81	-9.76	45	100	100
2025-11-14	86.83	-10.85	45	100	100
2025-11-21	82.22	-23.13	38	100	100
2025-11-28	79.26	-29.96	35	100	100
2025-12-05	78.47	-32.02	34	100	100
2025-12-12	80.91	-24.25	38	100	100
2025-12-19	75.64	-43.04	28	100	100
2025-12-26	77.35	-29.77	35	60	100
2026-01-02	77.75	-24.39	38	33	100
2026-01-09	74.46	-45.91	27	67	100
2026-01-16	75.38	-43.86	28	67	100
2026-01-23	88.40	14.89	57	50	100
2026-01-30	90.11	14.63	57	100	100
2026-02-06	90.11	23.07	62	100	100
2026-02-13	92.61	38.72	69	100	100
2026-02-20	92.09	49.16	75	100	100
2026-02-27	89.26	35.69	68	67	100
2026-03-06	85.84	36.69	68	100	100
2026-03-13	84.19	18.9	59	50	100
2026-03-20	84.72	21.98	61	60	100
2026-03-27	84.46	15.65	58	60	100
2026-04-03	82.81	-3.67	48	20	100
2026-04-10	83.93	2.52	51	0	100
2026-04-17	86.50	10.63	55	20	100
2026-04-24	87.35	28.55	64	100	100
2026-05-01	85.64	13.7	57	20	100
2026-05-08	93.27	62.54	81	100	100
2026-05-15	89.98	35.01	68	67	100
2026-05-22	90.77	43.41	72	100	100
2026-05-29	90.77	55.01	78	100	83
2026-06-05	97.28	61.63	81	100	100
2026-06-12	102.61	75.94	88	100	100
2026-06-19	105.51	79.71	90	100	100
2026-06-26	100.38	60.13	80	67	100
2026-07-03	96.33	53.11	77	67	100
2026-07-10	94.87	56.78	78	100	100
2026-07-17	91.53	41.65	71	100	100
2026-07-24	93.53	46.2	73	100	100
2026-07-31	81.73	-2.94	49	50	100
2026-08-07	91.93	21.22	61	33	100
2026-08-14	95.13	40.79	70	67	100
2026-08-21	91.93	17.82	59	33	100
2026-08-28	92.67	24.41	62	33	100
2026-09-04	90.67	15.34	58	50	100
2026-09-11	93.70	25.99	63	60	100
2026-09-18	92.80	22.49	61	50	100
2026-09-25	89.55	12.21	56	50	100
2026-10-02	86.35	-7.85	46	33	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct
Trend	29	41	80	73	95	89	90	90	98	100	100	99	95	91	79	84	42	40	85	72	75	66	79	75	61	14
Momentum	70	75	66	62	77	65	67	72	79	92	94	89	73	62	53	59	44	57	74	61	79	54	52	53	46	44
Underlying pressure	51	52	55	53	66	67	65	71	74	85	92	94	93	88	78	66	51	41	38	35	40	39	38	39	35	31
Price & volume	53	60	52	40	84	42	54	—	58	68	69	35	38	54	46	57	23	73	69	38	44	45	57	47	44	35
Relative strength	26	30	49	38	77	65	67	67	88	95	96	93	89	86	79	83	41	78	86	72	65	63	75	78	71	64
Modeled Trend	81	83	85	87	88	88	87	87	87	88	89	88	88	89	89	89	89	89	83	88	87	87	87	86	86	84

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

84/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Trend

14/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER-0.1%

Median price return · 12 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -12.7% to +13.4%
Positive returns: 50%
All-period comparison: -0.4% median

13 WEEKS LATER+4.2%

Median price return · 5 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: +1.4% to +16.3%
Positive returns: 100%
All-period comparison: +0.8% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

3 Jul 2026Down-cycle confirmedSAR 96.33

12 Jun 2026Upper cycle zone confirmedSAR 102.61

23 Jan 2026Up-cycle confirmedSAR 88.40

19 Sep 2025Up-cycle confirmedSAR 83.54

22 Aug 2025Lower cycle zone confirmedSAR 82.29

25 Jul 2025Down-cycle confirmedSAR 89.98

21 Feb 2025Down-cycle confirmedSAR 94.17

13 Sep 2024Down-cycle confirmedSAR 99.24

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS