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HWX

Headwater Exploration Inc.
Chart
12.93 CAD
Latest Week 2026-06-05
EnergyOil & Gas E&PMID
Snapshot 2026-06-07 · 0.0w · Fresh
0.63
OS Score
27.0%
Value
83.0%
Quality
88.0%
Momentum
4/9
F-Score
0.473
QV
StrategiesValueQualityMomentumCompositeInteractionsFactor AnalysisTrendsFundamentals
Strategy Eligibility
5 of 23 passing
★
OS Composite
✗
↗
Trending Value
✗
◆
Quality × Value
✗
🏛
Cornerstone Value
✗
🌿
Cornerstone Growth
✗
💎
Deep Value
✗
◇
VC2 Cheapest
✗
📐
EBITDA/EV
10.7%
◐
Veiled Value
✗
▣
Piotroski Bargains
✗
🔬
Quality Compounders
✗
📈
Consistent Earners
Noneyr
🌱
GARP
✗
🔄
Shareholder Yield
3.6%
💰
High Yield
✗
🚀
Momentum Leaders
12-1 101%
◉
Market Leaders
✗
◎
Tiny Titans
✗
🔍
Small Cap Value
✗
🛡
Low Volatility
✗
🏷
Sector Cheapest
✗
🧠
Capital Allocators
✗
⚡
Risk-Adj Momentum
RAM 3.48
V
Value Analysis
Cheapness relative to fundamentals
27.0%ile
P/E
20.1×
P/S
4.8×
P/B
4.1×
E/P
0.0731
FCF Yield
0.008
EBITDA/EV
0.107
SH Yield
0.036
Relative Strength Across Value Dimensions
Multiples & Yields — Decomposition
VC1 (5-Factor)
75.00000000
/100 — 1=cheapest
VC2 (Trending Value)
72.00000000
/100
VC3 (Buyback)
73.00000000
/100
Q
Quality Analysis
Profitability, efficiency, balance sheet & earnings quality
83.0%ile
ROE
0.202
ROA
0.148
Net Margin
0.238
Op Margin
0.343
GPA
0.341
Current
0.98
F-Score
4/9
Quality Radar — Relative Strength
Profitability & Leverage Breakdown
Rev Growth
-0.002
Earn Growth
-0.185
Stability
0.220
lower=better
Accruals
-0.096
lower=better
5yr Consist
Yes
ROE of 20% is exceptional.
M
Momentum & Risk
Price trend, volatility regime, risk-adjusted returns
88.0%ile
6M Return
39.0%
12M Return
107.0%
12-1 Mom
100.7%
Risk-Adj
3.48
Vol 252d
29.0%
Vol 60d
66.5%
↑ Expanding
Max DD 12M
-11.8%
Return Comparison — 6M / 12M / 12-1
Volatility Regime — 60d vs 252d
12-1 momentum of 101% is very strong — a clear uptrend. Risk-adjusted momentum of 3.48 is excellent — strong returns relative to volatility. Near-term vol (66%) is expanding vs long-term (29%) — risk is increasing.
OS
Composite & Factor Heatmap
All factors at a glance
0.63
Pillar Balance — Value / Quality / Momentum
Factor Heatmap — green=strong, red=weak
▦
Sector Context
Energy · 94 peers
Sector Value %ile
28.4%
Sector Quality %ile
89.5%
P/E z-score
-0.25
P/B z-score
0.34
Sector Avg OS
54.2%
Ticker vs Sector Averages
Relative Valuation Z-Score
Top Sector Peers (By OS)
SymbolNameOSValueQualityMomentum
TOT Total Energy Services Inc. 99.0% 96.0% 82.0% 92.0%
SOIL Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. 98.0% 89.0% 85.0% 97.0%
CFW Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 97.0% 98.0% 66.0% 79.0%
TCW Trican Well Service Ltd. 96.0% 89.0% 84.0% 78.0%
PXT Parex Resources Inc. 96.0% 89.0% 74.0% 86.0%
PEY Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. 94.0% 83.0% 90.0% 66.0%
SGY Surge Energy Inc. 94.0% 82.0% 72.0% 85.0%
SU Suncor Energy Inc. 94.0% 80.0% 81.0% 81.0%
Factor Interactions
Quality Momentum — Expensive
Strong quality (83th) and momentum (88th) but expensive (27th value). Premium priced — watch for mean reversion.
Quality at a Premium
High quality (83th) but expensive (27th value). Upside may be limited without earnings growth.
Volatility Expanding
60-day vol (66%) significantly exceeds 252-day (29%). Near-term risk is elevated.
⚖
Factor Analysis
Comprehensive factor intelligence — strengths, weaknesses & cross-factor profile
Value
C
51.7% avg (7 factors)
Quality
B
73.3% avg (7 factors)
Momentum
A
96.6% avg (4 factors)
Risk
B
68.4% avg (1 factors)
▲ Top Strengths — highest scoring factors
▼ Key Weaknesses — lowest scoring factors
Factor Persistence1 snapshots
FactorCurrentStreakTrendSpark
OS Composite0.630—0—
Value %ile0.270—1—
Quality %ile0.830—1—
Momentum %ile0.880—1—
F-Score4.000—1—
Confidence0.939—1—
Volatility0.290—0—
Value FactorsCheapness relative to fundamentals — lower multiples = cheaper
P/E Ratio
20.11
Earnings Yield (E/P)
0.0731
Price / Sales
4.78
Price / Book
4.06
Price / Cash Flow
12.23
FCF Yield
0.8%
EBITDA / EV
10.7%
Sales Yield (1/P·S)
0.2134
Shareholder Yield
Div + net buyback / mktcap
3.6%
Quality FactorsProfitability, efficiency, and balance sheet strength
Return on Equity
20.2%
Return on Assets
14.8%
Net Margin
23.8%
Operating Margin
34.3%
Gross Profit / Assets
Novy-Marx GPA
34.1%
Current Ratio
0.98
Accruals Ratio
(NI-OCF)/Assets — lower=better
-0.096
External Financing
Net issuance — lower=better
0.007
MomentumPrice trend strength over different horizons
6M Return
39.0%
12M Return
107.0%
12-1 Momentum
Jegadeesh-Titman (skip recent month)
100.7%
Risk-Adjusted Momentum
Mom 12-1 ÷ Vol
3.48
Growth & StabilityEarnings trajectory, consistency, and capital allocation
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.5%
Earnings Stability (CV)
Lower = more stable
0.220
5yr Consistent
EPS up every year for 5 years
Yes
Piotroski F-Score
4
Dividend Yield
0.0%
Buyback Yield
0.2%
O'Shaughnessy CompositesValue Composites (WWOWS 4th Ed) — 1=cheapest, 100=most expensive
VC1 (5-factor)
P/E+P/S+P/B+P/CF+EBITDA/EV
75
VC2 (6-factor)
VC1 + Shareholder Yield — used for Trending Value
72
VC3 (6-factor)
VC1 + Buyback Yield — no dividend preference
73
Capital Allocation & AlphaAlpha within factors — quality of management decisions
Veiled Value
Expensive by P/B, cheap by everything else
No
Market Leader
Above-avg mcap+revenue, non-utility
No
All Stocks Universe
Market cap > $200M
Yes
Tiny Titan
Micro-cap, low P/S, positive momentum
No
Quarterly Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
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Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity
Annual Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
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Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity