Ticker Options Intelligence

AEE options intelligence

Ameren Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 34 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:41 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

AEE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 3.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.40

Call-side skew

Trend fit 35

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.7%

RS -7.9

Expected move 3.3%
Put-call volume 0.40
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.22
Max pain 100.00
Underlying 108.84
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 178

Research Brief

AEE has a bullish chain read with 34/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 105.29–112.39; The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 105.00. The most active strike by current volume is 100.00.

Priced range105.29–112.39
Call concentration120.00
Put concentration105.00
Max pain reference100.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 105.29 to 112.39. Max pain at 100.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
105.29108.84 ± 3.55112.39
Confirmation level

A close beyond 112.39 or below 105.29 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 34/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 52/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure52 × 42%
+22.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation1 × 22%
+0.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement35 × 26%
+9.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility28 × 10%
+2.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score34.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 105.00. The most active strike by current volume is 100.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
55.00-49.5%
0
0
60.00-44.9%
0
0
65.00-40.3%
0
0
70.00-35.7%
0
0
75.00-31.1%
0
0
80.00-26.5%
0
0
85.00-21.9%
0
0
90.00-17.3%
0
13
95.00-12.7%
0
8
100.00-8.1%
72
42
105.00-3.5%
59
11
110.001.1%
91
8
115.005.7%
273
0
120.0010.3%
296
0
125.0014.8%
35
0
130.0019.4%
0
0
135.0024.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 94% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$466,029Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak115.00+$273,965
Negative peak105.00-$27,023
Nearest balance105.66Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
60.00-44.9%
-$29
65.00-40.3%
-$39
70.00-35.7%
-$106
75.00-31.1%
-$191
80.00-26.5%
-$208
85.00-21.9%
-$630
90.00-17.3%
-$1,400
95.00-12.7%
-$504
100.00-8.1%
-$5,539
105.00-3.5%
-$27,023
110.001.1%
+$178,277
115.005.7%
+$273,965
120.0010.3%
+$37,251
125.0014.8%
+$7,459
130.0019.4%
+$4,237
135.0024.0%
+$330
140.0028.6%
+$29
145.0033.2%
+$70
150.0037.8%
+$43
155.0042.4%
+$14
160.0047.0%
+$13
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.02× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.22 21 Aug 9d
0.19 18 Sep 37d
0.20 18 Dec 128d
0.21 19 Mar 219d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
178 / 178
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

58/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $958 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+52
1W price-0.7%
Call premium82%
Put premium18%
Notional split C 82% / P 18% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 35/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · ATM
Calls · 22-45 days · ATM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $720 estimated gross traded notional, and 75% of visible notional.
$720
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $145 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$145
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $68 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$68
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $25 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$25

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

15

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank18th
Volume/OI rank18th
IV rank9th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close108.84
1W-0.7%
RS-7.9
Fair value+23.7%
Options pressure52
Speculation1
Volatility28
Trend fit35

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.3% muted
30d avg 4.3% · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.22 muted
30d avg 0.26 · 11 sessions 9th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.40 near normal
30d avg 1.44 · 10 sessions 50th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 muted
30d avg 0.04 · 11 sessions 18th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:14 Bearish
Pressure -62
Move 5.6%
30 Jul 10:10 Bearish
Pressure -57
Move 5.3%
30 Jul 15:22 Bullish
Pressure 35
Move 6.4%
30 Jul 19:50 Bullish
Pressure 48
Move 6.5%
2 Aug 10:46 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 4.1%
4 Aug 10:04 Bullish
Pressure 64
Move 3.8%
5 Aug 10:12 Bearish
Pressure -91
Move 3.7%
6 Aug 10:12 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 3.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.19
Put-call0.20
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.20
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts46
Avg IV0.21
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.27
Skew0.08
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.23
Skew-0.11
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.16
Put IV0.26
Skew0.10
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.26
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAEE260918C00110000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume4
OI83
IV0.15
ContractAEE260918C00115000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume1
OI432
IV0.18
ContractAEE260918P00105000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike105.00
Volume1
OI24
IV0.23
ContractAEE260821P00100000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume1
OI8
IV0.40
ContractAEE260821C00120000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike120.00
Volume-
OI296
IV0.25
ContractAEE260821C00115000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume-
OI273
IV0.15
ContractAEE260918C00130000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike130.00
Volume-
OI180
IV0.21
ContractAEE260821C00110000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI91
IV0.19

Evidence context