Ticker Options Intelligence

KVUE options intelligence

Kenvue Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 21:17 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

KVUE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.08.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 1.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.08

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.26

Call-side skew

Trend fit 29

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.1%

RS -2.2

Expected move 1.7%
Put-call volume 0.26
Volume / OI 0.08
Reference IV 0.60
Max pain 19.00
Underlying 19.23
Nearest expiry 14 Aug 2026
Contracts 287

Research Brief

KVUE has a bullish chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 18.91–19.55; The largest call open-interest concentration is 20.00; the largest put concentration is 18.50. The most active strike by current volume is 15.50.

Priced range18.91–19.55
Call concentration20.00
Put concentration18.50
Max pain reference19.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 14 Aug

Options imply 18.91 to 19.55. Max pain at 19.00 sits inside that range, 1.2% below spot.

Spot Max pain
18.9119.23 ± 0.3219.55
Confirmation level

A close beyond 19.55 or below 18.91 at the 14 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 65/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure65 × 42%
+27.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement29 × 26%
+7.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility48 × 10%
+4.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 20.00; the largest put concentration is 18.50. The most active strike by current volume is 15.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
5.00-74.0%
0
0
13.50-29.8%
0
31
14.50-24.6%
0
107
15.00-22.0%
0
356
15.50-19.4%
0
40
16.00-16.8%
0
32
16.50-14.2%
0
57
17.00-11.6%
0
227
17.50-9.0%
0
139
18.00-6.4%
0
1311
18.50-3.8%
0
138
19.00-1.2%
238
14
19.501.4%
168
50
20.004.0%
759
0
20.506.6%
126
0
21.009.2%
21
0
25.0030.0%
98
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$4.0MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak20.00+$2.1M
Negative peak18.50-$120,136
Nearest balance18.55Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
13.00-32.4%
-$43,667
14.00-27.2%
-$1,650
14.50-24.6%
-$434
15.00-22.0%
-$85,155
15.50-19.4%
-$6,742
16.00-16.8%
-$6,334
16.50-14.2%
-$6,184
17.00-11.6%
-$20,148
17.50-9.0%
-$8,965
18.00-6.4%
+$136,669
18.50-3.8%
-$120,136
19.00-1.2%
+$974,761
19.501.4%
+$205,218
20.004.0%
+$2.1M
20.506.6%
+$91,297
21.009.2%
+$81,437
22.0014.4%
+$294,710
22.5017.0%
+$56
23.5022.2%
+$6
24.0024.8%
+$303
25.0030.0%
+$224,974
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.17× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.60 14 Aug 2d
0.48 21 Aug 9d
0.41 28 Aug 16d
0.55 4 Sep 23d
0.48 11 Sep 30d
0.37 18 Sep 37d
0.40 20 Nov 100d
0.35 18 Dec 128d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

16
16
17
17
18
18
19
19
20
20
21
21
23
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured · 3 directional

Across 3 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 33% of the time.

Directional follow-through33%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move0.1%
6 Aug Mixed · 40 -0.1% through expiry 1.2% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Bullish · 49 -0.1% through expiry 3.8% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Volatility · 57 -0.1% through expiry 4.9% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Mixed · 37 -0.1% through expiry 2.9% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Bearish · 45 -0.1% through expiry 3.5% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Bullish · 45 -0.2% through expiry 3.6% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
287 / 287
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

78/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $5.0M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+65
1W price-0.1%
Call premium90%
Put premium10%
Notional split C 90% / P 10% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.08 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 29/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 2505 contracts traded, $2.5M estimated gross traded notional, and 51% of visible notional.
$2.5M
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 6609 contracts traded, $1.5M estimated gross traded notional, and 30% of visible notional.
$1.5M
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 168 contracts traded, $216,132 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$216,132
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 162 contracts traded, $204,800 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$204,800
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 356 contracts traded, $189,916 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$189,916

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

88

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank64th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close19.23
1W-0.1%
RS-2.2
Fair value+1.5%
Options pressure65
Speculation42
Volatility48
Trend fit29

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.7% muted
30d avg 3.0% · 11 sessions 18th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.60 near normal
30d avg 0.49 · 11 sessions 64th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.26 near normal
30d avg 0.68 · 11 sessions 45th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.08 elevated
30d avg 0.02 · 11 sessions 100th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:13 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 2.1%
30 Jul 10:10 Volatility
Pressure 40
Move 4.8%
31 Jul 11:23 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 3.6%
2 Aug 18:23 Bearish
Pressure -37
Move 3.5%
4 Aug 10:06 Mixed
Pressure 8
Move 2.9%
5 Aug 10:14 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 4.9%
6 Aug 10:13 Bullish
Pressure 74
Move 3.8%
7 Aug 11:00 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 1.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls · V 106 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike13.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike13.50
Calls · V 55 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike14.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 11
Strike14.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 31
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 107
Strike15.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 151 · OI 356

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.32
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.48
Put-call0.03
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.41
Put-call0.07
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts15
Avg IV0.55
Put-call2.46
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts13
Avg IV0.48
Put-call0.10

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.28
Skew-0.05
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.27
Skew0.04
28 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.31
Skew-0.13
4 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.61
Skew0.24
11 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.52
Skew0.14

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractKVUE260911C00020500
SideCall
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike20.50
Volume-
OI1278
IV0.37
ContractKVUE260911P00017000
SidePut
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike17.00
Volume-
OI90
IV0.64
ContractKVUE260911P00016500
SidePut
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike16.50
Volume-
OI60
IV0.69
ContractKVUE260814P00020000
SidePut
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI50
IV0.73
ContractKVUE260911P00017500
SidePut
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI40
IV0.72
ContractKVUE260814P00014500
SidePut
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike14.50
Volume-
OI31
IV3.40
ContractKVUE260904C00021000
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike21.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.54
ContractKVUE260911C00022000
SideCall
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike22.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.66

Evidence context