Ticker Options Intelligence

VYM options intelligence

VANGUARD WHITEHALL FUNDS VANGUARD HIGH DIVIDEND YIELD ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 56 Market data through 17 Sep 2026 Checked 18 Sep 2026 11:24 ยท complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

VYM currently carries bullish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.21.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.8%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.21

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.01

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.8%

RS -0.6

Expected move 4.8%
Put-call volume 0.01
Volume / OI 0.21
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 165.00
Underlying 162.92
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 370

Research Brief

VYM has a bullish chain read with 56/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 155.10โ€“170.74; The largest call open-interest concentration is 166.00; the largest put concentration is 163.00. The most active strike by current volume is 160.00.

Priced range155.10โ€“170.74
Call concentration166.00
Put concentration163.00
Max pain reference165.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 155.10 to 170.74. Max pain at 165.00 sits inside that range, 1.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
155.10162.92 ยฑ 7.82170.74
Confirmation level

A close beyond 170.74 or below 155.10 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 56/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 ร— 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation45 ร— 22%
+9.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 ร— 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility40 ร— 10%
+4.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score55.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 166.00; the largest put concentration is 163.00. The most active strike by current volume is 160.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
4
151.00-7.3%
3
62
155.00-4.9%
0
11
157.00-3.6%
0
4
158.00-3.0%
3
7
159.00-2.4%
0
24
160.00-1.8%
6
16
161.00-1.2%
4
62
162.00-0.6%
1
66
163.000.0%
5
36
164.000.7%
13
24
165.001.3%
10
11
166.001.9%
103
1
167.002.5%
30
4
168.003.1%
57
0
169.003.7%
44
3
170.004.3%
103
0
172.005.6%
7
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 96% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$3.1MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak175.00+$763,351
Negative peak155.00-$243,222
Nearest balance163.66Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
152.00-6.7%
+$194,962
153.00-6.1%
-$207,542
154.00-5.5%
-$109,930
155.00-4.9%
-$243,222
156.00-4.2%
-$384
157.00-3.6%
+$96,488
158.00-3.0%
+$42,127
159.00-2.4%
-$47,969
160.00-1.8%
+$454,305
161.00-1.2%
+$58,194
162.00-0.6%
-$173,383
163.000.0%
-$35,765
164.000.7%
+$18,514
165.001.3%
+$735,563
166.001.9%
+$99,573
167.002.5%
+$99,749
168.003.1%
+$145,229
169.003.7%
+$42,851
170.004.3%
+$197,929
172.005.6%
+$834
173.006.2%
+$104
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.34ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.30 18 Sep 1d
0.11 16 Oct 29d
0.13 20 Nov 64d
0.12 15 Jan 120d
0.13 16 Apr 211d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

145
147
148
149
151
153
154
155
157
159
160
161
163
165
166
167
169
171
172
173
175
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured ยท 4 directional

Across 4 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 75% of the time.

Directional follow-through75%
Moves contained by pricing67%
Average expiry move1.5%
17 Aug Bullish ยท 45 -0.9% through expiry 0.9% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Mixed ยท 28 -0.9% through expiry 0.9% priced ยท v2.0
4 Aug Bullish ยท 48 1.9% through expiry 3.0% priced ยท v2.0
3 Aug Bullish ยท 37 1.9% through expiry 2.0% priced ยท v2.0
31 Jul Bullish ยท 30 1.9% through expiry 2.2% priced ยท v2.0
30 Jul Mixed ยท 34 1.7% through expiry 2.2% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
17 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
370 / 370
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

69/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $12.6M of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 22-45 days ยท itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-0.8%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.21 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ITM
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 3970 contracts traded, $10.9M estimated gross traded notional, and 87% of visible notional.
$10.9M
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ITM calls cluster with 688 contracts traded, $1.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$1.6M
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ATM calls cluster with 26 contracts traded, $14,028 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$14,028
Calls ยท 46-90 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $11,220 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$11,220
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $6,425 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$6,425

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

96

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 16 completed sessions

Volume rank94th
Volume/OI rank94th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close162.92
1W-0.8%
RS-0.6
Fair value+27.0%
Options pressure100
Speculation45
Volatility40
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.8% history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 16/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 16/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 16/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 16/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.01 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 16/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 16/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.21 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 16/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 16/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 13:25 Bullish
Pressure 45
Move 2.9%
30 Jul 13:12 Bullish
Pressure 68
Move 2.4%
31 Jul 12:52 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 2.2%
3 Aug 11:42 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 2.2%
4 Aug 12:52 Bullish
Pressure 62
Move 2.0%
5 Aug 13:14 Bullish
Pressure 82
Move 3.0%
17 Aug 11:28 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 0.9%
17 Aug 18:35 Bullish
Pressure 89
Move 0.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike145.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike146.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike147.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike148.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike149.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike150.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Strike151.00
Calls ยท V 5 ยท OI 3
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 4
Strike152.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.30
Put-call0.94
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts90
Avg IV0.11
Put-call0.00
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.13
Put-call0.08
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts80
Avg IV0.12
Put-call-
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Contracts80
Avg IV0.13
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.14
Put IV0.27
Skew0.13
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.14
Skew0.07
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.18
Skew0.06
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.11
Put IV0.15
Skew0.04
16 Apr 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.16
Skew0.06

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVYM261016C00142000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike142.00
Volume1299
OI450
IV0.01
ContractVYM261016C00120000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike120.00
Volume805
OI3
IV0.01
ContractVYM270416C00145000
SideCall
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Strike145.00
Volume540
OI1266
IV0.10
ContractVYM261016C00140000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike140.00
Volume425
OI272
IV0.01
ContractVYM261016C00110000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike110.00
Volume294
OI76
IV0.01
ContractVYM261016C00145000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike145.00
Volume291
OI114
IV0.01
ContractVYM261016C00135000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike135.00
Volume260
OI113
IV0.01
ContractVYM261016C00105000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike105.00
Volume130
OI42
IV0.61

Evidence context