Ticker Options Intelligence

AIN options intelligence

Albany International Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 11 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 13:43 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

AIN currently carries bearish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 8.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -15.8%

RS -4.2

Expected move 8.9%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.41
Max pain 60.00
Underlying 62.71
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 116

Research Brief

AIN has a bearish chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 57.13–68.29; The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 50.00.

Priced range57.13–68.29
Call concentration65.00
Put concentration50.00
Max pain reference60.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 57.13 to 68.29. Max pain at 60.00 sits inside that range, 4.3% below spot.

Spot Max pain
57.1362.71 ± 5.5868.29
Confirmation level

A close beyond 68.29 or below 57.13 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility64 × 10%
+6.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 50.00. The most active strike by current volume is 50.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
50.00-20.3%
0
1
55.00-12.3%
0
0
60.00-4.3%
3
1
65.003.7%
39
0
70.0011.6%
0
0
75.0019.6%
2
0
80.0027.6%
2
0
85.0035.5%
0
0
90.0043.5%
0
0
95.0051.5%
0
0
100.0059.5%
0
0
105.0067.4%
0
0
110.0075.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 92% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile+$2,134Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak65.00+$30,628
Negative peak50.00-$37,699
Nearest balance70.00Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
30.00-52.2%
-$7
45.00-28.2%
-$4,450
50.00-20.3%
-$37,699
55.00-12.3%
-$158
60.00-4.3%
+$13,057
65.003.7%
+$30,628
70.0011.6%
-$15
75.0019.6%
+$382
80.0027.6%
+$349
85.0035.5%
+$15
95.0051.5%
+$4
110.0075.4%
+$28
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.11× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.41 21 Aug 10d
0.24 18 Sep 38d
0.34 18 Dec 129d
0.37 19 Mar 220d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

55
60
65
70
75
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
11 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
116 / 116
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

94/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $465 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · otm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-100
1W price-15.8%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · OTM
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 15 contracts traded, $465 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$465

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

60

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 10 completed sessions

Volume rank60th
Volume/OI rank60th
IV rank60th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close62.71
1W-15.8%
RS-4.2
Fair value-13.3%
Options pressure-100
Speculation3
Volatility64
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.9% muted
30d avg 12.8% · 10 sessions 20th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
IV 0.41 near normal
30d avg 0.49 · 10 sessions 60th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 8/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 8/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 near normal
30d avg 0.10 · 10 sessions 60th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:03 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 11.3%
30 Jul 10:51 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 11.3%
31 Jul 10:34 Bullish
Pressure 88
Move 11.3%
31 Jul 18:32 Volatility
Pressure -82
Move 14.8%
31 Jul 19:43 Volatility
Pressure -81
Move 14.8%
2 Aug 16:35 Bullish
Pressure 88
Move 11.5%
4 Aug 10:35 Bullish
Pressure 38
Move 10.8%
5 Aug 11:06 Volatility
Pressure 79
Move 21.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 39
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.34
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts30
Avg IV0.37
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.14
Skew-0.17
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.04
Put IV0.36
Skew0.31
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.46
Skew-0.03
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.49
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAIN260918P00050000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike50.00
Volume13
OI831
IV0.48
ContractAIN260918P00055000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike55.00
Volume2
OI6
IV0.18
ContractAIN260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI825
IV0.41
ContractAIN260918C00060000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI97
IV0.32
ContractAIN260918C00065000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI44
IV0.04
ContractAIN260918P00060000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI40
IV0.36
ContractAIN260821C00065000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI39
IV0.31
ContractAIN270319C00065000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.35

Evidence context