Ticker Options Intelligence

CD options intelligence

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 24 Market data through 11 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 14:20 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

CD currently carries mixed options pressure with a 24/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 42.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 42.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 36

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -5.0%

RS -67.9

Expected move 42.3%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 2.56
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 2.65
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 42

Research Brief

CD has a mixed chain read with 24/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 1.53–3.77; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range1.53–3.77
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 1.53 to 3.77. Max pain at 5.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
1.532.65 ± 1.123.77
Confirmation level

A close beyond 3.77 or below 1.53 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 24/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 11/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure11 × 42%
+4.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement36 × 26%
+9.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score23.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
20
2.50-5.7%
1
41
5.0088.7%
490
0
7.50183.0%
42
0
10.00277.4%
127
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$570Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak5.00+$380
Negative peak2.50-$33
Nearest balance2.70Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50-5.7%
-$33
5.0088.7%
+$380
7.50183.0%
+$115
10.00277.4%
+$58
12.50371.7%
+$5
15.00466.0%
+$43
17.50560.4%
+$2
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.85× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

2.56 21 Aug 10d
1.46 18 Sep 38d
1.34 18 Dec 129d
1.38 19 Mar 220d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

3
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
11 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
42 / 42
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

24/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+11
1W price-5.0%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 36/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

33

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 10 completed sessions

Volume rank10th
Volume/OI rank10th
IV rank80th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close2.65
1W-5.0%
RS-67.9
Fair value-40.0%
Options pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit36

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 42.3% elevated
30d avg 31.5% · 10 sessions 80th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
IV 2.56 elevated
30d avg 1.82 · 10 sessions 80th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 muted
30d avg 0.09 · 10 sessions 10th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:20 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 24.3%
30 Jul 11:04 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 23.9%
31 Jul 10:43 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 24.0%
2 Aug 21:57 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 23.6%
4 Aug 00:27 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 42.7%
4 Aug 21:04 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 29.6%
6 Aug 10:23 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 42.3%
7 Aug 11:47 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 35.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 20
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 490
Puts · V 0 · OI 41
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 42
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 127
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV2.56
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV1.46
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV1.34
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.38
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.53
Put IV0.81
Skew-0.71
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.78
Put IV0.42
Skew-0.35
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.33
Put IV1.50
Skew0.17
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV1.29
Put IV1.52
Skew0.22

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCD260821C00005000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI490
IV1.53
ContractCD261218C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI284
IV1.09
ContractCD260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI220
IV1.26
ContractCD260918C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI130
IV0.78
ContractCD260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI127
IV3.10
ContractCD260918C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI126
IV1.59
ContractCD261218C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI66
IV0.68
ContractCD260821C00007500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI42
IV2.47

Evidence context