Ticker Options Intelligence

BBJP options intelligence

JPMORGAN BETABUILDERS JAPAN ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 28 Market data through 14 Sep 2026 Checked 15 Sep 2026 08:14 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

BBJP currently carries mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 2.5%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 81

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.3%

RS 3.2

Expected move 2.5%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 0.14
Max pain 75.00
Underlying 79.55
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 128

Research Brief

BBJP has a mixed chain read with 28/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 77.55โ€“81.55; The largest call open-interest concentration is 80.00; the largest put concentration is 75.00. The most active strike by current volume is 67.00.

Priced range77.55โ€“81.55
Call concentration80.00
Put concentration75.00
Max pain reference75.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 77.55 to 81.55. Max pain at 75.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
77.5579.55 ยฑ 2.0081.55
Confirmation level

A close beyond 81.55 or below 77.55 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 28/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 11/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure11 ร— 42%
+4.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 ร— 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement81 ร— 26%
+21.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility20 ร— 10%
+2.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score27.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 80.00; the largest put concentration is 75.00. The most active strike by current volume is 67.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
67.00-15.8%
0
0
68.00-14.5%
0
0
69.00-13.3%
0
0
70.00-12.0%
0
0
71.00-10.7%
0
0
72.00-9.5%
0
0
73.00-8.2%
0
0
74.00-7.0%
0
1
75.00-5.7%
0
0
76.00-4.5%
0
0
77.00-3.2%
0
0
78.00-1.9%
0
0
79.00-0.7%
0
0
80.000.6%
35
0
81.001.8%
0
0
82.003.1%
0
0
83.004.3%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$29,833Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak80.00+$26,960
Negative peak68.00-$196
Nearest balance68.64Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
65.00-18.3%
+$46
68.00-14.5%
-$196
70.00-12.0%
+$416
73.00-8.2%
+$1,741
75.00-5.7%
+$97
76.00-4.5%
+$368
77.00-3.2%
+$402
80.000.6%
+$26,960
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.62ร— front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.14 18 Sep 4d
0.21 16 Oct 32d
0.23 15 Jan 123d
0.22 16 Apr 214d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured ยท 2 directional

Across 2 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 50% of the time.

Directional follow-through50%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move3.2%
17 Aug Volatility ยท 46 -2.9% through expiry 9.4% priced ยท v2.0
5 Aug Bearish ยท 45 3.1% through expiry 10.9% priced ยท v2.0
4 Aug Mixed ยท 30 3.1% through expiry 3.2% priced ยท v2.0
3 Aug Mixed ยท 28 3.1% through expiry 3.6% priced ยท v2.0
31 Jul Mixed ยท 29 3.1% through expiry 4.8% priced ยท v2.0
30 Jul Bullish ยท 58 4.2% through expiry 6.6% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
14 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
128 / 128
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

28/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+11
1W price+0.3%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 81/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

50

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 14 completed sessions

Volume rank57th
Volume/OI rank57th
IV rank36th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close79.55
1W+0.3%
RS3.2
Fair value+35.4%
Options pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility20
Trend fit81

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.5% history building
30d avg - ยท 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 14/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 14/60 sessions -
IV 0.14 history building
30d avg - ยท 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 14/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 14/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 6/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 14/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 14/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 12:00 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.1%
30 Jul 11:34 Mixed
Pressure 8
Move 4.6%
31 Jul 11:12 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.6%
3 Aug 13:11 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 4.8%
4 Aug 12:54 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 3.6%
4 Aug 21:50 Bearish
Pressure -39
Move 9.2%
5 Aug 09:44 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 3.2%
5 Aug 22:33 Bearish
Pressure -39
Move 10.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike67.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike68.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike69.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike71.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike72.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike73.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike74.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.14
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.21
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts30
Avg IV0.23
Put-call-
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.06
Skew-0.01
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.24
Skew0.02
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.31
Skew0.10
16 Apr 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.28
Skew0.10

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBBJP260918C00080000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI35
IV0.07
ContractBBJP261016C00073000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike73.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.29
ContractBBJP261016C00080000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.22
ContractBBJP270115C00070000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.23
ContractBBJP261016P00068000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike68.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.35
ContractBBJP270115C00075000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.21
ContractBBJP270115C00073000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike73.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.22
ContractBBJP261016C00076000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike76.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.25

Evidence context