Ticker Options Intelligence

NEWT options intelligence

NewtekOne, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 50 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 12:21 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

NEWT currently carries bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 4.2%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 19

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -8.8%

RS -2.9

Expected move 4.2%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.78
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 13.53
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 80

Research Brief

NEWT has a bearish chain read with 50/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 12.95–14.11; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range12.95–14.11
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration12.50
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 12.95 to 14.11. Max pain at 15.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
12.9513.53 ± 0.5814.11
Confirmation level

A close beyond 14.11 or below 12.95 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 50/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 91/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure91 × 42%
+38.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement19 × 26%
+5.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility71 × 10%
+7.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score50.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-81.5%
0
1
5.00-63.0%
0
0
7.50-44.6%
0
0
10.00-26.1%
0
52
12.50-7.6%
3
12
15.0010.9%
40
0
17.5029.3%
39
0
20.0047.8%
0
0
22.5066.3%
0
0
25.0084.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$15,842Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak15.00+$10,040
Negative peak7.50-$136
Nearest balance10.05Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
5.00-63.0%
-$1
7.50-44.6%
-$136
10.00-26.1%
-$94
12.50-7.6%
+$4,207
15.0010.9%
+$10,040
17.5029.3%
+$1,810
20.0047.8%
+$16
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.20× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.78 21 Aug 9d
0.35 18 Sep 37d
0.33 18 Dec 128d
0.35 19 Mar 219d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

13
15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
80 / 80
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

94/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $105 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · otm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-91
1W price-8.8%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 19/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · OTM
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $105 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$105

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close13.53
1W-8.8%
RS-2.9
Fair value+16.4%
Options pressure-91
Speculation0
Volatility71
Trend fit19

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.2% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 0.78 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:29 Volatility
Pressure 79
Move 9.9%
30 Jul 11:13 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 17.3%
31 Jul 10:50 Volatility
Pressure -68
Move 10.0%
2 Aug 18:18 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 10.5%
4 Aug 10:41 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 9.1%
5 Aug 11:11 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.8%
6 Aug 11:14 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 15.6%
10 Aug 11:03 Volatility
Pressure 74
Move 11.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 52
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 40
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 39
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.78
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.35
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV0.35
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.36
Skew-0.15
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.32
Skew0.07
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.41
Skew0.07
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.53
Skew0.20

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractNEWT260918P00012500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume3
OI115
IV0.32
ContractNEWT260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI699
IV0.25
ContractNEWT261218C00017500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI286
IV0.23
ContractNEWT260918C00012500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI227
IV0.30
ContractNEWT260918C00017500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI104
IV0.43
ContractNEWT261218C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI82
IV0.34
ContractNEWT261218P00007500
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI60
IV0.41
ContractNEWT270319C00012500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI57
IV0.30

Evidence context