Ticker Options Intelligence

SBC options intelligence

SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 51 Market data through 22 Sep 2026 Checked 22 Sep 2026 16:43 ยท partial chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

SBC currently carries volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 35.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.15.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 35.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.15

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 11

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +6.5%

RS 12.2

Expected move 35.5%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.15
Reference IV 0.73
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 4.75
Nearest expiry 18 Dec 2026
Contracts 4

Research Brief

SBC has a volatility chain read with 51/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 3.07โ€“6.43; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00.

Priced range3.07โ€“6.43
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Dec

Options imply 3.07 to 6.43. Max pain at 5.00 sits inside that range, 5.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
3.074.75 ยฑ 1.686.43
Confirmation level

A close beyond 6.43 or below 3.07 at the 18 Dec expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 51/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 88/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure88 ร— 42%
+37.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation11 ร— 22%
+2.5

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement11 ร— 26%
+2.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility91 ร— 10%
+9.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score51.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
5.005.3%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks ยท 100% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$212Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak7.50+$44
Negative peak5.00-$256
Nearest balance7.13Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
5.005.3%
-$256
7.5057.9%
+$44
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.99ร— front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.73 18 Dec 87d
0.73 19 Mar 178d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured ยท 0 directional

6 stored transitions are available, but none had a directional bullish or bearish label.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move11.2%
16 Sep Volatility ยท 70 6.5% through expiry 41.2% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Mixed ยท 30 6.5% through expiry 37.2% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep Mixed ยท 30 6.5% through expiry 36.5% priced ยท v2.0
9 Sep Volatility ยท 52 15.3% through expiry 35.1% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Mixed ยท 29 15.3% through expiry 35.1% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Mixed ยท 29 17.3% through expiry 26.4% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Good

B79/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Retained chain subset
Market date
22 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
4 / 4
  • 100% of provider contracts were retained for this snapshot.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $600 of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 91+ days ยท otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+88
1W price+6.5%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.15 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 11/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM calls cluster with 15 contracts traded, $600 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$600

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

8 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 8 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close4.75
1W+6.5%
RS12.2
Fair value+7.2%
Options pressure88
Speculation11
Volatility91
Trend fit11

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 35.5% history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 8/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 8/60 sessions -
IV 0.73 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 8/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 8/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.15 history building
30d avg - ยท 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 6/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
4 Sep 10:56 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 26.4%
8 Sep 08:03 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 35.1%
10 Sep 10:33 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 35.1%
14 Sep 10:24 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 36.5%
15 Sep 09:03 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 37.2%
17 Sep 10:24 Volatility
Pressure -88
Move 41.2%
17 Sep 22:51 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 38.5%
22 Sep 10:24 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 15.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV0.73
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts3
Avg IV0.73
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Dec 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.73
Put IV-
Skew-
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.73
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSBC270319P00005000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI75
IV0.68
ContractSBC270319C00005000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.73
ContractSBC261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.73
ContractSBC270319C00007500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike7.50
Volume15
OI15
IV0.79

Evidence context