Ticker Options Intelligence

CWCO options intelligence

Consolidated Water Co Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 31 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 12:20 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CWCO currently carries bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 11.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.67

Call-side skew

Trend fit 31

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.4%

RS -20.3

Expected move 11.8%
Put-call volume 0.67
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.75
Max pain 35.00
Underlying 30.49
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 74

Research Brief

CWCO has a bullish chain read with 31/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 26.89–34.09; The largest call open-interest concentration is 35.00; the largest put concentration is 35.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50.

Priced range26.89–34.09
Call concentration35.00
Put concentration35.00
Max pain reference35.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 26.89 to 34.09. Max pain at 35.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
26.8930.49 ± 3.6034.09
Confirmation level

A close beyond 34.09 or below 26.89 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 31/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 28/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure28 × 42%
+11.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement31 × 26%
+8.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility93 × 10%
+9.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score31.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 35.00; the largest put concentration is 35.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
15.00-50.8%
0
1
17.50-42.6%
0
0
20.00-34.4%
0
16
22.50-26.2%
0
13
25.00-18.0%
2
6
30.00-1.6%
18
49
35.0014.8%
100
0
40.0031.2%
90
0
45.0047.6%
1
0
50.0064.0%
3
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$7,324Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak35.00+$3,644
Negative peak25.00-$180
Nearest balance25.30Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
15.00-50.8%
-$1
17.50-42.6%
-$2
20.00-34.4%
+$23
22.50-26.2%
-$114
25.00-18.0%
-$180
30.00-1.6%
+$2,785
35.0014.8%
+$3,644
40.0031.2%
+$865
45.0047.6%
+$169
50.0064.0%
+$135
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

4.00× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.75 21 Aug 9d
0.40 18 Sep 37d
0.32 20 Nov 100d
0.19 19 Feb 191d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

25
30
35
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
74 / 74
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

63/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $985 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+28
1W price+4.4%
Call premium97%
Put premium3%
Notional split C 97% / P 3% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 31/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $665 estimated gross traded notional, and 68% of visible notional.
$665
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $215 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$215
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $80 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$80
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $20 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$20
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $5 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$5

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close30.49
1W+4.4%
RS-20.3
Fair value+4.5%
Options pressure28
Speculation8
Volatility93
Trend fit31

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.8% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 0.75 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.67 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:26 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 12.2%
30 Jul 10:34 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 16.6%
30 Jul 14:51 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 16.3%
30 Jul 15:10 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 16.3%
31 Jul 13:53 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 12.6%
31 Jul 21:06 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 12.6%
1 Aug 04:07 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 12.6%
2 Aug 15:12 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 12.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 1
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 16
Strike25.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 13
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 18
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 100
Puts · V 0 · OI 49
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 90
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.75
Put-call0.50
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.40
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts18
Avg IV0.19
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.17
Skew-0.15
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.15
Put IV0.09
Skew-0.06
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.06
Skew-0.22
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.05
Put IV0.04
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCWCO261120C00035000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI58
IV0.29
ContractCWCO260821C00030000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume1
OI18
IV0.64
ContractCWCO260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume1
OI2
IV0.97
ContractCWCO260821P00017500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume1
OI1
IV1.49
ContractCWCO270219P00020000
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike20.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.27
ContractCWCO260821C00035000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.32
ContractCWCO260821C00040000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI90
IV0.63
ContractCWCO260821P00035000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI49
IV0.53

Evidence context