Ticker Options Intelligence

WEC options intelligence

WEC Energy Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 23:05 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

WEC currently carries bullish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.36.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 2.5%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.36

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.04

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -1.6%

RS -13.4

Expected move 2.5%
Put-call volume 0.04
Volume / OI 0.36
Reference IV 0.36
Max pain 110.00
Underlying 107.63
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 108

Research Brief

WEC has a bullish chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 104.91–110.35; The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 100.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00.

Priced range104.91–110.35
Call concentration120.00
Put concentration100.00
Max pain reference110.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 104.91 to 110.35. Max pain at 110.00 sits inside that range, 2.2% above spot.

Spot Max pain
104.91107.63 ± 2.72110.35
Confirmation level

A close beyond 110.35 or below 104.91 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility35 × 10%
+3.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score54.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 100.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
60.00-44.3%
0
1
65.00-39.6%
0
1
70.00-35.0%
0
5
80.00-25.7%
0
3
85.00-21.0%
2
11
90.00-16.4%
0
38
95.00-11.7%
0
141
100.00-7.1%
28
98
105.00-2.4%
14
70
110.002.2%
703
120
115.006.8%
246
79
120.0011.5%
928
0
125.0016.1%
694
0
130.0020.8%
139
0
135.0025.4%
24
3
140.0030.1%
10
0
160.0048.7%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 98% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$2.8MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak110.00+$2.0M
Negative peak105.00-$106,296
Nearest balance105.26Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
60.00-44.3%
-$116
65.00-39.6%
-$34
70.00-35.0%
-$342
75.00-30.3%
-$59
80.00-25.7%
-$208
85.00-21.0%
-$241
90.00-16.4%
-$5,219
95.00-11.7%
-$9,059
97.50-9.4%
-$82
100.00-7.1%
-$32,023
105.00-2.4%
-$106,296
110.002.2%
+$2.0M
115.006.8%
+$108,148
120.0011.5%
+$550,945
125.0016.1%
+$268,377
130.0020.8%
+$30,767
135.0025.4%
+$9,510
140.0030.1%
+$12,024
145.0034.7%
+$1,203
155.0044.0%
+$68
160.0048.7%
+$91
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.60× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.36 21 Aug 9d
0.24 18 Sep 37d
0.24 16 Oct 65d
0.25 20 Nov 100d
0.23 15 Jan 156d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

90
95
98
100
105
110
115
120
125
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
108 / 108
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

40/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $654,380 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-1.6%
Call premium92%
Put premium8%
Notional split C 92% / P 8% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.36 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ATM
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 1031 contracts traded, $382,165 estimated gross traded notional, and 58% of visible notional.
$382,165
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 1184 contracts traded, $53,650 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$53,650
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1094 contracts traded, $51,478 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$51,478
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1022 contracts traded, $49,128 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$49,128
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 33 contracts traded, $41,588 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$41,588

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

94

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank91th
Volume/OI rank91th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close107.63
1W-1.6%
RS-13.4
Fair value+14.1%
Options pressure100
Speculation40
Volatility35
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.5% muted
30d avg 4.3% · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.36 elevated
30d avg 0.23 · 11 sessions 100th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.04 muted
30d avg 2.99 · 11 sessions 18th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.36 elevated
30d avg 0.13 · 11 sessions 91th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:12 Mixed
Pressure 14
Move 4.6%
30 Jul 10:07 Bearish
Pressure -84
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 10:04 Bullish
Pressure 73
Move 5.6%
2 Aug 11:25 Bullish
Pressure 74
Move 3.9%
4 Aug 10:04 Bullish
Pressure 99
Move 3.4%
5 Aug 10:12 Bullish
Pressure 32
Move 3.9%
6 Aug 07:12 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 4.3%
7 Aug 10:42 Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 3.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike80.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 8 · OI 3
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 11
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 38
Strike97.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.36
Put-call0.03
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts15
Avg IV0.24
Put-call0.30
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.24
Put-call0.01
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.25
Put-call0.02
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts21
Avg IV0.23
Put-call0.63

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.34
Skew0.04
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.27
Skew0.08
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.27
Skew0.07
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.26
Skew0.05
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.26
Skew0.06

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractWEC260918P00115000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume-
OI8
IV0.30
ContractWEC261016P00120000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike120.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.29
ContractWEC270115P00070000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.52
ContractWEC260821P00080000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI5
IV1.14
ContractWEC261120C00145000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike145.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.41
ContractWEC260918P00090000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike90.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.44
ContractWEC260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI2
IV2.09
ContractWEC261120C00085000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.77

Evidence context