Ticker Options Intelligence

AMZW options intelligence

ROUNDHILL AMZN WEEKLYPAY ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 42 Market data through 14 Sep 2026 Checked 15 Sep 2026 13:47 ยท complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

AMZW currently carries bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 2.0%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 4

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.7%

RS -7.4

Expected move 2.0%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.19
Max pain 38.00
Underlying 36.32
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 162

Research Brief

AMZW has a bullish chain read with 42/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 35.59โ€“37.05; The largest call open-interest concentration is 47.00; the largest put concentration is 37.00. The most active strike by current volume is 20.00.

Priced range35.59โ€“37.05
Call concentration47.00
Put concentration37.00
Max pain reference38.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 35.59 to 37.05. Max pain at 38.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
35.5936.32 ยฑ 0.7337.05
Confirmation level

A close beyond 37.05 or below 35.59 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 42/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 88/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure88 ร— 42%
+37.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 ร— 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement4 ร— 26%
+1.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility22 ร— 10%
+2.2

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 47.00; the largest put concentration is 37.00. The most active strike by current volume is 20.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
20.00-44.9%
0
0
25.00-31.2%
0
0
30.00-17.4%
0
0
31.00-14.6%
0
0
32.00-11.9%
0
0
33.00-9.1%
0
3
34.00-6.4%
0
5
35.00-3.6%
0
7
36.00-0.9%
0
40
37.001.9%
2
1
38.004.6%
2
0
39.007.4%
0
1
40.0010.1%
1
0
41.0012.9%
2
0
42.0015.6%
2
1
43.0018.4%
0
0
47.0029.4%
12
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 94% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$21,264Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak47.00+$83
Negative peak37.00-$9,186
Nearest balance40.96Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
31.00-14.6%
-$1,081
32.00-11.9%
-$1,780
33.00-9.1%
-$2,774
34.00-6.4%
-$603
35.00-3.6%
-$2,510
36.00-0.9%
-$374
37.001.9%
-$9,186
38.004.6%
-$1,356
39.007.4%
-$847
40.0010.1%
-$847
41.0012.9%
+$40
42.0015.6%
+$50
47.0029.4%
+$83
48.0032.2%
+$6
50.0037.7%
-$87
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.47ร— front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.19 18 Sep 4d
0.29 16 Oct 32d
0.41 18 Dec 95d
0.41 19 Mar 186d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

5 matured ยท 3 directional

Across 3 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 67% of the time.

Directional follow-through67%
Moves contained by pricing20%
Average expiry move9.4%
5 Aug Mixed ยท 32 -9.7% through expiry 3.5% priced ยท v2.0
4 Aug Bullish ยท 38 -9.7% through expiry 4.0% priced ยท v2.0
3 Aug Bearish ยท 50 -9.7% through expiry 4.1% priced ยท v2.0
31 Jul Mixed ยท 35 -9.7% through expiry 6.4% priced ยท v2.0
30 Jul Bullish ยท 44 8.1% through expiry 11.6% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
14 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
162 / 162
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call activity against legacy put OI

61/100
Primary intent Call activity against legacy put OI

Call activity is dominant while put open interest remains large but current put volume is not leading.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Call activity against legacy put OI matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $436 of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 91+ days ยท atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+88
1W price-0.7%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 4/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Do not infer a hedge unwind without next-session open-interest changes and opening/closing data.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ATM
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $242 estimated gross traded notional, and 56% of visible notional.
$242
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $193 estimated gross traded notional, and 44% of visible notional.
$193

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

51

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 13 completed sessions

Volume rank62th
Volume/OI rank62th
IV rank31th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close36.32
1W-0.7%
RS-7.4
Fair value+1.0%
Options pressure88
Speculation8
Volatility22
Trend fit4

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.0% history building
30d avg - ยท 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 13/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 13/60 sessions -
IV 0.19 history building
30d avg - ยท 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 13/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 13/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 7/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - ยท 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 13/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 13/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:58 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 6.2%
30 Jul 11:32 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 7.8%
31 Jul 11:04 Bullish
Pressure 88
Move 11.6%
3 Aug 10:05 Mixed
Pressure 8
Move 6.4%
4 Aug 11:22 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 4.1%
5 Aug 11:46 Bullish
Pressure 55
Move 4.0%
6 Aug 11:59 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 3.5%
23 Aug 15:37 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 7.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike31.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike32.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike33.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike34.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 3
Strike35.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 5

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.19
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.29
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.44
Skew0.23
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.44
Skew0.37
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.54
Skew0.25
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.05
Put IV0.57
Skew0.52

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAMZW270319C00039000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike39.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.05
ContractAMZW270319C00036000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike36.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.23
ContractAMZW270319P00033000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike33.00
Volume-
OI92
IV0.64
ContractAMZW270319P00032000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike32.00
Volume-
OI62
IV0.64
ContractAMZW260918P00037000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike37.00
Volume-
OI40
IV0.41
ContractAMZW270319P00031000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike31.00
Volume-
OI32
IV0.51
ContractAMZW261218P00038000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike38.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.61
ContractAMZW261218P00040000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.61

Evidence context