Pattern Intelligence · CPH

NDA-DK quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 53.4%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.29%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 60.4%

Likely higher · avg analogue +0.79%

Moderate conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
125.70
Trend Line
119.82
Fair value
91.60
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -6.87%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -0.57%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +3.75%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +4.91%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +37.23%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.04

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.33

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.37

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
8135
JPX
2025-08-29 0.834 higher +17.77%
SCM
NYSE
2021-10-22 0.8072 higher +1.84%
8596
JPX
2026-02-27 0.8071 lower -7.25%
SREN
EBS
2025-10-10 0.8024 lower -2.61%
SKJE
CPH
2022-01-21 0.7967 lower -0.87%
BBSE3
SAO
2025-01-24 0.7953 higher +3.94%
BRE
TOR
2021-12-03 0.7931 lower -2.30%
ABBN
EBS
2024-11-08 0.789 higher +4.00%
VER
VIE
2022-03-04 0.7886 higher +8.65%
2009
JPX
2026-05-15 0.7859 lower -0.74%
FUND
NASDAQ
2021-11-05 0.7844 lower -7.76%
MAC
NYSE
2021-11-12 0.7843 lower -15.04%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure 1.58906
  • Next-week expectancy 0.64336
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
  • Volume pressure -0.37224
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.