+0.0 points over the latest measured period.
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Technology expectations are steady at 58.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is rising at 58.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +8.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.
SignalWatchCurrent classification
Signal score29/100Priority across the tape
Market quality41/100Confidence in the read
Volume9.8KParticipation to date
Liquidity768Available market depth
Observed range9.0 pts422 snapshots
Market angles
The current setup
Position between the observed low and high.
Share of recorded observations at or below today’s probability.
Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.
Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.
Time until the listed market resolution deadline.
Probability history
Probability through time
Implied probability across the selected period.
Period low 50.5%
Period high 59.5%
Direction Rising
Spread 0.0 pts
Repricing episodes
The moves that changed the market
Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.
Probability journey
How the market reached today’s price
Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.
Market profile
Signal strength versus theme peers
Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Technology markets.
Current signal
Technology expectation is rising at 58.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +8.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.
Participation
Where participation changed
Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.
Volume9.8KCumulative participation
Liquidity768Current available depth
Liquidity / volume7.8%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+148Between recorded observations
Volume accumulation
Largest participation bursts
Liquidity checkpoints
How available depth changed
Market structure
Depth, open interest and spread
Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.
Technology context
View full Technology dashboard →
Compare related probabilities
Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.
Important context
A probability is a market price, not a promise.
Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.