Polymarket Crypto Open Updated 1m ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 30?

Crypto expectations are steady at 100.0% on a high-quality market. Crypto expectation is steady at 100.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 50/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

SignalHigh ConvictionCurrent classification
Signal score40/100Priority across the tape
Market quality50/100Confidence in the read
Volume9.7KParticipation to date
Liquidity54.8KAvailable market depth
Observed range0.0 pts134 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Stable

+0.0 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 50%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 100th

Share of recorded observations at or below todayโ€™s probability.

Rolling movement 0.0 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 567.7%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 9h 16m

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 100.0% Period high 100.0% Direction Stable Spread 0.0 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached todayโ€™s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Crypto markets.

Current signal

Crypto expectation is steady at 100.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 50/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume9.7KCumulative participation
Liquidity54.8KCurrent available depth
Liquidity / volume567.7%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burstโ€”Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Crypto context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

View full Crypto dashboard โ†’
Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context