Polymarket Energy Open Updated 4m ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of September 7 2026?

Energy expectations are falling at 15.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 15.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100.

SignalWatchCurrent classification
Signal score32/100Priority across the tape
Market quality42/100Confidence in the read
Volume990Participation to date
Liquidity16.1KAvailable market depth
Observed range1.0 pts111 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Falling

-0.5 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 0%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 27th

Share of recorded observations at or below todayโ€™s probability.

Rolling movement 0.0 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 1630.1%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 4d 5h

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 15.5% Period high 16.5% Direction Falling Spread 0.0 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached todayโ€™s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Energy markets.

Current signal

Energy expectation is steady at 15.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume990Cumulative participation
Liquidity16.1KCurrent available depth
Liquidity / volume1630.1%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+37Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Energy context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

View full Energy dashboard โ†’
Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context