Polymarket Crypto Open Updated 26s ago

Beezie FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Crypto expectations are rising at 28.0% on a moderate-quality market. Crypto expectation is rising at 28.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move -8.5 pts. Data quality 30/100.

SignalWatchCurrent classification
Signal score26/100Priority across the tape
Market quality30/100Confidence in the read
Volume981Participation to date
Liquidity70Available market depth
Observed range12.0 pts1730 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Rising

+2.0 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 21%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 34th

Share of recorded observations at or below todayโ€™s probability.

Rolling movement 0.0 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 7.1%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 467d 7h

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 25.5% Period high 37.5% Direction Falling Spread 0.3 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached todayโ€™s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Crypto markets.

Current signal

Crypto expectation is rising at 28.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move -8.5 pts. Data quality 30/100.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume981Cumulative participation
Liquidity70Current available depth
Liquidity / volume7.1%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+11Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Crypto context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

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Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context