Weekly structural research ยท TAI ยท Consumer Defensive

7780 Stage Analysis

Daiken Biomedical Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 16.55Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction -65โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 63/100directional strength
Maturity 51/100lifecycle context
Confidence 95/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -86.4%TWD 121.33 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 100 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0916.5517.63-83.945749584Downward Expansion-6563
2026-10-0216.0517.70-85.022932122Downward Expansion-7788
2026-09-2516.0517.87-85.732264898Downward Expansion-8186
2026-09-1816.4018.12-86.073264369Downward Expansion-7161
2026-09-1116.4018.34-86.542940303Downward Expansion-7560
2026-09-0416.7018.65-87.39579000Downward Expansion-6759
2026-08-2816.8318.95-88.13406300Downward Expansion-6561
2026-08-2116.9819.30-88.611277583Downward Expansion-6763
2026-08-1416.4924.61-89.83760009Downward Expansion-7672
2026-08-0716.6429.94-90.08655553Downward Expansion-7772
2026-07-3116.6935.41-90.40581100Downward Expansion-8173
2026-07-2417.3540.16-90.66669265Downward Expansion-7270
2026-07-1717.3044.75-90.912974739Downward Expansion-6668
2026-07-1017.9049.62-91.580Downward Expansion-5363
2026-07-0318.3554.94-91.945175124Downward Expansion-5464
2026-06-2617.9060.18-91.988798707Downward Expansion-5464
2026-06-1918.3165.30-92.3410682280Downward Expansion-5664
2026-06-1217.9370.48-92.3012559415Downward Expansion-6668
2026-06-0517.3175.74-92.8910836280Downward Expansion-6769
2026-05-2916.7880.54-93.2111841088Downward Expansion-7571
2026-05-2217.6485.50-92.617998940Downward Expansion-6989
2026-05-1517.07โ€”โ€”11442319Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-05-0817.78โ€”โ€”9655045Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-05-0117.64โ€”โ€”7078990Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-04-2417.97โ€”โ€”16110952Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-04-1719.40โ€”โ€”11795304Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-04-1020.12โ€”โ€”25567556Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-04-0321.21โ€”โ€”28208850Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-03-2720.98โ€”โ€”16304288Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-03-2018.21โ€”โ€”12376318Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-03-1318.69โ€”โ€”26074598Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-03-0621.12โ€”โ€”24649127Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-02-2723.41โ€”โ€”19131824Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-02-1323.07โ€”โ€”27846470Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-02-0625.84โ€”โ€”20986761Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-01-3025.46โ€”โ€”43483953Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-01-2327.51โ€”โ€”220551906Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-01-16176.39โ€”โ€”0Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-01-09176.39โ€”โ€”1777416Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2026-01-02180.68โ€”โ€”2209447Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-12-26159.23โ€”โ€”879438Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-12-19154.94โ€”โ€”1014803Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-12-12163.52โ€”โ€”1733686Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-12-05177.35โ€”โ€”1332024Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-11-28175.44โ€”โ€”1143237Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-11-21171.77โ€”โ€”1538126Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-11-14173.67โ€”โ€”1484612Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-11-07175.57โ€”โ€”3413446Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-31161.33โ€”โ€”2630808Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-24165.60โ€”โ€”1299351Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-17173.67โ€”โ€”1571331Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-10178.41โ€”โ€”1038552Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-03178.41โ€”โ€”1616240Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-26182.21โ€”โ€”3704792Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-19213.05โ€”โ€”8663844Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-12197.87โ€”โ€”12452353Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-05271.41โ€”โ€”483915Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-29282.80โ€”โ€”605308Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-22300.88โ€”โ€”250802Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-15311.24โ€”โ€”125378Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-08328.66โ€”โ€”316503Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-01299.47โ€”โ€”108372Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-25279.69โ€”โ€”181100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-18259.49โ€”โ€”384922Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-11274.48โ€”โ€”168979Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-04222.02โ€”โ€”261865Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-27174.71โ€”โ€”121154Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-20162.06โ€”โ€”45979Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-13160.81โ€”โ€”281188Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-06147.95โ€”โ€”75021Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-30147.95โ€”โ€”23490Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-23146.11โ€”โ€”59253Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-16144.73โ€”โ€”113750Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-09140.60โ€”โ€”23924Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-02138.76โ€”โ€”31926Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-25140.60โ€”โ€”50565Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-18142.43โ€”โ€”44325Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-11151.62โ€”โ€”105734Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-04165.87โ€”โ€”27715Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-28169.08โ€”โ€”65671Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-21162.19โ€”โ€”34274Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-14160.81โ€”โ€”22005Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-07165.87โ€”โ€”108566Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-28160.81โ€”โ€”16367Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-21161.07โ€”โ€”12977Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-14161.07โ€”โ€”30181Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-07167.02โ€”โ€”30384Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-24164.27โ€”โ€”9344Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-17163.82โ€”โ€”43404Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-10161.07โ€”โ€”65219Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-03161.07โ€”โ€”40745Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-27163.82โ€”โ€”84385Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-20161.53โ€”โ€”53374Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-13163.36โ€”โ€”305098Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-06159.70โ€”โ€”270690Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-29143.68โ€”โ€”77400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-22141.85โ€”โ€”56525Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-15138.19โ€”โ€”48575Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-08140.48โ€”โ€”175024Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-01138.19โ€”โ€”602886Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendBelow-6.1%
Trend directionFalling-50.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-86.4%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-83.9%
Relative strength directionImproving+7.6%
Price momentumNegative-17.7%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.69ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-65 / ยฑ100

+9.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

63 /100

+2.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance14
Rotation Up22
Upward Expansion12
Deceleration45
Rotation Down63
Downward Expansion88

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2024-11-01 to 2026-10-09 ยท 21 classified observations out of 100 shown.

Downward Expansion 100%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-05-222026-10-09Established-6.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing72
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution4
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
92/100
Current Relative Strength
-83.94
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-17.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-57.0%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
92th percentile37 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.35ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.69ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 16.29falling
Slow Activity TWD 17.06falling
Trend Reference TWD 17.63-6.1% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 121.33-86.4% close margin
Structural low TWD 15.65shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +2.7%
Annualized volatility +20.6%
From structural high -91.0%
From structural low +5.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term5-0.5%-5.5% to +3.8%+40.0%+60.0%-5.9%+100.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate1-3.7%-3.7% to -3.7%+0.0%+100.0%-10.7%+100.0%Too little matched history
Extended0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Full cycle0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context