Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.
The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction
-65โ100 bearish to +100 bullishEnergy
63/100directional strengthMaturity
51/100lifecycle contextConfidence
95/100evidence agreementTrend gate
Downstructural directionActivity structure
Moderateexpanding separationPrice acceptance
-83.3%position within the Activity structureFair Value context
-86.4%TWD 121.33 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context
Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value
Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.
CloseActivity LinesTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 100 observations
Week
Close
Trend
Relative Strength
Volume
Regime
Direction
Energy
2026-10-09
16.55
17.63
-83.94
5749584
Downward Expansion
-65
63
2026-10-02
16.05
17.70
-85.02
2932122
Downward Expansion
-77
88
2026-09-25
16.05
17.87
-85.73
2264898
Downward Expansion
-81
86
2026-09-18
16.40
18.12
-86.07
3264369
Downward Expansion
-71
61
2026-09-11
16.40
18.34
-86.54
2940303
Downward Expansion
-75
60
2026-09-04
16.70
18.65
-87.39
579000
Downward Expansion
-67
59
2026-08-28
16.83
18.95
-88.13
406300
Downward Expansion
-65
61
2026-08-21
16.98
19.30
-88.61
1277583
Downward Expansion
-67
63
2026-08-14
16.49
24.61
-89.83
760009
Downward Expansion
-76
72
2026-08-07
16.64
29.94
-90.08
655553
Downward Expansion
-77
72
2026-07-31
16.69
35.41
-90.40
581100
Downward Expansion
-81
73
2026-07-24
17.35
40.16
-90.66
669265
Downward Expansion
-72
70
2026-07-17
17.30
44.75
-90.91
2974739
Downward Expansion
-66
68
2026-07-10
17.90
49.62
-91.58
0
Downward Expansion
-53
63
2026-07-03
18.35
54.94
-91.94
5175124
Downward Expansion
-54
64
2026-06-26
17.90
60.18
-91.98
8798707
Downward Expansion
-54
64
2026-06-19
18.31
65.30
-92.34
10682280
Downward Expansion
-56
64
2026-06-12
17.93
70.48
-92.30
12559415
Downward Expansion
-66
68
2026-06-05
17.31
75.74
-92.89
10836280
Downward Expansion
-67
69
2026-05-29
16.78
80.54
-93.21
11841088
Downward Expansion
-75
71
2026-05-22
17.64
85.50
-92.61
7998940
Downward Expansion
-69
89
2026-05-15
17.07
โ
โ
11442319
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-08
17.78
โ
โ
9655045
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-01
17.64
โ
โ
7078990
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-24
17.97
โ
โ
16110952
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-17
19.40
โ
โ
11795304
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-10
20.12
โ
โ
25567556
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-03
21.21
โ
โ
28208850
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-27
20.98
โ
โ
16304288
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-20
18.21
โ
โ
12376318
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-13
18.69
โ
โ
26074598
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-06
21.12
โ
โ
24649127
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-27
23.41
โ
โ
19131824
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-13
23.07
โ
โ
27846470
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-06
25.84
โ
โ
20986761
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-30
25.46
โ
โ
43483953
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-23
27.51
โ
โ
220551906
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-16
176.39
โ
โ
0
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-09
176.39
โ
โ
1777416
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-02
180.68
โ
โ
2209447
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-26
159.23
โ
โ
879438
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-19
154.94
โ
โ
1014803
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-12
163.52
โ
โ
1733686
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-05
177.35
โ
โ
1332024
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-28
175.44
โ
โ
1143237
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-21
171.77
โ
โ
1538126
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-14
173.67
โ
โ
1484612
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-07
175.57
โ
โ
3413446
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-31
161.33
โ
โ
2630808
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-24
165.60
โ
โ
1299351
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-17
173.67
โ
โ
1571331
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-10
178.41
โ
โ
1038552
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-03
178.41
โ
โ
1616240
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-26
182.21
โ
โ
3704792
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-19
213.05
โ
โ
8663844
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-12
197.87
โ
โ
12452353
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-05
271.41
โ
โ
483915
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-29
282.80
โ
โ
605308
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-22
300.88
โ
โ
250802
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-15
311.24
โ
โ
125378
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-08
328.66
โ
โ
316503
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-01
299.47
โ
โ
108372
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-25
279.69
โ
โ
181100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-18
259.49
โ
โ
384922
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-11
274.48
โ
โ
168979
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-04
222.02
โ
โ
261865
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-27
174.71
โ
โ
121154
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-20
162.06
โ
โ
45979
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-13
160.81
โ
โ
281188
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-06
147.95
โ
โ
75021
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-30
147.95
โ
โ
23490
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-23
146.11
โ
โ
59253
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-16
144.73
โ
โ
113750
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-09
140.60
โ
โ
23924
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-02
138.76
โ
โ
31926
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-25
140.60
โ
โ
50565
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-18
142.43
โ
โ
44325
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-11
151.62
โ
โ
105734
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-04
165.87
โ
โ
27715
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-28
169.08
โ
โ
65671
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-21
162.19
โ
โ
34274
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-14
160.81
โ
โ
22005
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-07
165.87
โ
โ
108566
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-28
160.81
โ
โ
16367
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-21
161.07
โ
โ
12977
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-14
161.07
โ
โ
30181
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-07
167.02
โ
โ
30384
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-24
164.27
โ
โ
9344
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-17
163.82
โ
โ
43404
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-10
161.07
โ
โ
65219
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-03
161.07
โ
โ
40745
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-27
163.82
โ
โ
84385
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-20
161.53
โ
โ
53374
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-13
163.36
โ
โ
305098
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-06
159.70
โ
โ
270690
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-11-29
143.68
โ
โ
77400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-11-22
141.85
โ
โ
56525
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-11-15
138.19
โ
โ
48575
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-11-08
140.48
โ
โ
175024
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-11-01
138.19
โ
โ
602886
Not yet classified
โ
โ
Price vs TrendBelow-6.1%Trend directionFalling-50.2%Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-86.4%Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.6%Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-83.9%Relative strength directionImproving+7.6%Price momentumNegative-17.7%Volume balanceSupply-led0.69ร
Beyond the current label
Is the structure strengthening or losing force?
Direction and energy measure different things
Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.
Direction
-65 / ยฑ100
+9.6 points since 2026-09-11
Energy
63 /100
+2.7 points since 2026-09-11
Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.
The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.
Time spent in each state
The context behind todayโs regime
2024-11-01 to 2026-10-09 ยท 21 classified observations out of 100 shown.
Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.
Leadership versus ^TWII
Is relative performance confirming the geometry?
Confirmation, not classification
Relative Strength
The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.
Fast Activity
TWD 16.29fallingSlow Activity
TWD 17.06fallingTrend Reference
TWD 17.63-6.1% close marginCurrent Fair Value
TWD 121.33-86.4% close marginStructural low
TWD 15.65shock / repair context
What changes the read?
Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.
Range context
+2.7%Annualized volatility
+20.6%From structural high
-91.0%From structural low
+5.8%
Point-in-time evidence
What followed this architecture in this market?
Descriptive history, never a forecast
Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.
Outcome horizon
Samples
Median move
Positive periods
Directional follow-through
Median excess vs ^TWII
Regime survived
Read
Near term
5
-0.5%-5.5% to +3.8%
+40.0%
+60.0%
-5.9%
+100.0%
Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate
1
-3.7%-3.7% to -3.7%
+0.0%
+100.0%
-10.7%
+100.0%
Too little matched history
Extended
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Full cycle
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Continue the research
Test the structure from another angle
Use complementary evidence to confirm or challenge the stage reading. Each app shows its own observation date and coverage.
What the analysis measures and where its limits lie
Trend Architecture
Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.
Evidence roles
Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.
Fair Value and RS
Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.
Known limitations
Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.
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