Weekly structural research ยท CPH ยท Industrials

FOM Stage Analysis

FOM Technologies A/S

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close DKK 1.91Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^OMXC25
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction -68โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 57/100directional strength
Maturity 100/100lifecycle context
Confidence 85/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -83.4%DKK 11.50 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-091.912.44-42.5914183Downward Expansion-6857
2026-10-021.982.49-41.5336395Downward Expansion-6661
2026-09-251.902.55-45.5985005Downward Expansion-7582
2026-09-181.972.58-46.2145045Downward Expansion-7791
2026-09-112.012.62-46.5381301Downward Expansion-8090
2026-09-042.022.65-49.252961Downward Expansion-8791
2026-08-282.102.73-48.949299Downward Expansion-8375
2026-08-212.412.81-42.5033915Downward Expansion-4538
2026-08-142.442.88-42.9712836Downward Expansion-4636
2026-08-072.362.95-44.791202Downward Expansion-6142
2026-07-312.493.04-42.9520206Downward Expansion-5740
2026-07-242.383.09-46.443340Downward Expansion-6049
2026-07-172.353.14-50.1710128Downward Expansion-6460
2026-07-102.403.21-49.5114005Downward Expansion-6259
2026-07-032.353.27-52.3520140Downward Expansion-6658
2026-06-262.503.34-48.13520Downward Expansion-5951
2026-06-192.463.41-48.143804Downward Expansion-5835
2026-06-122.643.47-46.06100Downward Expansion-5129
2026-06-052.643.54-46.3045859Downward Expansion-4125
2026-05-292.823.61-44.3830649Downward Expansion-3624
2026-05-222.893.72-43.7740197Downward Expansion-3827
2026-05-152.713.83-47.3034351Downward Expansion-4232
2026-05-082.703.92-47.6467415Downward Expansion-5337
2026-05-012.694.00-48.87136379Downward Expansion-5743
2026-04-242.684.09-49.3242991Downward Expansion-6153
2026-04-172.704.21-51.2836128Downward Expansion-6261
2026-04-102.464.35-55.6228508Downward Expansion-7067
2026-04-032.654.52-51.7627966Downward Expansion-6750
2026-03-272.604.65-51.35154728Downward Expansion-7149
2026-03-203.054.80-43.5025259Downward Expansion-6650
2026-03-133.334.93-40.7022687Downward Expansion-6159
2026-03-063.735.07-35.18102103Downward Expansion-6270
2026-02-272.865.18-51.7941818Downward Expansion-7779
2026-02-203.155.31-49.8870682Downward Expansion-7466
2026-02-133.015.45-52.44333642Downward Expansion-7850
2026-02-064.435.60-32.3151163Downward Expansion-4126
2026-01-304.545.71-33.1551741Downward Expansion-3921
2026-01-234.405.86-36.2660457Downward Expansion-4530
2026-01-164.505.92-36.2168967Downward Expansion-4634
2026-01-095.125.98-26.93469776Downward Expansion-4937
2026-01-023.866.02-43.12131574Downward Expansion-7060
2025-12-264.106.11-40.1550321Downward Expansion-6752
2025-12-194.196.18-38.97121171Downward Expansion-6655
2025-12-124.296.23-38.56128852Downward Expansion-6769
2025-12-054.496.31-35.14117771Downward Expansion-6473
2025-11-284.686.39-32.4560477Downward Expansion-6273
2025-11-214.256.47-37.58164376Downward Expansion-7572
2025-11-144.536.55-35.21241498Downward Expansion-7249
2025-11-074.966.63-28.40181385Downward Expansion-6740
2025-10-315.986.68-15.0431571Downward Expansion-5545
2025-10-246.186.69-14.2967633Downward Expansion-5962
2025-10-175.366.76-26.81145673Downward Expansion-6468
2025-10-105.186.81-30.7094914Balance-7166
2025-10-035.376.86-29.35130148Balance-3137
2025-09-266.506.90-12.8953408Balance-119
2025-09-196.726.89-13.4948620Balance127
2025-09-127.506.90-4.60102312Balance3514
2025-09-056.646.87-17.13104156Balance2110
2025-08-297.026.88-13.8657685Balance3013
2025-08-227.066.88-16.94112082Balance3114
2025-08-157.506.89-9.88353498Balance3716
2025-08-086.926.91-18.9646970Balance3415
2025-08-017.006.95-18.4552392Rotation Up1920
2025-07-257.247.00-24.7049885Rotation Up2536
2025-07-187.587.04-20.5991119Rotation Up2334
2025-07-117.767.07-20.49131497Rotation Up1925
2025-07-048.887.13-10.79829071Rotation Up3021
2025-06-276.307.16-38.0113737Downward Expansion-5027
2025-06-206.367.27-39.8746017Downward Expansion-4929
2025-06-136.067.38-46.3011458Downward Expansion-5845
2025-06-066.647.50-42.5010715Downward Expansion-5133
2025-05-306.207.65-46.0725059Downward Expansion-5636
2025-05-235.667.86-51.7332051Downward Expansion-6737
2025-05-166.928.16-42.4523990Downward Expansion-3722
2025-05-096.768.41-42.802999Downward Expansion-5129
2025-05-027.028.68-42.5320212Downward Expansion-5133
2025-04-256.708.96-42.3415266Downward Expansion-5539
2025-04-186.909.27-40.8016490Downward Expansion-4330
2025-04-116.449.58-43.5433811Downward Expansion-5234
2025-04-046.329.92-45.9349981Downward Expansion-5839
2025-03-288.1810.25-38.8583325Downward Expansion-4638
2025-03-217.0810.49-49.3731298Downward Expansion-6462
2025-03-146.5010.79-54.7931049Downward Expansion-6865
2025-03-076.6611.14-55.6928205Downward Expansion-6766
2025-02-286.3011.64-59.7221141Downward Expansion-7871
2025-02-216.7612.12-57.1013828Downward Expansion-7281
2025-02-146.7412.61-57.0615808Downward Expansion-7787
2025-02-076.8013.10-57.5122367Downward Expansion-8084
2025-01-317.2013.64-55.3931227Downward Expansion-7872
2025-01-247.2814.19-55.6425685Downward Expansion-8171
2025-01-178.0014.75-51.5340535Downward Expansion-7473
2025-01-108.2615.23-52.009613Downward Expansion-7278
2025-01-038.5615.73-52.0082482Downward Expansion-7078
2024-12-278.3016.22-54.2040990Downward Expansion-7888
2024-12-208.5416.74-52.31137995Downward Expansion-7887
2024-12-139.5217.25-50.5613398Downward Expansion-6985
2024-12-069.8017.72-50.7145896Downward Expansion-6887
2024-11-299.5018.10-53.0623615Downward Expansion-7690
2024-11-229.7418.45-52.6846288Downward Expansion-7990
2024-11-159.8218.79-52.6795211Downward Expansion-8490
2024-11-0811.0019.18-49.2354751Downward Expansion-8174
2024-11-0112.4019.62-45.5035120Downward Expansion-7762
2024-10-2514.6519.98-37.1013309Downward Expansion-6449
2024-10-1814.5520.26-39.2420622Downward Expansion-6650
2024-10-1114.9520.53-39.0654068Downward Expansion-6549
2024-10-0415.2020.83-38.3728751Downward Expansion-6648
2024-09-2716.1021.08-37.4139386Downward Expansion-6248
2024-09-2016.4021.33-38.2749713Downward Expansion-6354
2024-09-1316.6021.55-40.2114564Downward Expansion-6577
2024-09-0616.1521.76-40.3734241Downward Expansion-6983
2024-08-3015.3522.00-45.28137244Downward Expansion-8286
2024-08-2316.0022.32-43.5372698Downward Expansion-8684
2024-08-1617.0022.66-41.1185531Downward Expansion-8475
2024-08-0921.7023.00-24.9523716Downward Expansion-5350
2024-08-0220.8023.21-29.0923584Balance-5950
2024-07-2621.3023.48-29.0717167Balance-4631
2024-07-1921.5023.70-28.4929800Balance-4218
2024-07-1222.9023.92-27.0413048Balance-2411
2024-07-0523.8024.13-24.4116348Balance-87
2024-06-2824.0024.29-23.5824745Balance-65
2024-06-2122.4024.50-30.079793Balance-1912
2024-06-1423.3024.78-27.959107Balance-1115
2024-06-0723.3025.05-30.3511161Downward Expansion-2220
2024-05-3123.9025.30-28.1713109Downward Expansion-2517
2024-05-2423.9025.51-28.5916961Downward Expansion-3622
2024-05-1723.5025.76-30.8627699Downward Expansion-5641
2024-05-1021.2026.10-36.5829252Downward Expansion-6061
2024-05-0320.0026.55-39.4132560Downward Expansion-7158
2024-04-2620.1027.05-40.2945885Downward Expansion-7550
2024-04-1921.4027.59-36.6244339Downward Expansion-6943
2024-04-1224.3028.06-29.5812132Downward Expansion-4635
2024-04-0523.3028.44-33.6421006Downward Expansion-5743
2024-03-2922.9028.89-36.2021938Downward Expansion-6249
2024-03-2222.6029.38-37.9827460Downward Expansion-6754
2024-03-1523.9029.89-34.4145495Downward Expansion-6356
2024-03-0822.9030.34-38.9674120Downward Expansion-6865
2024-03-0123.4030.85-37.2931129Downward Expansion-6784
2024-02-2323.0031.36-38.1646797Downward Expansion-7588
2024-02-1623.0031.92-39.1734562Downward Expansion-7986
2024-02-0923.4032.50-38.2459045Downward Expansion-8283
2024-02-0225.0033.04-33.7739762Downward Expansion-7769
2024-01-2626.1033.43-30.8526671Downward Expansion-7456
2024-01-1927.1033.84-28.1226853Downward Expansion-6952
2024-01-1228.1034.20-28.4529538Downward Expansion-6450
2024-01-0528.9034.51-25.9831863Downward Expansion-6352
2023-12-2927.8034.84-28.3345374Downward Expansion-7267
2023-12-2228.2035.21-27.2288546Downward Expansion-7159
2023-12-1529.1035.54-23.76111248Downward Expansion-6854
2023-12-0828.6035.85-24.5341229Downward Expansion-7658
2023-12-0130.5036.17-19.7539576Downward Expansion-6552
2023-11-2430.7036.44-18.7936398Downward Expansion-6666
2023-11-1731.3036.73-17.5926273Downward Expansion-6677
2023-11-1030.8037.01-16.1612489Downward Expansion-7279
2023-11-0330.4037.28-17.2322820Downward Expansion-8080
2023-10-2731.4037.60-12.9251507Downward Expansion-7973
2023-10-2033.7037.89-7.9016119Downward Expansion-6958
Price vs TrendBelow-21.8%
Trend directionFalling-19.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-83.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-0.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-42.6%
Relative strength directionImproving+6.9%
Price momentumNegative-22.4%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.26ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-68 / ยฑ100

+12.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

57 /100

-33.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up17
Upward Expansion9
Deceleration60
Rotation Down68
Downward Expansion84

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 3%Downward Expansion 85%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2025-10-172026-10-09Extended-64.4%
Balance2025-08-082025-10-10Developing-25.1%
Rotation Up2025-07-042025-08-01Developing-21.2%
Downward Expansion2024-08-092025-06-27Extended-71.0%
Balance2024-06-142024-08-02Developing-10.7%
Downward Expansion2023-09-222024-06-07Extended-34.0%
Balance2023-07-282023-09-15Developing-10.1%
Downward Expansion2023-05-192023-07-21Developing+4.7%
Rotation Down2023-04-212023-05-12New-4.8%
Deceleration2023-03-032023-04-14Developing-9.3%
Upward Expansion2022-12-022023-02-24Established+0.7%
Rotation Up2022-11-182022-11-25New+1.4%
Balance2022-05-202022-11-11Established+8.2%
Rotation Up2022-04-292022-05-13New-23.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing67
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution3
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^OMXC25

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
-42.59
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-22.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-26.3%
Industrials regime cohort
33th percentile12 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.60ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.26ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity DKK 1.94falling
Slow Activity DKK 2.29falling
Trend Reference DKK 2.44-21.8% close margin
Current Fair Value DKK 11.50-83.4% close margin
Structural low DKK 1.30shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +11.8%
Annualized volatility +33.7%
From structural high -71.1%
From structural low +46.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^OMXC25 Regime survived Read
Near term39-4.8%-29.0% to +28.1%+33.3%+66.7%-7.4%+89.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate12-14.5%-49.3% to +6.1%+16.7%+83.3%-22.4%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-29.5%-58.2% to +2.1%+14.3%+85.7%-32.6%+85.7%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-50.0%-70.6% to +18.2%+25.0%+75.0%-52.5%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context