Weekly structural research · JPX · Technology

6890 Stage Analysis

Ferrotec Corporation

Week ending 18 Sep 2026Close JPY 9,130.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 38−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 21/100directional strength

Maturity 30/100lifecycle context

Confidence 72/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +127.5%JPY 4,012.65 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-18	9,130.00	8,194.29	20.45	3558600	Deceleration	38	21
2026-09-11	8,620.00	8,102.50	16.54	4570000	Deceleration	32	18
2026-09-04	8,930.00	8,023.44	19.83	5552300	Deceleration	37	26
2026-08-28	9,600.00	7,919.87	27.25	6482500	Deceleration	50	30
2026-08-21	8,580.00	7,795.29	15.49	1776600	Deceleration	32	17
2026-08-14	9,110.00	7,732.06	18.73	1321900	Deceleration	30	18
2026-08-07	8,660.00	7,624.13	19.20	975800	Deceleration	16	17
2026-07-31	8,300.00	7,508.81	17.39	2559700	Deceleration	26	20
2026-07-24	8,920.00	7,397.90	26.64	6071000	Deceleration	32	20
2026-07-17	7,010.00	7,264.01	1.12	2565400	Upward Expansion	16	14
2026-07-10	9,090.00	7,191.49	23.07	1429500	Upward Expansion	59	47
2026-07-03	9,280.00	7,044.69	24.71	1253400	Upward Expansion	61	51
2026-06-26	9,360.00	6,896.34	27.76	1658700	Upward Expansion	61	54
2026-06-19	10,359.32	6,745.65	39.22	1282100	Upward Expansion	83	63
2026-06-12	9,003.81	6,556.21	32.47	1510700	Upward Expansion	65	55
2026-06-05	9,003.81	6,404.21	33.03	1039600	Upward Expansion	66	61
2026-05-29	8,598.14	6,260.12	29.19	4168100	Upward Expansion	66	78
2026-05-22	8,835.60	6,140.59	40.69	5858600	Upward Expansion	67	86
2026-05-15	9,360.00	5,997.99	55.93	8665600	Upward Expansion	85	93
2026-05-08	9,478.73	5,823.08	57.29	4447700	Upward Expansion	94	94
2026-05-01	8,004.48	5,643.88	42.45	5295100	Upward Expansion	84	83
2026-04-24	7,480.00	5,511.51	34.58	4277900	Upward Expansion	78	71
2026-04-17	6,700.00	5,393.20	24.58	2817200	Upward Expansion	60	46
2026-04-10	6,980.00	5,300.57	34.74	2291900	Upward Expansion	69	46
2026-04-03	6,580.00	5,196.02	37.82	3105700	Upward Expansion	62	38
2026-03-27	6,426.00	5,098.97	35.68	2487100	Upward Expansion	53	34
2026-03-20	5,941.58	5,010.95	26.73	1715200	Upward Expansion	46	34
2026-03-13	5,981.12	4,933.56	27.50	3241400	Upward Expansion	58	45
2026-03-06	6,228.28	4,855.51	29.56	3310300	Upward Expansion	61	53
2026-02-27	6,277.71	4,767.93	24.87	2609900	Upward Expansion	67	59
2026-02-20	6,376.57	4,674.81	32.77	3751900	Upward Expansion	74	65
2026-02-13	6,248.05	4,586.33	31.45	2855300	Upward Expansion	74	80
2026-02-06	5,822.94	4,499.06	30.00	3185100	Upward Expansion	66	85
2026-01-30	5,862.49	4,408.65	34.55	5786900	Upward Expansion	68	87
2026-01-23	6,683.04	4,315.95	53.64	4109700	Upward Expansion	97	98
2026-01-16	5,872.38	4,190.56	36.75	2363900	Upward Expansion	92	86
2026-01-09	5,200.12	4,082.49	27.16	2143500	Upward Expansion	78	61
2026-01-02	4,972.74	3,995.30	26.57	473800	Upward Expansion	70	55
2025-12-26	4,903.53	3,914.47	24.96	1424700	Upward Expansion	69	55
2025-12-19	4,834.33	3,836.97	27.46	2212200	Upward Expansion	66	55
2025-12-12	4,686.04	3,758.10	21.48	1787300	Upward Expansion	63	56
2025-12-05	4,829.39	3,685.24	27.08	1622200	Upward Expansion	72	61
2025-11-28	4,839.27	3,604.49	29.09	1879600	Upward Expansion	75	65
2025-11-21	4,676.15	3,522.67	30.11	4963300	Upward Expansion	69	66
2025-11-14	4,443.83	3,447.58	20.45	2499500	Upward Expansion	68	68
2025-11-07	4,681.09	3,373.89	28.09	2502900	Upward Expansion	74	88
2025-10-31	5,012.28	3,289.22	32.71	5490800	Upward Expansion	97	97
2025-10-24	4,557.52	3,195.13	29.45	3712400	Upward Expansion	93	89
2025-10-17	4,112.64	3,134.35	22.03	1923800	Upward Expansion	75	79
2025-10-10	4,102.75	3,092.76	21.32	2553300	Upward Expansion	76	68
2025-10-03	4,033.55	3,046.02	26.24	1899800	Upward Expansion	77	69
2025-09-26	3,930.73	2,985.42	25.05	2522800	Upward Expansion	73	66
2025-09-19	3,921.03	2,927.74	26.68	2114400	Upward Expansion	77	68
2025-09-12	3,843.39	2,871.99	26.10	2992600	Upward Expansion	76	67
2025-09-05	3,668.69	2,825.23	26.35	2380100	Upward Expansion	65	64
2025-08-29	3,785.15	2,784.55	32.38	3175300	Upward Expansion	80	71
2025-08-22	3,620.16	2,739.64	27.99	2043700	Upward Expansion	69	67
2025-08-15	3,639.57	2,703.56	27.44	3626200	Upward Expansion	72	80
2025-08-08	3,600.75	2,663.03	31.71	2226400	Upward Expansion	72	89
2025-08-01	3,484.28	2,627.04	31.94	3927700	Upward Expansion	69	89
2025-07-25	3,722.07	2,592.06	39.99	2916600	Upward Expansion	95	98
2025-07-18	3,629.86	2,548.03	43.45	6463000	Upward Expansion	98	99
2025-07-11	3,110.62	2,503.87	24.87	1696800	Upward Expansion	88	95
2025-07-04	3,081.50	2,479.78	23.61	4005200	Upward Expansion	92	90
2025-06-27	2,921.36	2,456.31	16.77	3713600	Upward Expansion	84	74
2025-06-20	2,630.20	2,436.18	10.20	1623300	Upward Expansion	64	57
2025-06-13	2,584.58	2,426.25	9.95	2116000	Balance	59	51
2025-06-06	2,547.70	2,417.34	8.71	1742100	Balance	54	40
2025-05-30	2,578.76	2,411.88	9.45	3431000	Balance	49	29
2025-05-23	2,468.11	2,404.36	7.15	2507200	Balance	37	21
2025-05-16	2,500.14	2,400.56	6.89	3393900	Balance	39	19
2025-05-09	2,406.97	2,395.43	3.60	1040700	Balance	-5	12
2025-05-02	2,384.65	2,392.51	4.30	1572700	Balance	-11	20
2025-04-25	2,423.47	2,392.74	9.15	2198700	Balance	-11	25
2025-04-18	2,233.24	2,386.28	3.29	2496100	Balance	-19	24
2025-04-11	2,141.04	2,380.06	2.26	6368100	Upward Expansion	-4	5
2025-04-04	2,189.56	2,376.00	3.80	6407700	Upward Expansion	28	32
2025-03-28	2,734.04	2,371.00	17.86	7519300	Upward Expansion	68	76
2025-03-21	2,864.75	2,354.75	21.90	11118400	Upward Expansion	78	66
2025-03-14	2,700.78	2,333.86	17.22	6908800	Upward Expansion	41	22
2025-03-07	2,215.47	2,319.79	-3.19	3492800	Upward Expansion	-31	41
2025-02-28	2,200.40	2,307.36	-4.84	3118200	Upward Expansion	-14	24
2025-02-21	2,248.45	2,299.20	-7.06	4811300	Upward Expansion	7	11
2025-02-14	2,440.70	2,298.80	-0.44	1403400	Upward Expansion	52	34
2025-02-07	2,448.23	2,298.00	0.65	1769800	Upward Expansion	54	36
2025-01-31	2,437.87	2,300.20	-2.02	2347900	Upward Expansion	58	55
2025-01-24	2,537.76	2,302.69	0.75	3267100	Upward Expansion	71	69
2025-01-17	2,423.73	2,303.10	-0.40	2168400	Upward Expansion	57	60
2025-01-10	2,520.79	2,309.19	1.35	3123500	Upward Expansion	73	62
2025-01-03	2,435.04	2,311.21	-3.96	352900	Balance	35	39
2024-12-27	2,401.12	2,314.53	-6.49	1883800	Balance	28	23
2024-12-20	2,305.00	2,316.83	-6.91	1805100	Balance	9	9
2024-12-13	2,387.92	2,323.38	-5.76	2227400	Balance	26	17
2024-12-06	2,377.56	2,329.13	-5.61	2363000	Balance	7	8
2024-11-29	2,317.25	2,339.91	-6.27	2940200	Balance	-16	12
2024-11-22	2,332.32	2,352.37	-6.32	2674100	Balance	-4	10
2024-11-15	2,317.25	2,365.12	-8.33	3945600	Balance	-2	20
2024-11-08	2,384.15	2,372.86	-8.16	2130900	Balance	3	21
2024-11-01	2,353.06	2,384.44	-6.40	2639800	Balance	-2	15
2024-10-25	2,354.00	2,393.71	-6.41	3647800	Balance	-4	17
2024-10-18	2,346.46	2,405.83	-9.71	3919800	Balance	-7	16
2024-10-11	2,319.13	2,417.73	-12.70	2468400	Downward Expansion	-27	18
2024-10-04	2,391.69	2,425.09	-8.29	5249500	Downward Expansion	-29	19
2024-09-27	2,229.61	2,438.11	-17.48	2008000	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-09-20	2,046.79	2,453.36	-20.59	1832000	Downward Expansion	-62	47
2024-09-13	2,019.18	2,476.07	-19.78	2797800	Downward Expansion	-69	46
2024-09-06	2,039.42	2,495.23	-19.12	2659100	Downward Expansion	-69	43
2024-08-30	2,246.49	2,515.11	-16.72	2264700	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2024-08-23	2,238.21	2,527.42	-16.97	3087200	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2024-08-16	2,278.71	2,541.36	-15.42	6418800	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2024-08-09	1,842.47	2,551.81	-26.15	9611800	Downward Expansion	-93	96
2024-08-02	1,955.67	2,572.46	-24.26	5621800	Downward Expansion	-95	93
2024-07-26	2,236.37	2,586.20	-18.25	4065700	Downward Expansion	-86	79
2024-07-19	2,416.75	2,591.82	-17.63	3736800	Balance	-68	55
2024-07-12	2,514.31	2,589.62	-17.41	3498100	Balance	-25	17
2024-07-05	2,512.47	2,585.94	-17.68	2861100	Balance	-17	11
2024-06-28	2,550.20	2,582.48	-14.48	3205100	Balance	-21	12
2024-06-21	2,606.34	2,584.31	-11.11	2792200	Rotation Down	-12	17
2024-06-14	2,581.49	2,588.06	-13.04	2120800	Rotation Down	-14	33
2024-06-07	2,534.55	2,586.82	-14.74	3472900	Balance	-14	32
2024-05-31	2,470.13	2,587.24	-16.95	3066200	Balance	-20	30
2024-05-24	2,501.42	2,585.97	-16.71	3663800	Balance	1	7
2024-05-17	2,560.32	2,584.50	-15.68	5918900	Balance	14	8
2024-05-10	2,701.13	2,583.64	-10.24	2673000	Upward Expansion	47	21
2024-05-03	2,691.01	2,580.52	-11.08	2085200	Upward Expansion	39	19
2024-04-26	2,714.94	2,573.01	-10.13	3496800	Upward Expansion	42	18
2024-04-19	2,549.28	2,568.77	-14.11	3793500	Upward Expansion	26	13
2024-04-12	2,731.50	2,569.50	-14.27	4449700	Upward Expansion	55	29
2024-04-05	2,631.19	2,568.42	-16.80	2928600	Upward Expansion	37	18
2024-03-29	2,717.70	2,570.10	-17.61	3083800	Upward Expansion	57	32
2024-03-22	2,703.55	2,569.63	-19.80	2913500	Upward Expansion	55	32
2024-03-15	2,539.78	2,569.34	-21.07	5972900	Rotation Up	48	32
2024-03-08	2,782.27	2,571.99	-16.29	5106800	Rotation Up	44	49
2024-03-01	2,687.26	2,573.96	-20.10	5615800	Rotation Up	33	40
2024-02-23	2,727.98	2,583.11	-17.83	5615600	Rotation Up	32	43
2024-02-16	2,594.07	2,591.64	-21.21	6000200	Rotation Up	18	25
2024-02-09	2,635.69	2,607.59	-17.10	2981800	Balance	20	28
2024-02-02	2,615.78	2,624.83	-16.63	4201900	Balance	-2	17
2024-01-26	2,656.50	2,644.81	-14.95	11343600	Downward Expansion	-9	12
2024-01-19	2,592.26	2,664.02	-17.89	4197500	Downward Expansion	-30	20
2024-01-12	2,461.97	2,680.48	-21.62	3563500	Downward Expansion	-58	51
2024-01-05	2,367.87	2,694.91	-20.20	1627800	Downward Expansion	-63	67
2023-12-29	2,404.97	2,710.26	-19.61	4299100	Downward Expansion	-58	63
2023-12-22	2,350.68	2,721.55	-21.09	4042600	Downward Expansion	-69	57
2023-12-15	2,404.06	2,740.58	-19.15	4851400	Downward Expansion	-62	36
2023-12-08	2,408.58	2,751.31	-17.82	4553500	Downward Expansion	-54	28
2023-12-01	2,604.93	2,762.03	-14.59	4776200	Downward Expansion	-33	21
2023-11-24	2,718.93	2,768.44	-11.82	4680400	Downward Expansion	-35	24
2023-11-17	2,544.30	2,768.23	-17.79	7343800	Downward Expansion	-58	45
2023-11-10	2,547.02	2,775.62	-15.56	3774000	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2023-11-03	2,432.11	2,780.84	-18.00	3024600	Downward Expansion	-71	59
2023-10-27	2,457.44	2,790.48	-14.65	3597800	Downward Expansion	-72	65
2023-10-20	2,534.35	2,806.99	-12.72	4079700	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2023-10-13	2,607.64	2,815.77	-13.07	3548000	Downward Expansion	-62	65
2023-10-06	2,465.59	2,817.58	-14.20	3732500	Downward Expansion	-77	73
2023-09-29	2,587.74	2,826.75	-12.42	3372800	Rotation Down	-67	60

Price vs TrendAbove+11.4%

Trend directionRising+13.9%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+127.5%

Fair Value directionMoving away-66.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+20.5%

Relative strength directionWeakening-18.8%

Price momentumPositive+53.7%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.86×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

38 / ±100

+6.5 points since 2026-08-21

Energy

21 /100

+4.3 points since 2026-08-21

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

6890 Directional State ↗ 6890 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance46

Rotation Up46

Upward Expansion66

Deceleration56

Rotation Down19

Downward Expansion10

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-09-18 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 51%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 19%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-07-24	2026-09-18	Developing	+2.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-20	2026-07-17	Extended	+166.5%
Balance	2025-04-18	2025-06-13	Developing	+15.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-10	2025-04-11	Established	-15.1%
Balance	2024-10-18	2025-01-03	Developing	+3.8%
Downward Expansion	2024-07-26	2024-10-11	Developing	+3.7%
Balance	2024-06-28	2024-07-19	New	-5.2%
Rotation Down	2024-06-14	2024-06-21	New	+1.0%
Balance	2024-05-17	2024-06-07	New	-1.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-03-22	2024-05-10	Developing	-0.1%
Rotation Up	2024-02-16	2024-03-15	Developing	-2.1%
Balance	2024-02-02	2024-02-09	New	+0.8%
Downward Expansion	2023-10-06	2024-01-26	Established	+7.7%
Rotation Down	2023-09-08	2023-09-29	New	-3.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing0

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution73

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 81/100
Current Relative Strength: 20.45
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +53.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +31.8%
Technology regime cohort: 46th percentile72 in cohort

Test 6890 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.07×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.86×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 6890 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 8,980.00rising

Slow Activity JPY 8,691.76rising

Trend Reference JPY 8,194.29+11.4% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 4,012.65+127.5% close margin

Structural low JPY 5,615.34shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +12.6%

Annualized volatility +70.4%

From structural high -15.2%

From structural low +137.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	-0.3%-16.7% to +23.4%	+44.4%	+44.4%	-1.8%	+44.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	-1.2%-31.3% to +32.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-4.3%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	-7.2%-8.9% to +27.5%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-6.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-9.6%-13.1% to -6.1%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-24.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

6890 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map