Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive

COKE Stage Analysis

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 196.24Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Upper balance after advance

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: stable.
Activity structure: compressed and expanding.

Direction 53−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 29/100directional strength

Maturity 27/100lifecycle context

Confidence 71/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedexpanding separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +49.3%USD 131.42 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	196.24	188.31	-2.84	2232220	Balance	53	29
2026-10-02	192.04	188.99	-4.36	2180121	Balance	10	8
2026-09-25	190.29	189.39	-4.20	2360743	Balance	17	10
2026-09-18	192.08	189.79	0.35	4387640	Balance	20	18
2026-09-11	192.61	189.45	2.13	2066946	Balance	14	18
2026-09-04	189.33	188.42	0.27	2051055	Balance	13	21
2026-08-28	198.49	187.36	5.91	2298168	Balance	33	37
2026-08-21	189.10	185.81	1.86	1847736	Balance	18	23
2026-08-14	189.11	184.51	-0.27	2310627	Balance	34	25
2026-08-07	192.99	183.24	3.39	3207608	Balance	41	19
2026-07-31	187.90	181.80	6.33	1920328	Balance	22	10
2026-07-24	184.70	180.52	5.65	2342809	Balance	18	8
2026-07-17	180.50	179.70	2.07	2194069	Deceleration	25	12
2026-07-10	179.06	179.21	-2.53	4129176	Deceleration	25	14
2026-07-03	195.37	178.75	8.62	2180997	Deceleration	44	26
2026-06-26	187.78	177.82	5.81	2994121	Deceleration	30	17
2026-06-19	181.29	176.98	-1.97	2013491	Deceleration	21	10
2026-06-12	187.89	176.30	4.65	2559290	Deceleration	11	10
2026-06-05	179.91	175.34	2.96	2391254	Deceleration	4	17
2026-05-29	173.26	173.92	-4.94	1774052	Deceleration	0	19
2026-05-22	175.53	172.48	-0.79	3833608	Deceleration	6	14
2026-05-15	170.27	170.87	-2.44	3944877	Deceleration	15	12
2026-05-08	174.31	169.57	-0.32	4714759	Deceleration	28	16
2026-05-01	203.92	167.88	23.12	1656139	Deceleration	62	41
2026-04-24	195.59	165.09	20.56	1771190	Deceleration	43	34
2026-04-17	189.94	162.40	19.72	2282715	Upward Expansion	44	32
2026-04-10	203.16	159.82	35.70	2031111	Upward Expansion	68	49
2026-04-03	194.44	157.10	35.96	1993013	Upward Expansion	62	56
2026-03-27	181.07	154.62	31.90	3536242	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-03-20	201.19	152.48	42.27	3002911	Upward Expansion	68	89
2026-03-13	216.63	149.72	51.10	2248265	Upward Expansion	93	97
2026-03-06	204.13	146.25	41.97	2391614	Upward Expansion	91	96
2026-02-27	202.14	143.23	39.65	3208534	Upward Expansion	94	96
2026-02-20	181.99	140.22	25.97	2428600	Deceleration	88	78
2026-02-13	161.70	138.10	13.56	1939390	Deceleration	67	43
2026-02-06	157.54	136.46	9.30	2380421	Deceleration	46	27
2026-01-30	151.87	134.98	3.27	1605694	Deceleration	33	25
2026-01-23	150.02	133.82	1.74	1376950	Deceleration	34	29
2026-01-16	151.04	132.50	2.65	2122711	Deceleration	40	29
2026-01-09	149.91	131.02	0.83	2346372	Upward Expansion	47	39
2026-01-02	149.40	129.61	2.65	2613797	Upward Expansion	54	53
2025-12-26	160.16	128.23	8.06	1418524	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-12-19	165.69	126.69	13.38	4682369	Upward Expansion	71	85
2025-12-12	165.29	124.95	14.09	2534266	Upward Expansion	72	89
2025-12-05	167.59	123.33	13.77	1820658	Upward Expansion	84	94
2025-11-28	162.47	121.56	11.63	2016803	Upward Expansion	85	94
2025-11-21	161.04	119.93	16.19	2384610	Upward Expansion	92	96
2025-11-14	159.07	119.10	11.46	3623134	Upward Expansion	96	94
2025-11-07	137.38	118.47	-3.73	1690869	Upward Expansion	83	84
2025-10-31	130.00	118.51	-11.79	2573548	Rotation Up	70	76
2025-10-24	127.29	118.49	-12.13	1827882	Rotation Up	37	62
2025-10-17	131.04	118.64	-7.90	2330227	Balance	49	55
2025-10-10	123.87	118.57	-11.11	2867707	Balance	34	18
2025-10-03	120.06	118.80	-16.13	2393494	Balance	-3	5
2025-09-26	114.83	119.17	-19.23	2821808	Balance	-14	9
2025-09-19	112.67	120.02	-21.56	5404041	Downward Expansion	-19	15
2025-09-12	121.38	120.84	-14.16	2489344	Downward Expansion	5	19
2025-09-05	120.22	121.44	-13.86	1888903	Downward Expansion	-1	11
2025-08-29	116.67	121.97	-16.14	1994465	Downward Expansion	-20	12
2025-08-22	118.65	122.60	-15.46	2195368	Downward Expansion	-19	15
2025-08-15	112.50	122.91	-21.03	1566989	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2025-08-08	113.55	123.73	-20.33	2025376	Downward Expansion	-37	23
2025-08-01	111.86	124.08	-19.09	3032766	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2025-07-25	118.22	124.72	-16.89	4362759	Downward Expansion	-35	22
2025-07-18	112.57	124.84	-20.34	2587553	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2025-07-11	113.15	125.05	-19.07	3078540	Downward Expansion	-47	37
2025-07-04	116.89	125.47	-16.79	2905984	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2025-06-27	110.67	125.83	-20.08	4160967	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2025-06-20	106.39	126.44	-20.12	3570197	Downward Expansion	-73	75
2025-06-13	107.86	127.05	-19.06	2499127	Downward Expansion	-74	78
2025-06-06	107.90	127.45	-19.50	3567274	Downward Expansion	-77	79
2025-05-30	113.85	127.89	-13.39	3018573	Rotation Down	-66	75
2025-05-23	113.56	127.83	-11.92	261743	Rotation Down	-42	67
2025-05-16	116.77	128.17	-11.51	356129	Rotation Down	-37	57
2025-05-09	114.45	128.51	-7.18	444437	Rotation Down	-34	45
2025-05-02	113.70	128.92	-7.80	457688	Rotation Down	-11	10
2025-04-25	135.95	129.38	14.36	220371	Balance	45	36
2025-04-18	140.36	129.11	26.59	151271	Balance	55	32
2025-04-11	138.29	128.60	23.04	344462	Balance	39	16
2025-04-04	129.46	128.25	24.99	270495	Balance	22	16
2025-03-28	131.85	128.32	15.83	204024	Upward Expansion	28	19
2025-03-21	128.92	128.34	11.42	314563	Upward Expansion	30	16
2025-03-14	130.69	128.48	13.90	264067	Upward Expansion	40	22
2025-03-07	131.21	128.28	12.28	292131	Upward Expansion	56	36
2025-02-28	140.47	128.05	17.09	223109	Upward Expansion	66	59
2025-02-21	137.07	127.56	11.20	178476	Upward Expansion	60	58
2025-02-14	139.62	126.71	11.39	175289	Upward Expansion	66	60
2025-02-07	135.95	125.63	12.22	176834	Upward Expansion	62	62
2025-01-31	135.56	124.66	12.62	180095	Deceleration	60	54
2025-01-24	128.07	123.69	5.35	142398	Deceleration	45	41
2025-01-17	137.15	122.99	14.96	238285	Deceleration	63	45
2025-01-10	124.08	121.69	7.57	144237	Deceleration	26	10
2025-01-03	130.78	120.86	11.16	191198	Deceleration	55	22
2024-12-27	121.93	119.86	3.10	98696	Deceleration	14	6
2024-12-20	118.97	119.02	1.64	202450	Deceleration	20	16
2024-12-13	125.62	118.32	5.02	127835	Deceleration	41	32
2024-12-06	127.69	117.21	7.87	165223	Deceleration	43	29
2024-11-29	129.03	116.09	12.99	164641	Deceleration	45	25
2024-11-22	124.64	114.60	10.68	140356	Deceleration	13	17
2024-11-15	119.77	113.15	8.94	182234	Deceleration	9	19
2024-11-08	121.15	111.84	7.00	235787	Deceleration	13	18
2024-11-01	112.22	110.49	5.11	271521	Deceleration	7	14
2024-10-25	123.55	109.48	14.45	161513	Deceleration	40	30
2024-10-18	127.12	108.14	18.69	147227	Deceleration	43	36
2024-10-11	126.66	106.78	19.45	142573	Deceleration	45	39
2024-10-04	127.57	105.29	22.80	170452	Upward Expansion	48	45
2024-09-27	127.95	103.75	24.33	213362	Upward Expansion	52	51
2024-09-20	124.82	102.21	23.55	500064	Upward Expansion	64	61
2024-09-13	128.05	100.78	29.60	309412	Upward Expansion	67	66
2024-09-06	131.30	99.29	42.11	232509	Upward Expansion	71	79
2024-08-30	132.54	97.76	36.69	217385	Upward Expansion	79	91
2024-08-23	133.29	96.33	37.78	243131	Upward Expansion	88	95
2024-08-16	124.50	94.66	31.19	154982	Upward Expansion	78	90
2024-08-09	124.34	93.27	39.17	237422	Upward Expansion	86	91
2024-08-02	125.81	92.06	42.42	295340	Upward Expansion	94	84
2024-07-26	111.63	90.79	23.68	215130	Upward Expansion	78	73
2024-07-19	107.13	90.07	16.48	190766	Upward Expansion	70	74
2024-07-12	106.87	89.43	12.27	183487	Upward Expansion	74	72
2024-07-05	106.34	88.63	12.02	272220	Upward Expansion	77	67
2024-06-28	107.08	87.68	17.36	934349	Upward Expansion	86	77
2024-06-21	98.23	86.46	8.20	260003	Upward Expansion	66	73
2024-06-14	99.08	85.52	9.70	309071	Upward Expansion	71	86
2024-06-07	100.76	84.51	15.86	315183	Upward Expansion	83	91
2024-05-31	96.82	83.34	14.76	258290	Upward Expansion	76	87
2024-05-24	97.96	82.22	14.58	315410	Upward Expansion	84	86
2024-05-17	92.47	81.00	9.93	246384	Upward Expansion	73	71
2024-05-10	93.96	79.92	14.31	453629	Deceleration	75	50
2024-05-03	84.22	78.79	4.26	209038	Deceleration	21	13
2024-04-26	81.17	78.05	1.48	161210	Deceleration	9	14
2024-04-19	80.60	77.40	4.86	171800	Deceleration	7	10
2024-04-12	80.57	76.82	-0.57	200140	Deceleration	16	14
2024-04-05	81.87	76.21	0.75	198998	Deceleration	34	24
2024-03-29	83.48	75.59	2.16	167687	Deceleration	36	25
2024-03-22	86.23	74.96	5.26	224264	Deceleration	40	24
2024-03-15	81.91	74.32	3.30	284763	Deceleration	30	22
2024-03-08	81.38	73.83	1.76	216591	Deceleration	34	24
2024-03-01	81.86	73.51	0.95	247852	Deceleration	39	25
2024-02-23	81.79	73.02	2.95	264733	Deceleration	45	38
2024-02-16	83.45	72.41	6.55	299040	Upward Expansion	49	45
2024-02-09	85.31	71.69	7.58	183861	Upward Expansion	51	48
2024-02-02	89.70	70.87	15.63	186013	Upward Expansion	79	65
2024-01-26	83.13	69.92	8.99	236235	Upward Expansion	65	62
2024-01-19	83.06	69.20	9.96	220495	Upward Expansion	68	67
2024-01-12	88.00	68.53	20.23	207473	Upward Expansion	70	89
2024-01-05	87.75	67.71	24.36	174923	Upward Expansion	74	91
2023-12-29	89.80	66.93	23.86	164349	Upward Expansion	92	97
2023-12-22	88.03	66.17	22.27	303747	Upward Expansion	96	98
2023-12-15	82.80	65.40	16.44	333323	Upward Expansion	96	98
2023-12-08	77.99	64.78	13.71	231788	Upward Expansion	94	94
2023-12-01	70.28	64.21	3.21	241901	Upward Expansion	75	81
2023-11-24	70.13	63.98	3.25	132840	Balance	76	71
2023-11-17	68.68	63.54	2.23	216135	Balance	60	41
2023-11-10	65.78	63.03	0.11	187224	Balance	12	9
2023-11-03	63.16	62.56	-0.89	199059	Rotation Down	-25	22
2023-10-27	61.33	62.16	2.40	116305	Rotation Down	-27	30
2023-10-20	60.18	61.83	-2.06	170368	Deceleration	-24	31

Price vs TrendAbove+4.2%

Trend directionRising+3.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+49.3%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-2.8%

Relative strength directionWeakening-0.3%

Price momentumNegative-3.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.42×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

53 / ±100

+39.9 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

29 /100

+11.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

COKE Directional State ↗ COKE Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance50

Rotation Up44

Upward Expansion74

Deceleration58

Rotation Down20

Downward Expansion3

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 1%Upward Expansion 38%Deceleration 31%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 10%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-07-24	2026-10-09	Developing	+6.2%
Deceleration	2026-04-24	2026-07-17	Established	-7.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-04-17	Developing	-6.0%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-02-20	Developing	+20.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-07	2026-01-09	Developing	+9.1%
Rotation Up	2025-10-24	2025-10-31	New	+2.1%
Balance	2025-09-26	2025-10-17	New	+14.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-06-06	2025-09-19	Established	+4.4%
Rotation Down	2025-05-02	2025-05-30	Developing	+0.1%
Balance	2025-04-04	2025-04-25	New	+5.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-07	2025-03-28	Developing	-3.0%
Deceleration	2024-10-11	2025-01-31	Established	+7.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-17	2024-10-04	Established	+38.0%
Deceleration	2024-02-23	2024-05-10	Developing	+14.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing29

Stage 2 · Advancing73

Stage 3 · Distribution60

Stage 4 · Declining27

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3A · Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 45/100
Current Relative Strength: -2.84
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -3.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -26.3%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 65th percentile20 in cohort

Test COKE trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.90×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.42×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationStable

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+62.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore COKE Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 193.13rising

Slow Activity USD 188.77rising

Trend Reference USD 188.31+4.2% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 131.42+49.3% close margin

Structural low USD 161.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.0%

Annualized volatility +33.4%

From structural high -10.5%

From structural low +59.8%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	11	+0.8%-12.2% to +18.6%	+63.6%	+63.6%	+0.5%	+36.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+3.1%-12.5% to +39.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+5.0%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+37.3%-15.0% to +62.0%	+60.0%	+60.0%	+15.6%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+50.2%+20.1% to +84.2%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+11.1%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

COKE Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map