Weekly structural research · BUE · Healthcare

GSK Stage Analysis

GSK plc

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close ARS 19,930.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^MERV

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Upper balance after advance

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and stable.

Direction -9−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 16/100directional strength

Maturity 18/100lifecycle context

Confidence 68/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedstable separation

Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +40.8%ARS 14,151.55 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	19,930.00	19,986.37	2.01	815	Balance	-9	16
2026-09-18	20,000.00	20,039.70	-2.33	17378	Balance	-19	18
2026-09-11	19,200.00	20,093.70	-9.29	1336	Balance	-48	24
2026-09-04	19,760.00	20,175.36	-5.75	5530	Balance	-9	9
2026-08-28	20,350.00	20,264.35	-0.81	5522	Balance	8	8
2026-08-21	20,910.00	20,231.34	4.27	1680	Balance	22	13
2026-08-14	19,540.00	20,152.67	-3.47	642	Balance	-19	10
2026-08-07	20,800.66	20,112.32	-1.65	211	Balance	24	20
2026-07-31	20,265.28	20,065.63	-9.82	117	Balance	12	15
2026-07-24	20,344.16	20,023.45	-9.13	122	Rotation Up	25	35
2026-07-17	20,296.12	19,993.63	-6.80	141	Rotation Up	26	35
2026-07-10	20,446.19	19,947.75	-8.23	237	Balance	25	33
2026-07-03	21,340.00	19,880.87	-1.68	47	Balance	32	30
2026-06-26	20,190.00	19,776.20	-4.51	622	Balance	10	14
2026-06-19	19,780.00	19,709.86	-11.02	420	Balance	-6	7
2026-06-12	19,890.00	19,642.52	-12.03	128	Rotation Down	-19	15
2026-06-05	19,510.00	19,567.85	-6.16	339	Rotation Down	-21	42
2026-05-29	18,810.00	19,487.84	-11.71	4204	Rotation Down	-25	53
2026-05-22	19,050.00	19,448.16	-0.37	848	Rotation Down	-21	43
2026-05-15	18,410.00	19,379.15	1.77	2260	Balance	-32	36
2026-05-08	18,739.88	19,329.14	1.89	3374	Balance	-5	12
2026-05-01	19,609.88	19,240.47	4.76	2614	Upward Expansion	30	21
2026-04-24	20,309.88	19,134.13	8.61	1593	Upward Expansion	52	38
2026-04-17	21,219.87	18,944.46	12.26	2017	Deceleration	60	41
2026-04-10	21,429.87	18,767.45	10.06	1235	Deceleration	53	29
2026-04-03	20,829.87	18,556.11	7.61	4493	Deceleration	39	25
2026-03-27	19,849.88	18,325.94	10.48	2877	Deceleration	28	26
2026-03-20	18,979.88	18,110.11	8.88	897	Upward Expansion	30	21
2026-03-13	19,609.88	17,924.10	16.64	810	Upward Expansion	48	39
2026-03-06	20,189.88	17,691.27	21.64	2059	Upward Expansion	64	59
2026-02-27	21,529.87	17,439.93	29.83	1298	Upward Expansion	66	86
2026-02-20	21,619.87	17,151.42	20.98	1215	Upward Expansion	74	89
2026-02-13	21,649.75	16,837.41	24.69	7464	Upward Expansion	83	86
2026-02-06	22,429.74	16,506.58	23.40	6084	Upward Expansion	92	70
2026-01-30	19,359.78	16,165.58	0.06	7476	Upward Expansion	72	53
2026-01-23	18,549.79	15,911.91	-0.21	1368	Upward Expansion	60	48
2026-01-16	18,329.79	15,677.74	4.69	5373	Upward Expansion	65	60
2026-01-09	19,399.78	15,444.23	5.99	530	Upward Expansion	73	83
2026-01-02	18,999.78	15,205.06	3.51	1553	Upward Expansion	68	82
2025-12-26	19,449.78	14,981.73	7.30	1271	Upward Expansion	79	76
2025-12-19	18,919.78	14,743.39	4.28	903	Upward Expansion	74	62
2025-12-12	18,439.79	14,485.22	7.83	1504	Upward Expansion	69	58
2025-12-05	18,199.79	14,240.55	4.89	459	Upward Expansion	69	58
2025-11-28	18,199.79	13,986.38	6.21	374	Upward Expansion	71	59
2025-11-21	17,759.79	13,773.04	14.26	2894	Upward Expansion	69	59
2025-11-14	17,649.80	13,555.20	5.56	1268	Upward Expansion	70	61
2025-11-07	17,109.70	13,312.70	7.39	978	Upward Expansion	66	62
2025-10-31	17,619.69	13,124.86	5.73	1345	Upward Expansion	77	69
2025-10-24	16,979.70	12,943.35	47.34	8427	Upward Expansion	75	68
2025-10-17	16,909.70	12,797.35	54.42	4428	Upward Expansion	79	68
2025-10-10	16,079.72	12,655.34	52.93	6083	Upward Expansion	73	72
2025-10-03	16,419.71	12,526.84	67.64	8335	Upward Expansion	84	86
2025-09-26	14,619.74	12,387.00	51.67	1184	Upward Expansion	67	83
2025-09-19	15,909.72	12,281.33	76.12	813	Upward Expansion	93	96
2025-09-12	15,089.73	12,123.49	61.35	3133	Upward Expansion	91	91
2025-09-05	13,924.75	11,983.82	31.74	10269	Upward Expansion	80	79
2025-08-29	13,374.76	11,881.31	26.89	935	Upward Expansion	74	74
2025-08-22	13,399.76	11,783.80	19.13	16624	Upward Expansion	77	74
2025-08-15	12,624.78	11,671.29	7.19	966	Upward Expansion	62	63
2025-08-08	12,649.67	11,581.45	1.33	1031	Upward Expansion	64	60
2025-08-01	12,874.67	11,488.12	3.11	1848	Upward Expansion	71	58
2025-07-25	12,199.68	11,387.95	0.05	15049	Upward Expansion	54	31
2025-07-18	11,724.70	11,317.11	0.75	48379	Upward Expansion	35	18
2025-07-11	12,199.68	11,254.94	7.38	6629	Upward Expansion	55	23
2025-07-04	11,749.70	11,155.93	-0.83	1169	Upward Expansion	46	21
2025-06-27	11,524.70	11,073.60	-1.82	1898	Upward Expansion	46	30
2025-06-20	11,324.71	11,009.43	-5.38	242	Upward Expansion	47	44
2025-06-13	12,224.68	10,946.92	-1.74	2129	Upward Expansion	58	56
2025-06-06	12,299.68	10,857.08	-3.26	1263	Deceleration	53	39
2025-05-30	12,299.68	10,798.74	-9.38	1507	Deceleration	49	21
2025-05-23	11,174.71	10,751.23	-20.80	1226	Deceleration	13	12
2025-05-16	11,099.71	10,743.72	-21.49	3315	Deceleration	13	14
2025-05-09	10,574.62	10,758.71	-18.92	2444	Deceleration	6	20
2025-05-02	11,799.58	10,791.20	-9.96	4048	Deceleration	33	29
2025-04-25	11,224.60	10,795.36	-19.82	432	Deceleration	30	28
2025-04-18	10,374.63	10,839.52	-25.13	383	Upward Expansion	21	17
2025-04-11	11,474.59	10,908.68	-20.80	2953	Upward Expansion	63	54
2025-04-04	12,174.56	10,973.67	-11.26	7918	Rotation Up	67	82
2025-03-28	12,599.55	11,025.32	-19.36	1337	Rotation Up	50	81
2025-03-21	12,649.54	11,080.31	-21.85	4788	Rotation Up	58	84
2025-03-14	12,224.56	11,113.64	-22.26	2585	Rotation Up	46	75
2025-03-07	12,224.56	11,149.46	-20.94	3108	Rotation Up	51	73
2025-02-28	11,449.59	11,179.45	-25.29	4926	Rotation Up	21	46
2025-02-21	11,174.60	11,243.60	-33.03	1419	Balance	15	32
2025-02-14	10,899.51	11,310.25	-36.31	2647	Balance	5	21
2025-02-07	10,849.51	11,384.41	-38.42	7931	Downward Expansion	-8	15
2025-01-31	10,449.53	11,489.40	-45.13	2173	Downward Expansion	-37	26
2025-01-24	10,024.55	11,593.57	-48.18	1760	Downward Expansion	-42	36
2025-01-17	9,929.56	11,694.34	-48.30	2600	Downward Expansion	-44	39
2025-01-10	9,849.56	11,788.58	-54.90	3688	Downward Expansion	-47	44
2025-01-03	9,869.56	11,890.57	-54.41	1647	Downward Expansion	-52	53
2024-12-27	10,074.55	12,010.82	-51.55	8375	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2024-12-20	9,859.56	12,138.97	-51.15	2194	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2024-12-13	9,229.59	12,273.76	-52.97	21632	Downward Expansion	-75	86
2024-12-06	9,279.58	12,379.42	-49.76	3148	Downward Expansion	-79	91
2024-11-29	9,599.57	12,474.63	-49.92	1587	Downward Expansion	-75	90
2024-11-22	9,449.58	12,559.87	-50.26	3931	Downward Expansion	-86	94
2024-11-15	9,529.57	12,618.23	-46.87	7000	Downward Expansion	-93	96
2024-11-08	10,549.43	12,655.47	-39.11	3826	Downward Expansion	-82	92
2024-11-01	10,874.41	12,658.29	-35.28	2434	Rotation Down	-80	92
2024-10-25	10,949.41	12,655.07	-35.41	2256	Rotation Down	-58	80
2024-10-18	11,549.38	12,678.35	-30.84	2507	Rotation Down	-49	73
2024-10-11	11,549.38	12,680.54	-29.99	6625	Rotation Down	-42	60
2024-10-04	11,924.36	12,671.07	-27.39	3804	Balance	-35	37
2024-09-27	12,549.32	12,648.90	-23.22	1952	Balance	-1	13
2024-09-20	12,449.33	12,613.01	-28.68	461	Upward Expansion	16	12
2024-09-13	13,424.27	12,586.06	-23.77	1216	Upward Expansion	54	48
2024-09-06	13,724.26	12,527.28	-18.50	1702	Upward Expansion	57	53
2024-08-30	14,249.23	12,503.03	-15.96	1010	Upward Expansion	71	49
2024-08-23	13,649.26	12,464.87	-14.34	986	Deceleration	58	32
2024-08-16	13,299.28	12,413.29	-19.01	1020	Deceleration	38	21
2024-08-09	13,124.19	12,399.80	-17.25	996	Upward Expansion	39	22
2024-08-02	13,374.18	12,349.86	-7.32	1686	Upward Expansion	54	35
2024-07-26	13,174.19	12,276.66	-15.43	980	Upward Expansion	55	39
2024-07-19	13,124.19	12,137.73	-17.52	1091	Upward Expansion	56	41
2024-07-12	13,999.14	11,990.30	-19.80	1664	Upward Expansion	74	50
2024-07-05	13,574.67	11,818.24	-18.46	1476	Upward Expansion	60	41
2024-06-28	13,047.70	11,661.63	-21.06	2536	Upward Expansion	57	42
2024-06-21	12,756.72	11,502.69	-21.50	281	Upward Expansion	63	54
2024-06-14	12,909.21	11,349.94	-21.32	822	Upward Expansion	67	82
2024-06-07	13,477.17	11,177.60	-14.87	3228	Upward Expansion	69	86
2024-05-31	13,919.14	10,981.34	-19.49	777	Upward Expansion	86	92
2024-05-24	13,903.14	10,767.01	-13.25	538	Upward Expansion	89	89
2024-05-17	12,399.24	10,552.78	-20.64	535	Upward Expansion	60	67
2024-05-10	12,136.16	10,437.05	-19.34	997	Deceleration	52	37
2024-05-03	12,156.66	10,325.82	-22.34	2050	Deceleration	46	23
2024-04-26	11,200.22	10,183.39	-19.64	1319	Deceleration	8	17
2024-04-19	10,646.76	10,058.41	-18.54	954	Deceleration	3	14
2024-04-12	10,634.26	9,937.89	-22.98	1234	Deceleration	12	12
2024-04-05	10,777.75	9,814.01	-20.72	985	Deceleration	32	18
2024-03-29	11,647.69	9,680.59	-15.16	2897	Deceleration	36	23
2024-03-22	11,615.19	9,515.39	-17.06	1051	Deceleration	36	23
2024-03-15	11,265.22	9,351.88	-8.58	1070	Deceleration	39	25
2024-03-08	11,259.22	9,191.46	-3.36	2968	Upward Expansion	43	31
2024-03-01	11,472.71	8,993.68	-6.86	500	Upward Expansion	50	44
2024-02-23	11,640.69	8,779.22	-10.16	1829	Upward Expansion	64	58
2024-02-16	11,661.09	8,552.68	-6.95	761	Upward Expansion	67	65
2024-02-09	12,996.49	8,322.45	-2.47	1255	Upward Expansion	75	89
2024-02-02	13,104.48	8,044.73	-15.92	3450	Upward Expansion	83	93
2024-01-26	12,102.06	7,753.58	-18.91	851	Upward Expansion	75	91
2024-01-19	12,894.50	7,502.40	-8.29	1338	Upward Expansion	94	97
2024-01-12	11,626.09	7,229.98	-6.25	1490	Upward Expansion	91	92
2024-01-05	11,178.13	6,991.23	-11.98	786	Upward Expansion	91	78
2023-12-29	9,006.30	6,763.60	-19.91	932	Upward Expansion	68	53
2023-12-22	8,701.32	6,604.70	-24.75	5669	Upward Expansion	63	52
2023-12-15	8,837.31	6,457.35	-22.48	1377	Upward Expansion	68	54
2023-12-08	8,876.31	6,308.64	-24.43	1261	Upward Expansion	74	55
2023-12-01	8,279.36	6,155.66	-24.73	1255	Deceleration	64	46
2023-11-24	8,174.36	6,020.83	-30.32	937	Deceleration	54	40
2023-11-17	7,738.90	5,885.08	-7.28	1275	Upward Expansion	45	36
2023-11-10	7,589.32	5,766.39	-11.88	1423	Upward Expansion	51	48
2023-11-03	7,489.33	5,639.61	-10.54	5218	Upward Expansion	65	64
2023-10-27	7,476.33	5,516.90	-13.80	2317	Upward Expansion	68	67
2023-10-20	8,927.20	5,387.67	-16.44	2366	Upward Expansion	90	76
2023-10-13	8,799.21	5,204.04	-14.07	1803	Upward Expansion	96	78
2023-10-06	7,883.79	5,025.53	-7.68	3180	Upward Expansion	91	76

Price vs TrendBelow-0.3%

Trend directionFalling-0.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+40.8%

Fair Value directionMoving away-15.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+2.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+6.5%

Price momentumPositive+0.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.36×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-9 / ±100

-17.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

16 /100

+7.7 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

GSK Directional State ↗ GSK Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance67

Rotation Up19

Upward Expansion16

Deceleration58

Rotation Down49

Downward Expansion36

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 53%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 9%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-07-31	2026-09-25	Developing	-1.7%
Rotation Up	2026-07-17	2026-07-24	New	+0.2%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-07-10	New	+3.4%
Rotation Down	2026-05-22	2026-06-12	New	+4.4%
Balance	2026-05-08	2026-05-15	New	-1.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-24	2026-05-01	New	-3.4%
Deceleration	2026-03-27	2026-04-17	New	+6.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2026-03-20	Extended	+55.3%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-06-06	Developing	+9.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-04-11	2025-04-18	New	-9.6%
Rotation Up	2025-02-28	2025-04-04	Developing	+6.3%
Balance	2025-02-14	2025-02-21	New	+2.5%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-08	2025-02-07	Established	+2.8%
Rotation Down	2024-10-11	2024-11-01	New	-5.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing48

Stage 2 · Advancing57

Stage 3 · Distribution86

Stage 4 · Declining43

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3A · Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MERV

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 70/100
Current Relative Strength: 2.01
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +0.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -3.2%
Healthcare regime cohort: 100th percentile2 in cohort

Test GSK trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.38×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.36×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore GSK Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity ARS 19,808.00falling

Slow Activity ARS 20,021.62falling

Trend Reference ARS 19,986.37-0.3% close margin

Current Fair Value ARS 14,151.55+40.8% close margin

Structural low ARS 17,800.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +4.4%

Annualized volatility +24.7%

From structural high -12.4%

From structural low +33.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MERV	Regime survived	Read
Near term	8	+1.5%-12.7% to +12.2%	+62.5%	+62.5%	+4.1%	+37.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	+3.5%-19.7% to +11.0%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-9.7%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	2	-8.5%-17.3% to +0.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-53.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+29.4%+16.5% to +42.3%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-81.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

GSK Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map