Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Consumer Cyclical

001323 Stage Analysis

De Rucci Healthy Sleep Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 18.68Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -32โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 26/100directional strength
Maturity 23/100lifecycle context
Confidence 59/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -28.3%CNY 26.06 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0218.6819.94-11.445991991Deceleration-3226
2026-09-2517.6620.19-19.575537579Deceleration-4129
2026-09-1817.2020.51-24.224419265Deceleration-3722
2026-09-1117.5820.83-22.437887292Downward Expansion-2722
2026-09-0419.0921.20-16.9910551370Downward Expansion-2628
2026-08-2818.9421.49-21.021641946Downward Expansion-3428
2026-08-2118.4021.74-24.973667177Downward Expansion-4029
2026-08-1418.6722.00-26.206588459Downward Expansion-4843
2026-08-0716.9022.24-33.933637320Downward Expansion-6460
2026-07-3117.7522.54-27.966492608Downward Expansion-6765
2026-07-2415.3922.82-39.291775509Downward Expansion-8075
2026-07-1716.1923.19-36.783267770Downward Expansion-7387
2026-07-1016.2423.50-43.051675040Downward Expansion-7690
2026-07-0316.8023.86-44.011924150Downward Expansion-7691
2026-06-2615.8924.19-48.462243448Downward Expansion-9296
2026-06-1917.6724.56-44.443368086Downward Expansion-8894
2026-06-1218.7724.90-37.66944110Downward Expansion-8592
2026-06-0521.1225.17-32.372772128Downward Expansion-6685
2026-05-2919.4325.37-39.536555493Downward Expansion-9092
2026-05-2220.5525.63-36.974394758Downward Expansion-8981
2026-05-1522.6825.86-31.183968421Downward Expansion-7060
2026-05-0823.6826.02-28.972847045Downward Expansion-6570
2026-05-0122.7626.15-30.352883892Downward Expansion-7180
2026-04-2423.0326.31-29.513985717Downward Expansion-7081
2026-04-1722.5226.46-31.624866323Downward Expansion-8385
2026-04-1023.4626.67-26.732029300Downward Expansion-7877
2026-04-0324.1826.85-19.793979968Downward Expansion-7369
2026-03-2724.2227.02-22.617517297Balance-7354
2026-03-2026.2327.21-17.494088141Balance-3823
2026-03-1326.4027.30-19.914858067Balance-3417
2026-03-0626.3927.38-19.945812838Balance-1913
2026-02-2727.0727.45-20.435266125Balance-716
2026-02-1327.0027.53-19.0210583664Balance-917
2026-02-0628.6727.57-13.4713858951Balance716
2026-01-3027.6627.53-18.778966629Downward Expansion-2212
2026-01-2326.6027.51-23.899463793Downward Expansion-5231
2026-01-1626.1627.53-25.0610605425Downward Expansion-5737
2026-01-0925.7727.52-26.079631504Downward Expansion-6342
2026-01-0225.9627.53-23.073258054Downward Expansion-6459
2025-12-2626.2327.57-23.577264759Downward Expansion-6157
2025-12-1926.3327.57-21.235585259Downward Expansion-6061
2025-12-1225.6027.59-24.647726363Downward Expansion-7763
2025-12-0526.8727.66-20.905965359Deceleration-3023
2025-11-2826.7027.69-21.055034769Rotation Down-3625
2025-11-2127.2227.67-17.384987635Rotation Down-2821
2025-11-1427.7427.67-20.676027894Rotation Down-1618
2025-11-0726.9627.69-24.375410562Rotation Down-2536
2025-10-3127.0027.70-24.595909973Rotation Down-2635
2025-10-2427.3427.73-23.733332969Balance-2031
2025-10-1727.2527.77-20.935023155Balance-2125
2025-10-1027.7027.82-23.922535404Balance-1323
2025-10-0327.6127.89-25.413701891Balance-418
2025-09-2627.4027.97-24.554936592Balance1317
2025-09-1927.6128.11-23.525686867Rotation Up-16
2025-09-1228.6828.21-20.135313562Rotation Up2827
2025-09-0528.8428.27-18.025873759Rotation Up3131
2025-08-2929.3928.30-17.516167862Rotation Up3644
2025-08-2230.0328.39-12.416054347Rotation Up4051
2025-08-1528.7028.45-12.754916340Rotation Up2347
2025-08-0828.8928.54-8.434504498Balance2645
2025-08-0128.5728.62-8.445129504Balance224
2025-07-2529.5528.78-6.995228175Downward Expansion1424
2025-07-1828.1628.87-9.403986723Downward Expansion-2318
2025-07-1127.5128.98-9.784561519Downward Expansion-3925
2025-07-0427.0029.15-9.964658556Downward Expansion-5437
2025-06-2727.1129.37-8.584685827Downward Expansion-5741
2025-06-2025.9229.63-9.444359915Downward Expansion-6762
2025-06-1326.0629.84-10.087890190Downward Expansion-6755
2025-06-0627.0929.98-7.233422438Downward Expansion-5641
2025-05-3026.2730.16-8.794458704Downward Expansion-6745
2025-05-2327.0130.37-7.194076930Downward Expansion-6043
2025-05-1627.7530.53-5.217783659Downward Expansion-5744
2025-05-0927.7730.53-4.877794554Downward Expansion-5945
2025-05-0226.0130.48-9.005820878Downward Expansion-7365
2025-04-2527.0830.56-5.644866367Downward Expansion-6865
2025-04-1828.3330.530.046943464Rotation Down-6163
2025-04-1127.4230.39-3.699686456Rotation Down-4460
2025-04-0427.8330.28-7.307772719Rotation Down-4155
2025-03-2828.4830.15-7.356738200Deceleration-3845
2025-03-2128.9330.01-6.646203634Deceleration-2627
2025-03-1429.6429.84-6.8410442058Deceleration-210
2025-03-0730.0629.65-4.407518532Deceleration38
2025-02-2831.4729.442.278463972Deceleration1112
2025-02-2130.6029.21-3.857185226Deceleration1012
2025-02-1430.4829.00-2.116566780Deceleration1311
2025-02-0729.8828.79-2.545229697Deceleration1311
2025-01-3132.0928.608.921356130Deceleration3518
2025-01-2431.7728.346.607098105Deceleration3520
2025-01-1731.3928.096.916792400Deceleration3622
2025-01-1031.3027.8710.8410428186Deceleration4025
2025-01-0333.3127.6917.157563448Upward Expansion4932
2024-12-2732.2827.425.946022352Upward Expansion4634
2024-12-2031.5527.223.936607815Upward Expansion5844
2024-12-1332.5927.076.929756458Upward Expansion6251
2024-12-0633.7426.9810.118637243Upward Expansion6855
2024-11-2934.6526.8315.349489708Upward Expansion7960
2024-11-2232.4226.6110.138944970Upward Expansion7060
2024-11-1530.1326.42-0.317935660Upward Expansion6578
2024-11-0832.4226.303.3118028683Upward Expansion7887
2024-11-0132.5826.1010.9119027192Rotation Up8788
2024-10-2532.0325.907.4824288676Rotation Up6277
2024-10-1827.6925.70-4.6713745861Rotation Up3351
2024-10-1126.3125.62-6.8912437378Rotation Up1732
2024-10-0428.4225.62-4.094224138Rotation Up4442
2024-09-2726.2325.55-2.209630668Downward Expansion-910
2024-09-2023.9925.545.252075810Downward Expansion-5534
2024-09-1324.1725.607.244185666Downward Expansion-5536
2024-09-0623.7925.673.692842367Downward Expansion-6348
2024-08-3024.4725.663.964835475Downward Expansion-5746
2024-08-2323.8525.683.543055367Downward Expansion-6354
2024-08-1623.7925.701.333383938Downward Expansion-6445
2024-08-0923.8225.731.016859120Downward Expansion-6645
2024-08-0224.6025.752.414644766Rotation Down-5944
2024-07-2624.3525.760.985193034Rotation Down-3547
2024-07-1924.1725.77-2.982837097Rotation Down-3958
2024-07-1224.1125.79-2.672725568Rotation Down-3358
2024-07-0524.3425.850.194946663Rotation Down-3256
2024-06-2824.2825.90-1.584334098Balance-3550
2024-06-2124.8125.98-1.763906793Balance-2834
2024-06-1425.6726.06-0.273947345Balance1122
2024-06-0725.4626.12-0.856443235Upward Expansion1813
2024-05-3126.0826.180.646371094Upward Expansion4940
2024-05-2427.2526.284.786095022Upward Expansion6370
2024-05-1729.7626.3111.417759627Rotation Up8281
2024-05-1029.1126.289.256067904Rotation Up5059
2024-05-0328.2526.298.025631608Balance4342
2024-04-2626.6026.353.385147283Balance1519
2024-04-1926.5026.465.285147476Balance-410
2024-04-1226.5826.616.455108495Balance-36
2024-04-0526.5326.762.993455884Balance-47
2024-03-2925.9926.812.467535027Balance-129
2024-03-2225.2226.90-2.345496383Balance-1713
2024-03-1526.4027.041.566761715Balance-814
2024-03-0826.1927.173.107197768Downward Expansion-2421
2024-03-0125.9727.341.277807120Downward Expansion-3418
2024-02-2325.7727.444.626913690Downward Expansion-3823
2024-02-0926.2327.519.697771781Downward Expansion-4533
2024-02-0223.5227.618.154434146Downward Expansion-7556
2024-01-2625.2027.756.915535714Downward Expansion-6150
2024-01-1924.3027.833.023378352Downward Expansion-7060
2024-01-1224.74โ€”โ€”4357632Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-01-0524.39โ€”โ€”4879599Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-2924.94โ€”โ€”5276993Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-2224.59โ€”โ€”4020341Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-1524.85โ€”โ€”4755208Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-0825.93โ€”โ€”3388792Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-0126.02โ€”โ€”2871059Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-2426.68โ€”โ€”4814221Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1726.97โ€”โ€”6060991Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1027.62โ€”โ€”7242049Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-0327.36โ€”โ€”12192108Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2728.97โ€”โ€”5568080Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2028.19โ€”โ€”3297114Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-1328.87โ€”โ€”4173725Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-09-2929.42โ€”โ€”2110235Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-09-2229.87โ€”โ€”3720477Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendBelow-6.3%
Trend directionFalling-12.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-28.3%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.5%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-11.4%
Relative strength directionImproving+32.6%
Price momentumNegative-22.7%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.40ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-32 / ยฑ100

-6.3 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

26 /100

-2.4 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance43
Rotation Up24
Upward Expansion16
Deceleration61
Rotation Down42
Downward Expansion64

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 140 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 18%Rotation Up 9%Upward Expansion 9%Deceleration 11%Rotation Down 9%Downward Expansion 44%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-182026-10-02New+8.6%
Downward Expansion2026-04-032026-09-11Established-27.3%
Balance2026-02-062026-03-27Developing-15.5%
Downward Expansion2025-12-122026-01-30Developing+8.0%
Deceleration2025-12-052025-12-05New+0.0%
Rotation Down2025-10-312025-11-28Developing-1.1%
Balance2025-09-262025-10-24Developing-0.2%
Rotation Up2025-08-152025-09-19Developing-3.8%
Balance2025-08-012025-08-08New+1.1%
Downward Expansion2025-04-252025-07-25Established+9.1%
Rotation Down2025-04-042025-04-18New+1.8%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-03-28Developing-9.0%
Upward Expansion2024-11-082025-01-03Developing+2.8%
Rotation Up2024-10-042024-11-01Developing+14.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing71
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution4
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
75/100
Current Relative Strength
-11.44
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-22.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-19.3%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort
78th percentile18 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.40ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.40ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution5 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 17.99falling
Slow Activity CNY 18.51falling
Trend Reference CNY 19.94-6.3% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 26.06-28.3% close margin
Structural low CNY 15.39shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +6.9%
Annualized volatility +45.7%
From structural high -37.0%
From structural low +21.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term4-4.0%-7.4% to +0.6%+25.0%+25.0%-4.6%+50.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate2-7.1%-12.4% to -1.7%+0.0%+0.0%-11.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended2-21.1%-30.1% to -12.1%+0.0%+0.0%-32.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1-17.7%-17.7% to -17.7%+0.0%+0.0%-61.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context