Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Technology

UEIC Stage Analysis

Universal Electronics Inc

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close USD 5.67Tenure EstablishedBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction 78โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 71/100directional strength
Maturity 46/100lifecycle context
Confidence 84/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -20.1%USD 7.10 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-025.674.4420.10142722Upward Expansion7871
2026-09-255.124.389.12163419Upward Expansion6252
2026-09-185.194.3413.71534506Upward Expansion6741
2026-09-114.784.305.65280760Upward Expansion5530
2026-09-044.714.282.99286075Upward Expansion5436
2026-08-284.524.26-1.35327932Upward Expansion5031
2026-08-214.604.240.14564078Upward Expansion5131
2026-08-145.004.225.44909920Upward Expansion7138
2026-08-074.514.18-3.99430064Upward Expansion4524
2026-07-314.344.15-3.63127027Upward Expansion5536
2026-07-244.294.13-5.66131202Upward Expansion6167
2026-07-174.664.09-0.72114658Upward Expansion6575
2026-07-104.664.04-6.07151985Upward Expansion6771
2026-07-034.773.99-3.69191867Balance7361
2026-06-264.483.94-10.22287910Balance5123
2026-06-194.103.90-22.64131647Balance1511
2026-06-123.923.87-25.62184246Balance911
2026-06-053.933.84-25.26180949Balance1311
2026-05-294.163.83-25.84112199Upward Expansion3616
2026-05-224.043.82-27.21192353Upward Expansion3417
2026-05-154.023.83-27.99375833Upward Expansion3821
2026-05-084.303.84-24.67164359Upward Expansion5531
2026-05-014.203.84-23.65320685Upward Expansion5229
2026-04-244.143.86-24.10219570Upward Expansion4928
2026-04-174.143.89-23.13139107Upward Expansion5333
2026-04-104.233.90-17.54273339Rotation Up3034
2026-04-034.103.92-17.28101226Rotation Up2838
2026-03-274.183.94-13.37147043Rotation Up3027
2026-03-204.253.96-15.85519090Rotation Up3524
2026-03-134.323.98-17.27809502Rotation Up3323
2026-03-063.833.99-28.52147107Rotation Up-1214
2026-02-273.774.03-31.78209171Rotation Up120
2026-02-204.124.11-27.05185529Rotation Up1037
2026-02-134.124.18-27.54293654Balance1027
2026-02-063.994.26-32.29362333Balance223
2026-01-303.954.36-35.88223693Downward Expansion-520
2026-01-234.014.46-36.58193290Downward Expansion-1924
2026-01-163.964.53-38.75406037Downward Expansion-3523
2026-01-093.594.64-46.34391417Downward Expansion-4639
2026-01-023.634.75-45.88586473Downward Expansion-4947
2025-12-263.124.85-55.45196243Downward Expansion-6762
2025-12-193.154.97-55.66395657Downward Expansion-6763
2025-12-123.275.08-54.91456088Downward Expansion-6464
2025-12-053.245.21-57.31322546Downward Expansion-6685
2025-11-283.315.31-57.12358059Downward Expansion-6887
2025-11-213.135.35-58.56782315Downward Expansion-7991
2025-11-142.975.40-62.861060523Downward Expansion-9194
2025-11-073.585.47-56.40738127Downward Expansion-8285
2025-10-313.895.52-55.09375112Downward Expansion-7572
2025-10-244.375.56-49.35407244Downward Expansion-6558
2025-10-174.345.62-49.26424460Downward Expansion-6849
2025-10-104.335.69-48.80315341Downward Expansion-6948
2025-10-034.685.78-46.59200640Downward Expansion-6244
2025-09-265.045.87-42.53383288Downward Expansion-6046
2025-09-194.595.96-48.67358258Downward Expansion-6754
2025-09-124.676.08-47.36220073Downward Expansion-6768
2025-09-054.806.25-45.71373740Downward Expansion-6575
2025-08-294.866.42-45.36471614Downward Expansion-6777
2025-08-224.846.59-46.41308729Downward Expansion-7177
2025-08-154.516.77-51.101033733Downward Expansion-8074
2025-08-085.006.97-46.24381575Balance-7148
2025-08-016.287.14-30.94190234Balance-3419
2025-07-256.317.28-33.21162846Balance-2714
2025-07-186.507.43-31.6598992Balance-2213
2025-07-116.777.58-29.09144206Balance-119
2025-07-046.957.73-28.48103711Balance-710
2025-06-276.357.89-34.43196235Balance-1413
2025-06-207.008.07-25.7697577Balance-1217
2025-06-137.008.21-26.60160935Downward Expansion-1719
2025-06-066.768.34-30.32202744Downward Expansion-2929
2025-05-306.618.49-31.3792754Downward Expansion-3434
2025-05-236.558.54-31.58287314Downward Expansion-4229
2025-05-167.048.60-29.22470056Downward Expansion-4942
2025-05-096.338.64-32.83691816Downward Expansion-6561
2025-05-024.448.70-53.69301065Downward Expansion-7785
2025-04-254.798.84-49.16247927Downward Expansion-7587
2025-04-184.989.00-44.49275534Downward Expansion-7789
2025-04-114.989.12-46.43513275Downward Expansion-8392
2025-04-045.219.27-40.41651271Downward Expansion-8794
2025-03-286.169.39-37.13495841Downward Expansion-8192
2025-03-216.449.50-36.36321986Downward Expansion-8393
2025-03-146.909.57-32.22435815Rotation Down-8390
2025-03-077.359.64-30.07540200Rotation Down-5776
2025-02-287.799.70-28.57481065Rotation Down-4665
2025-02-218.159.82-28.09495650Deceleration-4453
2025-02-149.799.94-15.86433960Deceleration-013
2025-02-079.9010.01-12.65227913Deceleration411
2025-01-3110.0010.09-11.74260045Deceleration1817
2025-01-2410.3510.13-9.99231706Deceleration2619
2025-01-1710.5610.18-6.98231085Deceleration110
2025-01-109.8310.20-10.98196180Deceleration-211
2025-01-0310.7210.26-5.30156491Deceleration1518
2024-12-2710.7810.29-5.63128108Rotation Up2929
2024-12-2010.8310.31-4.53336619Rotation Up3441
2024-12-1311.4710.36-1.08290274Rotation Up2861
2024-12-0611.7110.371.86273673Rotation Up3463
2024-11-2911.5810.404.27111545Rotation Up3647
2024-11-2211.3310.393.06358174Downward Expansion3339
2024-11-1510.9510.351.72283234Downward Expansion-317
2024-11-0811.0910.32-0.51380193Downward Expansion-1513
2024-11-018.3510.29-21.04248156Downward Expansion-6162
2024-10-258.1610.34-24.51348977Downward Expansion-6768
2024-10-188.1910.41-24.47200359Downward Expansion-6851
2024-10-118.2310.47-24.44439219Downward Expansion-7050
2024-10-048.4810.51-21.51491094Downward Expansion-6744
2024-09-279.6810.51-10.78835037Downward Expansion-5640
2024-09-208.7610.48-18.811319534Rotation Down-6652
2024-09-139.2910.47-13.20477808Rotation Down-3560
2024-09-069.0210.46-10.99154840Rotation Down-3769
2024-08-309.3210.45-13.61255560Rotation Down-2866
2024-08-238.5910.42-21.28262726Rotation Down-4167
2024-08-168.9310.44-17.78281503Balance-3749
2024-08-099.2810.44-10.44264948Balance-1014
2024-08-0211.1610.437.61209161Upward Expansion4626
2024-07-2611.7210.359.10222387Upward Expansion4931
2024-07-1912.1010.289.31311262Deceleration5534
2024-07-1212.2310.155.76258401Deceleration5832
2024-07-0511.3210.01-2.69243421Deceleration3623
2024-06-2811.629.892.96214854Deceleration4027
2024-06-2111.349.760.25240346Upward Expansion4329
2024-06-1411.539.642.00521560Upward Expansion5741
2024-06-0711.729.537.51537262Upward Expansion6047
2024-05-3111.429.427.65473765Upward Expansion6461
2024-05-2412.329.3314.45350648Upward Expansion7581
2024-05-1711.679.1710.09227091Upward Expansion6874
2024-05-1012.639.0721.64403159Upward Expansion8776
2024-05-0311.228.919.94241565Upward Expansion7962
2024-04-2610.238.821.12132386Upward Expansion6352
2024-04-1910.088.782.92208656Upward Expansion6262
2024-04-129.978.75-4.30216138Upward Expansion6068
2024-04-0510.108.70-4.27138442Upward Expansion6671
2024-03-2910.018.66-6.52124662Upward Expansion6463
2024-03-2210.068.62-7.24244642Balance6651
2024-03-159.508.58-10.33303445Balance5525
2024-03-088.598.58-20.46202091Balance13
2024-03-018.668.61-21.84117761Balance34
2024-02-238.468.68-23.37254533Balance04
2024-02-168.988.78-19.16203695Balance129
2024-02-098.668.85-25.09141920Balance-97
2024-02-028.588.92-27.65170160Balance-612
2024-01-269.248.98-24.44240305Balance1925
2024-01-198.819.00-30.09289158Balance-516
2024-01-129.099.01-28.52239829Balance-315
2024-01-058.778.97-31.47183093Balance-1114
2023-12-299.398.97-31.43252706Downward Expansion-1411
2023-12-228.178.93-42.00167462Downward Expansion-4929
2023-12-158.278.95-42.61666471Downward Expansion-5338
2023-12-087.688.97-46.63273103Downward Expansion-5841
2023-12-017.778.99-47.35358193Downward Expansion-5836
2023-11-247.499.03-50.67136286Downward Expansion-6435
2023-11-178.509.12-45.13295256Downward Expansion-5031
2023-11-108.419.17-46.07323138Downward Expansion-5435
2023-11-038.689.23-44.17222643Downward Expansion-5650
2023-10-277.549.27-49.75348104Downward Expansion-7165
2023-10-208.529.36-45.94261822Downward Expansion-5646
2023-10-137.819.39-52.75224996Downward Expansion-7448
Price vs TrendAbove+27.6%
Trend directionRising+7.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-20.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+16.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+20.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+23.8%
Price momentumPositive+38.3%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.87ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

78 / ยฑ100

+24.4 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

71 /100

+35.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance13
Rotation Up74
Upward Expansion90
Deceleration43
Rotation Down11
Downward Expansion15

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 22%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 38%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-07-102026-10-02Established+21.7%
Balance2026-06-052026-07-03Developing+21.4%
Upward Expansion2026-04-172026-05-29Developing+0.5%
Rotation Up2026-02-202026-04-10Developing+2.7%
Balance2026-02-062026-02-13New+3.3%
Downward Expansion2025-08-152026-01-30Established-12.4%
Balance2025-06-202025-08-08Developing-28.6%
Downward Expansion2025-03-212025-06-13Established+8.7%
Rotation Down2025-02-282025-03-14New-11.4%
Deceleration2025-01-032025-02-21Developing-24.0%
Rotation Up2024-11-292024-12-27Developing-6.9%
Downward Expansion2024-09-272024-11-22Developing+17.0%
Rotation Down2024-08-232024-09-20Developing+2.0%
Balance2024-08-092024-08-16New-3.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing45
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution26
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
95/100
Current Relative Strength
20.10
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+38.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+10.2%
Technology regime cohort
100th percentile95 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.52ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.87ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution5 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 5.25rising
Slow Activity USD 4.62rising
Trend Reference USD 4.44+27.6% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 7.10-20.1% close margin
Structural low USD 3.78shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +10.1%
Annualized volatility +36.4%
From structural high -1.1%
From structural low +110.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term10-0.1%-26.7% to +20.4%+50.0%+50.0%+1.1%+70.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3+12.4%-30.4% to +16.1%+66.7%+66.7%+5.3%+33.3%Too little matched history
Extended1-3.3%-3.3% to -3.3%+0.0%+0.0%-13.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1-38.5%-38.5% to -38.5%+0.0%+0.0%-44.7%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context