Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

600505 Stage Analysis

Sichuan Xichang Electric Power Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 10.49Tenure EstablishedBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -61โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 53/100directional strength
Maturity 50/100lifecycle context
Confidence 93/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -7.1%CNY 11.29 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0910.4912.02-14.0011791144Downward Expansion-6153
2026-10-0210.4312.17-15.4119402849Downward Expansion-6348
2026-09-2510.1712.33-18.8430342704Downward Expansion-7557
2026-09-1810.6512.51-15.9375902291Downward Expansion-6245
2026-09-1111.0412.62-12.7159826183Downward Expansion-6048
2026-09-0410.6012.71-17.437132492Downward Expansion-6360
2026-08-2810.6212.82-18.143986533Downward Expansion-6450
2026-08-2110.4312.94-19.164017159Downward Expansion-6849
2026-08-1410.9313.06-16.3311176082Downward Expansion-6246
2026-08-0711.3113.15-14.357670635Downward Expansion-5946
2026-07-3111.1313.21-13.937840116Downward Expansion-6363
2026-07-2410.5113.27-18.9016674728Downward Expansion-7381
2026-07-1711.6013.35-10.1928017048Downward Expansion-6379
2026-07-1010.4513.41-24.388048999Downward Expansion-8086
2026-07-0310.9813.48-22.258547600Downward Expansion-7775
2026-06-2610.8013.54-23.7415260776Balance-7552
2026-06-1912.6413.59-12.76113515364Balance-1810
2026-06-1214.6213.631.6338458666Balance147
2026-06-0513.5613.63-6.0034050629Balance-1012
2026-05-2913.4213.64-8.4860554158Balance-2015
2026-05-2212.4113.64-16.9151386096Deceleration-3520
2026-05-1513.3413.68-11.9074122029Deceleration-35
2026-05-0813.7313.69-10.9236807866Deceleration-1112
2026-05-0113.7813.67-9.8144331470Deceleration-1428
2026-04-2413.1713.64-14.2062962742Deceleration-1831
2026-04-1712.9213.64-15.6140627488Balance-2027
2026-04-1012.6713.66-16.0241764798Balance-1419
2026-04-0312.4213.69-15.60128422509Upward Expansion99
2026-03-2715.3013.733.03122708045Upward Expansion6648
2026-03-2014.6013.70-2.4579866539Upward Expansion6065
2026-03-1314.8113.69-4.14104730703Upward Expansion6268
2026-03-0615.3513.69-1.06115690691Rotation Up7874
2026-02-2715.3913.66-1.40102464833Rotation Up5761
2026-02-1313.9613.64-8.4737920824Rotation Up2835
2026-02-0613.7913.70-9.0438365460Rotation Up1830
2026-01-3014.1013.76-8.0246246488Balance2328
2026-01-2313.9613.81-9.1674532099Balance014
2026-01-1614.1313.80-7.1485712752Balance-411
2026-01-0913.5713.77-11.0340531466Downward Expansion-2815
2026-01-0213.0713.82-10.8515035904Downward Expansion-4725
2025-12-2613.1013.87-10.4223589418Downward Expansion-5132
2025-12-1912.9513.95-9.9528790958Downward Expansion-5552
2025-12-1213.3314.04-7.2646583994Downward Expansion-5663
2025-12-0512.6514.11-12.2716994540Downward Expansion-6568
2025-11-2812.6214.20-12.2120555173Downward Expansion-6642
2025-11-2112.3214.30-13.1038186498Downward Expansion-6832
2025-11-1413.9814.52-5.2852323788Downward Expansion-2419
2025-11-0714.4614.50-2.0493987345Downward Expansion-1617
2025-10-3113.7814.40-5.5649532360Downward Expansion-3823
2025-10-2413.4914.34-7.4730230760Downward Expansion-4531
2025-10-1713.5514.25-4.1947226077Downward Expansion-5745
2025-10-1013.8614.17-3.2637053742Rotation Down-3452
2025-10-0312.8814.07-9.4610866612Rotation Down-4464
2025-09-2613.1213.99-6.2433144809Rotation Down-3855
2025-09-1913.0713.89-6.1531729251Rotation Down-4255
2025-09-1213.4813.79-4.3230839147Balance-2438
2025-09-0513.5213.68-2.3040679434Balance-422
2025-08-2913.6413.57-2.2668511834Balance-111
2025-08-2214.4713.454.9460229331Balance1613
2025-08-1514.2213.297.2954084466Balance1811
2025-08-0814.8513.1514.5257618376Upward Expansion3722
2025-08-0114.4712.9614.5847384282Upward Expansion4933
2025-07-2514.8212.8116.84101131514Upward Expansion5135
2025-07-1815.9012.7328.17136600283Deceleration5632
2025-07-1115.4512.5726.41228861631Deceleration5023
2025-07-0415.7312.4330.90179728847Deceleration4320
2025-06-2713.6212.2915.5350775228Deceleration3219
2025-06-2013.2712.2014.8188715693Deceleration3619
2025-06-1314.8512.1128.21158401717Deceleration4229
2025-06-0614.7811.9727.8087001676Upward Expansion4535
2025-05-3015.2311.8833.88189426204Upward Expansion5844
2025-05-2315.8011.7539.65329237293Upward Expansion6252
2025-05-1615.4211.5636.04259038413Upward Expansion6477
2025-05-0915.3011.3936.65241519723Upward Expansion6684
2025-05-0215.5911.1942.70204526924Upward Expansion7286
2025-04-2519.0111.0075.40333213608Upward Expansion9798
2025-04-1813.4510.6627.24272446908Upward Expansion8982
2025-04-1111.3110.509.40173199308Upward Expansion5964
2025-04-0411.9510.3912.4999234959Deceleration7971
2025-03-2811.0010.263.79137374552Deceleration4635
2025-03-2111.0610.164.3181162703Deceleration5531
2025-03-1410.8910.061.4674316235Deceleration4121
2025-03-0710.289.97-2.4667782178Deceleration2413
2025-02-2810.259.92-0.9049787266Deceleration2312
2025-02-2110.169.88-2.9738473232Deceleration2012
2025-02-1410.229.84-0.8835742720Deceleration814
2025-02-0710.069.81-0.5521822200Deceleration521
2025-01-319.979.800.565665400Balance324
2025-01-249.949.820.4236108979Balance521
2025-01-179.899.870.4444325827Balance814
2025-01-109.179.88-4.6548968557Upward Expansion1311
2025-01-039.829.940.7182886265Upward Expansion3322
2024-12-2712.469.9720.92119005691Upward Expansion7149
2024-12-2011.079.929.1254124321Upward Expansion5336
2024-12-1311.469.9612.4565262529Rotation Up6139
2024-12-0611.379.9811.6967191184Rotation Up3529
2024-11-2910.839.989.3750417128Rotation Up3134
2024-11-2210.759.8811.0066871897Rotation Up3550
2024-11-1510.679.788.56120564667Rotation Up2858
2024-11-0811.889.6717.06147360537Rotation Up4870
2024-11-0111.599.5521.19212399698Rotation Up4755
2024-10-2510.069.454.93109952157Rotation Up2736
2024-10-1810.359.389.76232815522Downward Expansion3234
2024-10-119.299.310.31115388965Downward Expansion-2326
2024-10-049.659.250.8033886391Rotation Down-2221
2024-09-278.979.181.5575244834Rotation Down-2024
2024-09-208.569.109.6554739386Rotation Down-3445
2024-09-138.009.044.1630745689Rotation Down-3959
2024-09-068.058.952.8243849356Rotation Down-3055
2024-08-308.108.910.9536166328Rotation Down-3155
2024-08-237.978.90-0.8744101100Rotation Down-3452
2024-08-168.378.903.3967966624Deceleration-2738
2024-08-098.778.909.21100619218Deceleration-320
2024-08-029.118.8912.1259375777Deceleration517
2024-07-268.968.8711.1462925365Deceleration1416
2024-07-199.118.849.7769910500Deceleration2615
2024-07-129.798.8218.5297410400Deceleration3923
2024-07-0510.638.7630.04133538932Upward Expansion4329
2024-06-2811.368.6738.85231110868Upward Expansion5234
2024-06-2110.178.5524.1197250101Upward Expansion5638
2024-06-1411.188.4835.56127324396Upward Expansion6252
2024-06-0710.488.3727.06170580914Upward Expansion6477
2024-05-3110.918.2831.54310863752Upward Expansion6682
2024-05-2412.518.1751.82272216600Upward Expansion8490
2024-05-1711.878.0042.71392234184Upward Expansion8683
2024-05-1011.397.8438.32192482538Upward Expansion8360
2024-05-038.037.72-0.0321575201Balance13
2024-04-267.657.71-4.0645898050Balance99
2024-04-197.367.71-6.9291330904Balance713
2024-04-128.347.727.08233650202Balance2229
2024-04-058.477.707.2532595410Balance1424
2024-03-298.187.684.6949269900Balance919
2024-03-228.117.673.6877807543Downward Expansion-1514
2024-03-157.597.66-3.1193570148Downward Expansion-3620
2024-03-087.607.70-2.7982633997Downward Expansion-5654
2024-03-016.437.72-17.2640788514Downward Expansion-6474
2024-02-236.667.80-14.0140006112Downward Expansion-6172
2024-02-095.537.88-25.4254916751Downward Expansion-8576
2024-02-026.628.00-6.5832147955Balance-6239
2024-01-267.888.094.3037118114Balance14
2024-01-197.828.136.6142815609Rotation Up1517
2024-01-128.488.1613.8062156821Rotation Up3029
2024-01-058.618.1614.05132979070Rotation Up3137
2023-12-298.478.1810.8739096862Balance3034
2023-12-227.988.186.9055566698Balance-517
2023-12-158.538.1813.3467685369Balance1926
2023-12-087.878.173.8515469176Balance-1218
2023-12-017.998.173.2512836426Downward Expansion-1220
2023-11-247.938.172.1911947500Downward Expansion-2826
2023-11-177.948.161.8513021727Downward Expansion-3427
2023-11-107.898.161.7516646385Downward Expansion-4329
2023-11-037.788.160.6317135622Downward Expansion-6148
2023-10-277.658.16-0.6516127704Downward Expansion-6470
2023-10-207.298.19-4.2515531101Downward Expansion-7582
2023-10-137.298.22-7.5311189370Downward Expansion-7875
2023-09-297.558.26-5.109827810Downward Expansion-7064
Price vs TrendBelow-12.8%
Trend directionFalling-9.0%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-7.1%
Fair Value directionMoving away-1.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-14.0%
Relative strength directionImproving+10.4%
Price momentumNegative-17.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.95ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-61 / ยฑ100

-0.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

53 /100

+5.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance9
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion9
Deceleration46
Rotation Down52
Downward Expansion83

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 29%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-032026-10-09Established-4.5%
Balance2026-05-292026-06-26Developing-19.5%
Deceleration2026-04-242026-05-22Developing-5.8%
Balance2026-04-102026-04-17New+2.0%
Upward Expansion2026-03-132026-04-03New-16.1%
Rotation Up2026-02-062026-03-06New+11.3%
Balance2026-01-162026-01-30New-0.2%
Downward Expansion2025-10-172026-01-09Established+0.1%
Rotation Down2025-09-192025-10-10New+6.0%
Balance2025-08-152025-09-12Developing-5.2%
Upward Expansion2025-07-252025-08-08New+0.2%
Deceleration2025-06-132025-07-18Developing+7.1%
Upward Expansion2025-04-112025-06-06Developing+30.6%
Deceleration2025-02-072025-04-04Developing+18.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing59
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution12
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
84/100
Current Relative Strength
-14.00
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-17.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-12.9%
Utilities regime cohort
74th percentile43 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.42ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.95ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 10.47falling
Slow Activity CNY 11.32falling
Trend Reference CNY 12.02-12.8% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 11.29-7.1% close margin
Structural low CNY 10.10shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.1%
Annualized volatility +45.1%
From structural high -34.1%
From structural low +3.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term18+2.5%-6.9% to +37.4%+72.2%+27.8%+2.9%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7+4.3%-5.0% to +114.8%+71.4%+28.6%+0.2%+14.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+4.9%-2.8% to +21.8%+80.0%+20.0%+4.5%+0.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+25.3%+7.8% to +49.3%+100.0%+0.0%+18.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context