Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Consumer Cyclical

600679 Stage Analysis

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 10.55Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Rotation Up ยท Emerging rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction 32โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 50/100directional strength
Maturity 6/100lifecycle context
Confidence 73/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -5.8%CNY 11.21 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0210.5510.27-5.1513071804Rotation Up3250
2026-09-2510.6310.32-5.8845452668Rotation Up1839
2026-09-1810.2810.40-9.9718744426Balance1129
2026-09-1110.0110.48-12.3113186717Balance-121
2026-09-0410.1510.58-12.6116938670Downward Expansion-216
2026-08-2810.1810.68-13.346683753Downward Expansion-2318
2026-08-219.3910.79-19.611747400Downward Expansion-4029
2026-08-149.4810.91-19.861677600Downward Expansion-4435
2026-08-079.3911.05-21.442373500Downward Expansion-4741
2026-07-319.5411.18-18.553055600Downward Expansion-5149
2026-07-248.9611.32-23.691508100Downward Expansion-6763
2026-07-179.2011.48-21.292944400Downward Expansion-6665
2026-07-108.9311.64-28.582767503Downward Expansion-6884
2026-07-039.1411.83-28.443301120Downward Expansion-6785
2026-06-268.6511.99-32.613810200Downward Expansion-8688
2026-06-198.9612.14-31.9012643169Downward Expansion-8785
2026-06-129.4012.30-28.254650200Downward Expansion-8578
2026-06-0510.5712.43-19.9710592253Downward Expansion-6773
2026-05-299.7612.52-27.4916224000Downward Expansion-8990
2026-05-2210.2412.63-25.4016371104Downward Expansion-8784
2026-05-1510.7912.70-22.5118384761Downward Expansion-7879
2026-05-0811.1612.76-21.3110433900Downward Expansion-7176
2026-05-0111.2312.80-19.9912225451Downward Expansion-7171
2026-04-2411.2012.85-20.1015040552Downward Expansion-7677
2026-04-1711.4012.91-18.4515398700Downward Expansion-7373
2026-04-1011.7212.99-15.1210746100Downward Expansion-6679
2026-04-0311.5413.05-14.5116122712Downward Expansion-7685
2026-03-2711.8613.11-13.2824437554Downward Expansion-7181
2026-03-2011.6213.17-16.4315226202Downward Expansion-8383
2026-03-1312.0413.21-16.9512769025Rotation Down-7774
2026-03-0612.3113.24-16.2318087940Rotation Down-4353
2026-02-2712.8913.25-13.7112499138Rotation Down-2036
2026-02-1312.7313.26-13.6015518402Deceleration-2230
2026-02-0612.9113.28-12.4218541878Deceleration-1717
2026-01-3013.0813.28-12.6923542302Deceleration1513
2026-01-2313.5813.27-10.0133813911Deceleration2416
2026-01-1613.0213.26-13.3043972174Deceleration1613
2026-01-0913.5413.23-10.6632229827Deceleration3215
2026-01-0213.4313.21-8.2819767130Upward Expansion3720
2025-12-2613.7013.21-6.5847645828Upward Expansion5038
2025-12-1913.9513.21-3.4441374430Upward Expansion5452
2025-12-1213.9313.19-4.5487249563Upward Expansion5449
2025-12-0514.4613.17-1.5663394719Upward Expansion7063
2025-11-2813.9913.13-4.2550932038Balance6452
2025-11-2113.0513.07-9.3745680652Balance4629
2025-11-1413.9313.07-6.9939888840Balance6439
2025-11-0713.3012.98-11.3127967901Balance98
2025-10-3113.1712.92-11.2954900150Rotation Down-108
2025-10-2413.2112.90-10.8964211139Rotation Down-1527
2025-10-1712.2512.88-14.9919352937Rotation Down-3847
2025-10-1012.5812.92-13.978955501Balance-1725
2025-10-0312.5212.99-14.088518401Balance-814
2025-09-2612.4713.04-13.2427341600Balance157
2025-09-1913.2613.10-7.5944080650Balance5144
2025-09-1213.6113.13-6.3952724770Balance2945
2025-09-0513.6113.12-4.9154179450Balance2738
2025-08-2913.3813.09-7.5448589759Balance2125
2025-08-2213.6413.04-4.7758676045Balance2713
2025-08-1512.8913.02-6.6242635274Balance-3818
2025-08-0812.8513.03-5.1426121351Balance-3915
2025-08-0112.7013.01-4.1226629462Balance-3212
2025-07-2513.0813.00-2.0330800637Balance126
2025-07-1813.1913.040.5740735149Balance-249
2025-07-1112.9213.23-0.4134996400Balance-3318
2025-07-0413.0313.271.9236982950Balance-3117
2025-06-2713.0013.223.5445566950Balance-3015
2025-06-2012.2213.17-0.3632443252Balance-4016
2025-06-1313.0213.126.0758535404Balance710
2025-06-0613.3513.079.0657520488Balance2019
2025-05-3013.8613.0215.18108617979Balance1819
2025-05-2313.1112.929.63145449705Balance39
2025-05-1613.5812.8513.5281914154Balance1010
2025-05-0913.2012.7411.7995680794Rotation Down-1412
2025-05-0212.1712.655.5639705285Rotation Down-2839
2025-04-2512.8612.6111.3889975070Rotation Down-1935
2025-04-1811.5112.520.8335577300Rotation Down-2945
2025-04-1111.4112.461.5054187087Upward Expansion-2928
2025-04-0412.4212.387.2426501300Upward Expansion1610
2025-03-2812.6812.289.5447620321Upward Expansion3221
2025-03-2113.6012.1617.45108197593Upward Expansion5445
2025-03-1414.6611.9925.15101245349Upward Expansion5845
2025-03-0713.9911.8021.79142767569Upward Expansion5133
2025-02-2814.2411.6426.47133226889Deceleration5430
2025-02-2114.2011.4924.80141724215Deceleration5325
2025-02-1413.2411.3418.23114418230Deceleration3316
2025-02-0712.6311.2014.9040138502Deceleration2916
2025-01-3112.0711.0711.8621896100Deceleration2919
2025-01-2412.8310.9518.45108040075Deceleration3320
2025-01-1713.1610.8222.40122542397Upward Expansion3821
2025-01-1012.2610.6617.19178445654Upward Expansion5743
2025-01-0312.6510.5419.72132715349Upward Expansion6262
2024-12-2714.1510.4126.83360653834Upward Expansion6372
2024-12-2018.8010.2470.60344446531Upward Expansion9489
2024-12-1314.269.9230.16130643584Upward Expansion8863
2024-12-0611.469.764.9745992849Upward Expansion6041
2024-11-2911.549.708.3829816320Upward Expansion6546
2024-11-2210.819.633.6829678981Upward Expansion5945
2024-11-1511.339.576.8071385619Upward Expansion6457
2024-11-0811.949.488.7077394999Upward Expansion8168
2024-11-0110.729.413.3549656626Upward Expansion6254
2024-10-2511.069.376.0548032283Upward Expansion7476
2024-10-1810.299.320.1827428822Upward Expansion6370
2024-10-1110.499.303.8259054645Upward Expansion6672
2024-10-0411.089.296.2224091502Balance8377
2024-09-2710.279.266.7547648414Balance4346
2024-09-209.539.2312.2224509865Balance1415
2024-09-139.209.2210.2144347900Balance-2612
2024-09-069.429.2010.8363967364Balance-2013
2024-08-308.799.191.1611849022Balance-3923
2024-08-238.739.310.1813805802Balance-3915
2024-08-168.949.331.9217891101Balance-1518
2024-08-099.279.356.5832007600Balance1119
2024-08-029.489.367.7488736923Balance-1217
2024-07-269.849.3912.7878914653Downward Expansion-710
2024-07-198.889.41-0.8432728422Downward Expansion-5030
2024-07-128.779.45-1.6713033300Downward Expansion-5436
2024-07-058.719.46-1.6412421805Downward Expansion-5750
2024-06-288.759.48-1.7618646102Downward Expansion-6062
2024-06-218.539.49-5.299952604Downward Expansion-6766
2024-06-148.689.50-4.928042500Downward Expansion-6362
2024-06-078.679.54-5.5021398101Balance-6151
2024-05-319.069.54-2.3314689152Balance-5028
2024-05-249.049.52-2.4719691800Balance-138
2024-05-179.569.491.1426745147Balance-34
2024-05-109.659.442.3144215243Balance-1319
2024-05-039.569.403.3519317985Balance-1719
2024-04-268.829.36-3.7517174803Balance-1519
2024-04-198.799.34-3.1247133089Balance57
2024-04-129.719.338.8357622317Balance2811
2024-04-059.609.286.2214810431Balance2813
2024-03-299.479.236.0633665203Balance2714
2024-03-229.849.2110.2854635364Balance2915
2024-03-1510.009.1712.21100385578Balance209
2024-03-0810.189.1314.9781558602Balance2915
2024-03-019.339.096.42107715456Balance1915
2024-02-239.309.067.07118264122Balance2613
2024-02-098.559.043.47118057909Balance1911
2024-02-029.339.0718.72204755662Upward Expansion4525
2024-01-2612.429.0749.0334695846Upward Expansion7843
2024-01-199.178.9714.2537384700Upward Expansion3820
2024-01-129.509.0016.6946172902Upward Expansion5438
2024-01-059.589.0316.1850219734Upward Expansion5957
2023-12-2910.328.9923.54113620520Upward Expansion6561
2023-12-2210.718.9431.42146237541Rotation Up8067
2023-12-1510.038.8822.4788480518Rotation Up4638
2023-12-088.938.848.4428872301Rotation Up1726
2023-12-019.248.849.9924777200Rotation Up2337
2023-11-249.038.817.2462565552Rotation Up1727
2023-11-179.108.787.6591033104Rotation Up1524
2023-11-109.818.7616.6876064671Downward Expansion3124
2023-11-038.648.713.2513277467Downward Expansion-3723
2023-10-278.438.721.1712172429Downward Expansion-5334
2023-10-208.048.73-2.4110463399Downward Expansion-6750
2023-10-138.268.75-3.287920634Downward Expansion-5843
2023-09-298.328.77-3.434923500Downward Expansion-5750
2023-09-228.328.79-4.289374510Downward Expansion-5656
Price vs TrendAbove+2.8%
Trend directionFalling-9.3%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-5.8%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+12.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-5.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+23.3%
Price momentumNegative-8.6%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.52ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

32 / ยฑ100

+33.9 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

50 /100

+34.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance21
Rotation Up72
Upward Expansion52
Deceleration15
Rotation Down15
Downward Expansion29

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 35%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 25%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Rotation Up2026-09-252026-10-02New-0.8%
Balance2026-09-112026-09-18New+2.7%
Downward Expansion2026-03-202026-09-04Established-12.7%
Rotation Down2026-02-272026-03-13New-6.6%
Deceleration2026-01-092026-02-13Developing-6.0%
Upward Expansion2025-12-052026-01-02Developing-7.1%
Balance2025-11-072025-11-28New+5.2%
Rotation Down2025-10-172025-10-31New+7.5%
Balance2025-05-162025-10-10Established-7.4%
Rotation Down2025-04-182025-05-09New+14.7%
Upward Expansion2025-03-072025-04-11Developing-18.4%
Deceleration2025-01-242025-02-28Developing+11.0%
Upward Expansion2024-10-112025-01-17Established+25.5%
Balance2024-08-022024-10-04Developing+16.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing68
Stage 2 ยท Advancing26
Stage 3 ยท Distribution16
Stage 4 ยท Declining74

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
38/100
Current Relative Strength
-5.15
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-8.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-7.6%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort
79th percentile34 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.32ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.52ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 10.42rising
Slow Activity CNY 9.92falling
Trend Reference CNY 10.27+2.8% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 11.21-5.8% close margin
Structural low CNY 8.44shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +5.3%
Annualized volatility +31.3%
From structural high -30.8%
From structural low +25.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term3-5.3%-8.7% to +10.2%+33.3%+33.3%-3.2%+33.3%Too little matched history
Intermediate2-8.4%-19.1% to +2.2%+50.0%+50.0%-5.9%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended2-8.6%-14.9% to -2.2%+0.0%+0.0%-5.1%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1-16.8%-16.8% to -16.8%+0.0%+0.0%-9.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context