Weekly structural research ยท CPH ยท Industrials

DADC Stage Analysis

Danish Aerospace and Defence Co

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close DKK 2.43Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^OMXC25
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -84โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 93/100directional strength
Maturity 44/100lifecycle context
Confidence 87/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -56.4%DKK 5.57 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-092.433.91-57.82328436Downward Expansion-8493
2026-10-022.404.00-59.38727343Downward Expansion-9396
2026-09-252.924.12-52.33234921Downward Expansion-7891
2026-09-183.054.21-52.43126758Downward Expansion-7489
2026-09-113.054.31-53.59215655Downward Expansion-7683
2026-09-043.144.40-54.6526897Downward Expansion-7676
2026-08-283.224.55-55.1768436Downward Expansion-7359
2026-08-213.834.71-47.91110950Downward Expansion-5737
2026-08-143.534.86-53.1366100Downward Expansion-6246
2026-08-073.675.03-52.0036417Downward Expansion-6155
2026-07-313.625.21-53.7194314Downward Expansion-6363
2026-07-243.705.36-53.4450222Downward Expansion-5456
2026-07-173.955.49-53.1242713Balance-4740
2026-07-103.885.62-54.0099785Balance-4635
2026-07-034.125.77-52.5761145Balance-3619
2026-06-264.195.92-49.9083152Rotation Up-1620
2026-06-195.066.13-38.25148070Rotation Up027
2026-06-126.516.22-22.48758145Downward Expansion630
2026-06-056.706.28-20.153311759Downward Expansion-319
2026-05-297.126.37-17.058503694Downward Expansion-1513
2026-05-223.746.46-56.691148473Downward Expansion-6360
2026-05-153.036.67-64.770Downward Expansion-6871
2026-05-083.036.88-64.62471163Downward Expansion-6956
2026-05-013.177.10-63.42371958Downward Expansion-7155
2026-04-243.147.34-63.621909046Downward Expansion-7657
2026-04-174.907.59-45.30185556Downward Expansion-6354
2026-04-104.307.79-51.43148353Downward Expansion-6574
2026-04-033.688.00-57.88132613Downward Expansion-7677
2026-03-274.248.31-50.15208043Downward Expansion-7465
2026-03-204.078.62-52.31202019Downward Expansion-8384
2026-03-135.008.92-43.90159264Downward Expansion-7679
2026-03-066.109.36-34.07367838Downward Expansion-6680
2026-02-275.609.59-41.66253336Downward Expansion-7986
2026-02-206.109.76-39.32266547Downward Expansion-7474
2026-02-135.809.96-41.93512079Downward Expansion-8066
2026-02-067.6010.12-25.20206321Downward Expansion-6137
2026-01-307.9510.22-23.36227804Downward Expansion-4726
2026-01-238.4010.25-18.96273272Downward Expansion-4125
2026-01-168.6010.27-17.27303182Downward Expansion-5335
2026-01-099.0010.28-10.87615219Downward Expansion-5843
2026-01-028.1510.31-14.85224238Downward Expansion-6167
2025-12-267.5510.37-19.99174029Downward Expansion-7574
2025-12-197.8010.43-15.75229153Downward Expansion-7253
2025-12-128.4510.39-8.11109315Downward Expansion-6761
2025-12-058.7510.34-1.62274705Downward Expansion-3445
2025-11-2810.4010.2519.89532869Deceleration-2942
2025-11-217.6010.09-8.34242589Deceleration-4860
2025-11-148.5510.052.87292860Deceleration-2632
2025-11-079.309.9915.86133820Deceleration-1926
2025-10-319.809.9823.64159419Deceleration-1525
2025-10-2410.009.9826.92364075Deceleration-1522
2025-10-179.259.9919.65323989Deceleration-2021
2025-10-109.7510.0827.93497052Deceleration213
2025-10-0310.5010.3040.68257757Deceleration1718
2025-09-2610.5010.4249.01362111Deceleration2117
2025-09-1911.0010.2455.81663491Deceleration3118
2025-09-1210.6010.0454.311526860Upward Expansion3621
2025-09-0513.009.7992.52840578Upward Expansion5745
2025-08-2913.409.45104.321509908Upward Expansion5956
2025-08-2213.209.12101.922394748Upward Expansion6157
2025-08-1518.208.79197.741603334Upward Expansion9184
2025-08-0813.008.27121.33688262Upward Expansion7263
2025-08-0110.607.9390.81677965Upward Expansion5757
2025-07-2512.007.68103.071048851Upward Expansion7163
2025-07-1810.607.3890.81470093Upward Expansion6250
2025-07-1110.807.12100.16513899Upward Expansion6648
2025-07-048.856.8769.66236569Upward Expansion4938
2025-06-278.906.6875.02389568Upward Expansion5047
2025-06-208.906.5077.14577368Upward Expansion4143
2025-06-1310.006.3195.65241118Deceleration4337
2025-06-069.856.0998.672489778Deceleration3921
2025-05-309.455.87101.501312791Deceleration3112
2025-05-236.505.6743.18239941Deceleration1010
2025-05-166.855.5853.39318157Deceleration1012
2025-05-096.205.4746.98271085Deceleration1817
2025-05-025.605.3833.02288301Deceleration1817
2025-04-256.405.3164.56564741Deceleration2719
2025-04-186.605.2175.30682761Deceleration3518
2025-04-118.955.11152.431254220Upward Expansion5233
2025-04-049.804.94185.531519480Upward Expansion6050
2025-03-2810.504.72184.071627626Upward Expansion6572
2025-03-2111.804.48223.531215087Upward Expansion6582
2025-03-1416.504.20369.382310322Upward Expansion9294
2025-03-0714.203.76325.972233161Upward Expansion9389
2025-02-285.053.3858.47192768Rotation Up8278
2025-02-214.803.3153.95118163Rotation Up4143
2025-02-143.143.253.979548Balance-3117
2025-02-072.963.25-2.1216347Balance-3817
2025-01-313.403.2413.4414289Rotation Down-2613
2025-01-243.163.235.7751998Rotation Down-5128
2025-01-172.723.22-7.8032051Rotation Down-3737
2025-01-102.963.24-2.1641409Rotation Down-3146
2025-01-033.063.24-0.527267Rotation Down-2642
2024-12-272.983.24-2.9913920Rotation Down-2041
2024-12-202.623.25-12.1133070Deceleration-3641
2024-12-133.363.266.5924796Deceleration1212
2024-12-063.203.250.385434Deceleration611
2024-11-293.463.258.354917Deceleration1913
2024-11-223.163.25-0.9124949Deceleration1513
2024-11-153.343.245.528491Deceleration3417
2024-11-083.483.247.337285Upward Expansion3822
2024-11-013.403.231.549212Upward Expansion4226
2024-10-253.703.239.258873Upward Expansion6236
2024-10-183.523.212.293933Upward Expansion5433
2024-10-113.603.213.105370Upward Expansion6037
2024-10-043.423.20-1.477566Upward Expansion5846
2024-09-273.603.190.3415745Rotation Up6560
2024-09-203.503.19-4.549698Rotation Up3451
2024-09-133.683.19-3.1623726Rotation Up4657
2024-09-063.403.18-7.557908Rotation Up2434
2024-08-303.343.17-11.7211842Balance2122
2024-08-233.363.18-11.447042Balance29
2024-08-163.183.19-17.1236955Downward Expansion-2613
2024-08-092.923.20-23.5420489Downward Expansion-5328
2024-08-022.983.21-22.6715013Downward Expansion-5130
2024-07-263.043.24-22.448073Downward Expansion-5338
2024-07-192.903.25-25.666770Downward Expansion-6056
2024-07-122.903.26-28.412106Downward Expansion-6050
2024-07-052.923.27-27.905448Downward Expansion-5946
2024-06-282.923.29-27.5814648Downward Expansion-6136
2024-06-213.183.32-22.3420191Downward Expansion-3719
2024-06-143.063.34-25.695911Downward Expansion-5328
2024-06-073.143.36-26.241435Downward Expansion-4826
2024-05-313.183.38-24.9432499Downward Expansion-5129
2024-05-243.043.40-28.7614449Downward Expansion-5731
2024-05-173.103.44-28.4822182Downward Expansion-5531
2024-05-103.103.49-27.2030055Downward Expansion-5533
2024-05-033.303.53-21.3010060Downward Expansion-5030
2024-04-263.123.58-26.6313704Downward Expansion-5539
2024-04-193.143.62-26.012877Downward Expansion-5637
2024-04-123.183.67-26.294777Downward Expansion-5529
2024-04-053.343.72-23.5516009Downward Expansion-4827
2024-03-293.223.78-27.7357639Downward Expansion-5430
2024-03-223.503.83-22.3219164Downward Expansion-4624
2024-03-153.223.88-28.0228519Downward Expansion-5831
2024-03-083.323.92-27.4115890Downward Expansion-5329
2024-03-013.603.95-20.1725605Downward Expansion-4829
2024-02-233.423.97-23.256111Downward Expansion-5033
2024-02-163.344.00-25.7011630Downward Expansion-5432
2024-02-093.244.03-27.5216631Downward Expansion-5932
2024-02-023.544.07-19.9415781Downward Expansion-3824
2024-01-263.684.09-16.2127495Downward Expansion-4024
2024-01-193.504.10-19.5214529Downward Expansion-5436
2024-01-123.324.13-26.3240580Downward Expansion-6445
2024-01-053.724.18-16.5923422Downward Expansion-5947
2023-12-293.364.23-23.7536742Downward Expansion-6269
2023-12-223.224.29-26.5621752Downward Expansion-7373
2023-12-153.184.35-26.1925964Downward Expansion-7970
2023-12-083.584.40-16.029850Downward Expansion-6765
2023-12-013.804.44-10.7014087Downward Expansion-6167
2023-11-243.864.46-8.388016Downward Expansion-6169
2023-11-173.504.48-16.8421313Downward Expansion-7674
2023-11-103.704.50-8.869961Downward Expansion-7063
2023-11-034.004.51-1.127604Balance-6249
2023-10-274.124.544.264091Balance-4830
2023-10-204.584.5614.861500Balance-47
Price vs TrendBelow-37.9%
Trend directionFalling-24.9%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-56.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-24.7%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-57.8%
Relative strength directionWeakening-3.8%
Price momentumNegative-43.5%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.35ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-84 / ยฑ100

-8.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

93 /100

+10.6 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance0
Rotation Up12
Upward Expansion22
Deceleration37
Rotation Down83
Downward Expansion100

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 16%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 52%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-242026-10-09Developing-34.3%
Balance2026-07-032026-07-17New-4.2%
Rotation Up2026-06-192026-06-26New-17.2%
Downward Expansion2025-12-052026-06-12Extended-25.6%
Deceleration2025-09-192025-11-28Developing-5.5%
Upward Expansion2025-06-202025-09-12Established+19.1%
Deceleration2025-04-182025-06-13Developing+51.5%
Upward Expansion2025-03-072025-04-11Developing-37.0%
Rotation Up2025-02-212025-02-28New+5.2%
Balance2025-02-072025-02-14New+6.1%
Rotation Down2024-12-272025-01-31Developing+14.1%
Deceleration2024-11-152024-12-20Developing-21.6%
Upward Expansion2024-10-042024-11-08Developing+1.8%
Rotation Up2024-09-062024-09-27New+5.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing54
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution16
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^OMXC25

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
-57.82
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-43.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-47.4%
Industrials regime cohort
92th percentile12 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.44ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.35ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity DKK 2.64falling
Slow Activity DKK 3.66falling
Trend Reference DKK 3.91-37.9% close margin
Current Fair Value DKK 5.57-56.4% close margin
Structural low DKK 2.10shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +13.6%
Annualized volatility +131.1%
From structural high -77.1%
From structural low +15.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^OMXC25 Regime survived Read
Near term36-2.1%-29.6% to +35.3%+41.7%+55.6%-2.7%+86.1%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate13-6.4%-53.2% to +19.2%+23.1%+76.9%-6.7%+76.9%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6-13.5%-23.4% to +12.3%+16.7%+83.3%-19.5%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-5.9%-26.7% to +4.3%+33.3%+66.7%-13.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context