Weekly structural research ยท CPH ยท Financial Services

FYNBK Stage Analysis

Fynske Bank A/S

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close DKK 195.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^OMXC25
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 17โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 18/100directional strength
Maturity 54/100lifecycle context
Confidence 80/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +18.4%DKK 164.76 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09195.00194.67-1.845551Deceleration1718
2026-10-02199.00194.700.654290Deceleration3926
2026-09-25201.00194.870.903887Deceleration4231
2026-09-18202.00195.03-0.285550Rotation Up4738
2026-09-11201.00195.23-0.364662Rotation Up5947
2026-09-04201.00195.67-2.71160Rotation Up3761
2026-08-28205.00196.17-1.304115Rotation Up4674
2026-08-21202.00196.67-1.821388Rotation Up4072
2026-08-14206.00197.330.65431Rotation Up5776
2026-08-07202.00198.071.58809Rotation Up3960
2026-07-31202.00198.332.05727Downward Expansion2132
2026-07-24197.00198.200.251576Downward Expansion315
2026-07-17194.00198.20-4.741366Downward Expansion-2417
2026-07-10191.00198.03-4.60532Downward Expansion-5133
2026-07-03191.50197.73-5.421012Downward Expansion-5446
2026-06-26185.00197.38-3.65852Downward Expansion-6750
2026-06-19190.00197.182.36367Downward Expansion-5232
2026-06-12188.00197.220.084397Downward Expansion-4827
2026-06-05192.00197.183.421589Downward Expansion-3620
2026-05-29192.50196.982.453847Deceleration-3823
2026-05-22193.50196.573.265322Deceleration-1519
2026-05-15190.50195.623.113055Deceleration-2828
2026-05-08190.00194.774.60825Rotation Down-3132
2026-05-01186.00193.972.363233Rotation Down-3246
2026-04-24191.00193.336.772667Rotation Down-2446
2026-04-17190.00192.473.494779Rotation Down-2655
2026-04-10188.00191.704.565348Deceleration-3147
2026-04-03190.00191.038.758074Deceleration-928
2026-03-27192.00190.3315.151386Deceleration-625
2026-03-20192.00189.6316.783448Deceleration620
2026-03-13196.00188.9016.774214Deceleration2324
2026-03-06204.00188.2020.572132Deceleration3825
2026-02-27206.00186.9020.025968Upward Expansion4536
2026-02-20208.00185.5016.347114Upward Expansion5147
2026-02-13214.00184.2020.972839Upward Expansion6567
2026-02-06216.00182.7020.295559Upward Expansion6886
2026-01-30220.00180.8319.795179Upward Expansion7188
2026-01-23222.00178.7720.758319Upward Expansion7889
2026-01-16228.00176.7023.339216Upward Expansion9192
2026-01-09210.00174.3016.4912205Upward Expansion8382
2026-01-02198.00172.5715.244912Upward Expansion7361
2025-12-26197.00171.2015.742749Upward Expansion7652
2025-12-19189.00169.9012.809961Upward Expansion6741
2025-12-12182.00168.708.653052Upward Expansion5743
2025-12-05181.00167.7010.926895Upward Expansion6258
2025-11-28179.00166.6011.777125Upward Expansion6478
2025-11-21191.00165.3323.562072Upward Expansion8291
2025-11-14187.00163.5720.334512Upward Expansion8083
2025-11-07186.00161.9723.2410135Deceleration8169
2025-10-31180.00160.5219.9227923Deceleration7341
2025-10-24165.00159.129.542370Deceleration1912
2025-10-17165.00158.6910.359773Deceleration3018
2025-10-10166.00158.1711.494172Deceleration3320
2025-10-03167.00157.4413.257696Deceleration3722
2025-09-26165.00156.7316.884174Upward Expansion4129
2025-09-19167.00156.3116.412855Upward Expansion4840
2025-09-12168.00155.6318.447284Upward Expansion6051
2025-09-05169.00154.9219.432134Upward Expansion6359
2025-08-29171.00154.2121.585748Upward Expansion6870
2025-08-22170.00153.5018.266160Upward Expansion6666
2025-08-15175.00152.7226.929109Upward Expansion8688
2025-08-08165.00151.8419.365634Upward Expansion6478
2025-08-01164.00151.2021.835128Upward Expansion6579
2025-07-25169.00150.6915.424445Upward Expansion7984
2025-07-18169.00149.8219.647396Upward Expansion8379
2025-07-11160.00149.1114.0010815Upward Expansion6562
2025-07-04158.00148.8613.533978Upward Expansion5954
2025-06-27160.00148.1015.605743Upward Expansion6661
2025-06-20156.00147.3011.767019Upward Expansion6062
2025-06-13158.00146.708.918156Upward Expansion6567
2025-06-06157.00146.038.897762Upward Expansion6363
2025-05-30158.00145.4313.064403Balance6550
2025-05-23153.00144.8610.376857Balance5432
2025-05-16152.00144.539.847853Balance2212
2025-05-09148.00144.1211.3818340Rotation Down-1111
2025-05-02141.00143.894.741921Rotation Down-2434
2025-04-25138.00143.889.534360Balance-2029
2025-04-18139.02143.9811.932502Balance-1922
2025-04-11142.62144.1719.5811478Balance98
2025-04-04138.00144.2815.5818988Balance-15
2025-03-28152.00144.5413.667874Balance5324
2025-03-21149.60144.369.058627Balance3919
2025-03-14143.81144.394.0211770Balance2612
2025-03-07145.74144.393.124465Upward Expansion4521
2025-02-28152.50144.335.8110599Upward Expansion5729
2025-02-21146.71144.073.244557Upward Expansion3620
2025-02-14146.71144.075.725188Upward Expansion4725
2025-02-07147.67144.016.416683Upward Expansion5028
2025-01-31149.60143.949.016788Rotation Up5531
2025-01-24146.71144.017.363649Rotation Up2324
2025-01-17148.64144.1710.514130Rotation Up2025
2025-01-10145.74144.496.204655Rotation Up1325
2025-01-03148.64144.496.752634Balance2128
2024-12-27142.85144.463.293524Balance616
2024-12-20147.67144.7810.3311713Downward Expansion-511
2024-12-13152.50145.208.3318136Downward Expansion-107
2024-12-06135.13145.45-4.963598Downward Expansion-6954
2024-11-29136.09146.32-4.231794Downward Expansion-6855
2024-11-22138.02147.22-2.512322Downward Expansion-6445
2024-11-15138.02147.93-1.311127Downward Expansion-6542
2024-11-08138.99148.61-2.851128Downward Expansion-6643
2024-11-01140.92149.48-4.433644Downward Expansion-6041
2024-10-25142.85150.15-3.703996Downward Expansion-6051
2024-10-18139.95150.67-6.702504Downward Expansion-6869
2024-10-11140.92150.99-6.661693Downward Expansion-6666
2024-10-04140.92151.04-5.5111926Downward Expansion-6761
2024-09-27140.92151.12-7.797461Downward Expansion-6956
2024-09-20144.78151.23-6.683173Downward Expansion-4832
2024-09-13145.74151.18-8.634447Downward Expansion-4121
2024-09-06145.74151.19-4.851146Downward Expansion-4323
2024-08-30146.71151.14-5.95669Downward Expansion-4225
2024-08-23150.57151.15-2.724412Downward Expansion-5431
2024-08-16143.81151.03-7.194522Rotation Down-6250
2024-08-09143.81151.19-5.902333Rotation Down-3746
2024-08-02144.78151.27-5.422375Rotation Down-3748
2024-07-26146.71151.07-5.112311Rotation Down-2137
2024-07-19144.78150.86-5.156183Deceleration-2939
2024-07-12145.74150.60-7.279600Deceleration-2618
2024-07-05151.53150.24-2.695506Deceleration511
2024-06-28151.53149.75-1.443559Deceleration516
2024-06-21158.29149.232.115423Deceleration1721
2024-06-14145.74148.51-5.678946Deceleration-719
2024-06-07147.67148.21-6.663948Deceleration1315
2024-05-31152.50147.85-2.081954Deceleration3825
2024-05-24160.22147.213.43599Upward Expansion5543
2024-05-17160.22146.333.002715Upward Expansion5846
2024-05-10161.19145.496.67457Upward Expansion6151
2024-05-03163.12144.5910.8110623Upward Expansion7172
2024-04-26159.26143.627.673385Upward Expansion6580
2024-04-19158.29142.818.216132Upward Expansion6583
2024-04-12165.05142.0011.901377Upward Expansion8490
2024-04-05161.19141.038.745519Upward Expansion8078
2024-03-29158.29140.225.8510050Upward Expansion7754
2024-03-22149.60139.41-0.239686Deceleration6332
2024-03-15142.37138.99-3.823552Deceleration3418
2024-03-08143.30138.80-4.893209Deceleration3923
2024-03-01144.22138.49-2.484617Upward Expansion4226
2024-02-23143.30138.25-1.661653Upward Expansion4632
2024-02-16146.07137.97-0.223219Upward Expansion6146
2024-02-09144.22137.60-0.463311Upward Expansion6469
2024-02-02147.00137.263.211791Upward Expansion6878
2024-01-26147.00136.924.482731Upward Expansion7177
2024-01-19148.85136.497.403390Upward Expansion8078
2024-01-12146.07135.962.452886Upward Expansion7767
2024-01-05138.68135.60-1.057331Balance5237
2023-12-29140.53135.631.913978Balance6542
2023-12-22136.83135.440.373671Balance4720
2023-12-15134.98135.501.474257Balance1411
2023-12-08136.83135.384.603251Balance4834
2023-12-01135.90135.194.498152Balance4426
2023-11-24136.83135.166.652955Balance4726
2023-11-17136.83135.167.067183Balance86
2023-11-10136.83135.1311.647912Balance-229
2023-11-03133.13135.019.498673Balance-5330
2023-10-27134.05134.9813.204188Balance-2218
2023-10-20134.98135.0613.074355Balance-1816
Price vs TrendAbove+0.2%
Trend directionFalling-1.8%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+18.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-1.5%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-1.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+2.8%
Price momentumPositive+3.7%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.90ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

17 / ยฑ100

-41.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

18 /100

-29.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance56
Rotation Up17
Upward Expansion53
Deceleration93
Rotation Down34
Downward Expansion21

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 35%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 17%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-252026-10-09New-3.0%
Rotation Up2026-08-072026-09-18Developing+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-06-052026-07-31Developing+5.2%
Deceleration2026-05-152026-05-29New+1.0%
Rotation Down2026-04-172026-05-08New+0.0%
Deceleration2026-03-062026-04-10Developing-7.8%
Upward Expansion2025-11-142026-02-27Established+10.2%
Deceleration2025-10-032025-11-07Developing+11.4%
Upward Expansion2025-06-062025-09-26Established+5.1%
Balance2025-05-162025-05-30New+3.9%
Rotation Down2025-05-022025-05-09New+5.0%
Balance2025-03-142025-04-25Developing-4.0%
Upward Expansion2025-02-072025-03-07Developing-1.3%
Rotation Up2025-01-102025-01-31New+2.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing49
Stage 2 ยท Advancing39
Stage 3 ยท Distribution66
Stage 4 ยท Declining61

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^OMXC25

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
40/100
Current Relative Strength
-1.84
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+3.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-0.2%
Financial Services regime cohort
75th percentile4 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume2.36ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.90ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity DKK 198.60falling
Slow Activity DKK 197.09rising
Trend Reference DKK 194.67+0.2% close margin
Current Fair Value DKK 164.76+18.4% close margin
Structural low DKK 183.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +2.2%
Annualized volatility +11.9%
From structural high -15.9%
From structural low +19.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^OMXC25 Regime survived Read
Near term11-0.6%-6.9% to +16.8%+36.4%+36.4%-1.5%+27.3%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate6+2.3%-5.9% to +18.6%+66.7%+66.7%+5.0%+16.7%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+4.7%+0.0% to +13.8%+80.0%+80.0%+1.9%+40.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+15.0%+1.7% to +19.2%+100.0%+100.0%+11.8%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context