Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.
The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction
50โ100 bearish to +100 bullishEnergy
33/100directional strengthMaturity
81/100lifecycle contextConfidence
79/100evidence agreementTrend gate
Upstructural directionActivity structure
Moderatecontracting separationPrice acceptance
+50.0%position within the Activity structureFair Value context
+25.0%JPY 937.54 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context
Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value
Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.
CloseActivity LinesTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
View chart values ยท 93 observations
Week
Close
Trend
Relative Strength
Volume
Regime
Direction
Energy
2026-09-25
1,172.00
1,062.49
3.12
831100
Upward Expansion
50
33
2026-09-18
1,142.00
1,059.71
2.47
1621700
Upward Expansion
47
36
2026-09-11
1,126.00
1,055.99
2.52
2075400
Upward Expansion
59
45
2026-09-04
1,157.00
1,051.71
3.60
2461300
Upward Expansion
64
73
2026-08-28
1,198.00
1,045.85
4.80
1299100
Upward Expansion
73
83
2026-08-21
1,181.00
1,037.84
3.70
423000
Upward Expansion
71
76
2026-08-14
1,215.00
1,030.79
2.23
538800
Upward Expansion
84
69
2026-08-07
1,141.00
1,021.57
0.43
638000
Upward Expansion
72
47
2026-07-31
1,091.00
1,014.63
-2.39
479000
Upward Expansion
59
42
2026-07-24
1,098.00
1,008.57
-2.50
526900
Upward Expansion
65
48
2026-07-17
1,071.00
1,001.48
-4.47
1003900
Upward Expansion
61
49
2026-07-10
1,109.00
994.54
-7.86
516200
Upward Expansion
73
70
2026-07-03
1,101.00
985.91
-10.56
1192300
Upward Expansion
74
61
2026-06-26
1,069.00
977.49
-13.25
515700
Upward Expansion
65
70
2026-06-19
1,106.00
โ
โ
1352900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-12
1,006.00
โ
โ
379200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-05
1,057.00
โ
โ
381300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-29
1,067.00
โ
โ
3214500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-22
1,018.00
โ
โ
4604400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-15
951.00
โ
โ
1738400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-08
958.00
โ
โ
868500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-01
944.00
โ
โ
1172900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-24
948.00
โ
โ
1826300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-17
972.00
โ
โ
1601400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-10
971.00
โ
โ
1373100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-03
962.00
โ
โ
2260600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-27
984.00
โ
โ
2901400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-20
986.91
โ
โ
1546500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-13
1,013.08
โ
โ
2471700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-06
1,059.62
โ
โ
3658600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-27
1,088.70
โ
โ
2171000
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-20
1,030.53
โ
โ
3887300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-13
997.57
โ
โ
2508900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-06
981.09
โ
โ
3189100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-30
957.82
โ
โ
2719500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-23
969.46
โ
โ
3939800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-16
938.44
โ
โ
2855200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-09
932.62
โ
โ
3026100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-02
909.35
โ
โ
1326500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-26
885.12
โ
โ
2354800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-19
862.82
โ
โ
1946900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-12
850.21
โ
โ
2063800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-05
848.28
โ
โ
1956600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-28
847.31
โ
โ
1221000
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-21
846.34
โ
โ
3220900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-14
853.12
โ
โ
3359900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-07
834.70
โ
โ
1544200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-31
843.43
โ
โ
2242700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-24
834.70
โ
โ
2485200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-17
827.92
โ
โ
2088600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-10
812.41
โ
โ
3173400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-03
818.22
โ
โ
5669100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-26
837.61
โ
โ
3547500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-19
830.12
โ
โ
2811400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-12
831.99
โ
โ
4506200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-05
847.92
โ
โ
3435200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-29
854.48
โ
โ
3638400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-22
861.97
โ
โ
4469700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-15
816.06
โ
โ
4556800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-08
832.93
โ
โ
4683800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-01
824.49
โ
โ
5566000
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-25
813.25
โ
โ
8840300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-18
821.68
โ
โ
2978600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-11
835.74
โ
โ
3735800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-04
867.59
โ
โ
880600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-27
883.52
โ
โ
1177700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-20
865.72
โ
โ
848200
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-13
857.29
โ
โ
947500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-06
875.09
โ
โ
1028500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-30
881.65
โ
โ
1049300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-23
856.35
โ
โ
1880000
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-16
885.40
โ
โ
1594100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-09
860.10
โ
โ
775500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-02
856.35
โ
โ
865500
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-25
858.22
โ
โ
1286100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-18
830.12
โ
โ
1584900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-11
771.09
โ
โ
4708700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-04
798.26
โ
โ
3898100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-28
918.19
โ
โ
2621400
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-21
926.61
โ
โ
1450000
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-14
940.72
โ
โ
1585300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-07
926.61
โ
โ
1886100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-28
945.13
โ
โ
1700600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-21
1,000.67
โ
โ
3273100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-14
904.57
โ
โ
2204700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-07
840.21
โ
โ
2330600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-31
881.65
โ
โ
1443600
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-24
888.70
โ
โ
1378300
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-17
898.40
โ
โ
1328100
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-10
913.39
โ
โ
4172800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-01-03
893.99
โ
โ
1472800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-27
857.85
โ
โ
5307900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2024-12-20
854.32
โ
โ
26287800
Not yet classified
โ
โ
Price vs TrendAbove+10.3%Trend directionRising+6.1%Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+25.0%Fair Value directionClosing upward+6.9%Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+3.1%Relative strength directionImproving+16.4%Price momentumPositive+19.1%Volume balanceDemand-led1.11ร
Beyond the current label
Is the structure strengthening or losing force?
Direction and energy measure different things
Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.
Direction
50 / ยฑ100
-22.7 points since 2026-08-28
Energy
33 /100
-50.0 points since 2026-08-28
Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.
The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.
Time spent in each state
The context behind todayโs regime
2024-12-20 to 2026-09-25 ยท 14 classified observations out of 93 shown.
Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.
Leadership versus ^N225
Is relative performance confirming the geometry?
Confirmation, not classification
Relative Strength
The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.
Fast Activity
JPY 1,154.53fallingSlow Activity
JPY 1,100.81risingTrend Reference
JPY 1,062.49+10.3% close marginCurrent Fair Value
JPY 937.54+25.0% close marginStructural low
JPY 928.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?
Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.
Range context
+4.4%Annualized volatility
+25.5%From structural high
-4.3%From structural low
+45.5%
Point-in-time evidence
What followed this architecture in this market?
Descriptive history, never a forecast
Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.
Outcome horizon
Samples
Median move
Positive periods
Directional follow-through
Median excess vs ^N225
Regime survived
Read
Near term
3
+2.7%-3.3% to +7.6%
+66.7%
+66.7%
+5.4%
+100.0%
Too little matched history
Intermediate
1
+9.6%+9.6% to +9.6%
+100.0%
+100.0%
+14.0%
+100.0%
Too little matched history
Extended
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Full cycle
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Continue the research
Test the structure from another angle
Use complementary evidence to confirm or challenge the stage reading. Each app shows its own observation date and coverage.
What the analysis measures and where its limits lie
Trend Architecture
Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.
Evidence roles
Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.
Fair Value and RS
Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.
Known limitations
Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.
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