Weekly structural research ยท KSC ยท Consumer Defensive

011150 Stage Analysis

CJ Seafood Corporation

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close KRW 1,876.00Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^KS11
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -79โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 75/100directional strength
Maturity 71/100lifecycle context
Confidence 90/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -36.6%KRW 2,957.70 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-251,876.002,267.87-43.2899293Downward Expansion-7975
2026-09-181,900.002,300.33-42.33210762Downward Expansion-7555
2026-09-112,005.002,335.17-40.63152635Downward Expansion-4941
2026-09-041,994.002,365.17-40.32165097Downward Expansion-5243
2026-08-282,050.002,393.53-40.93343363Downward Expansion-4742
2026-08-212,015.002,419.87-44.2448085Downward Expansion-4947
2026-08-142,045.002,446.87-45.1927709Downward Expansion-5049
2026-08-072,015.002,471.70-41.08118030Downward Expansion-5050
2026-07-311,932.002,499.37-47.5525248Downward Expansion-6357
2026-07-242,015.002,530.97-47.2281652Downward Expansion-6459
2026-07-172,070.002,558.63-47.90243974Downward Expansion-6465
2026-07-102,065.002,585.80-53.5674192Downward Expansion-6767
2026-07-031,996.002,607.63-59.3964310Downward Expansion-6885
2026-06-261,818.002,631.10-65.25100065Downward Expansion-9297
2026-06-191,995.002,661.50-65.3789916Downward Expansion-8595
2026-06-122,110.002,686.50-60.1465734Downward Expansion-8193
2026-06-052,070.002,706.50-61.94101378Downward Expansion-9397
2026-05-292,170.002,727.00-62.48619025Downward Expansion-9192
2026-05-222,370.002,744.33-56.75772884Downward Expansion-8178
2026-05-152,500.002,757.33-53.321047361Downward Expansion-7260
2026-05-082,620.002,766.83-52.16669315Downward Expansion-6029
2026-05-012,715.002,772.33-45.02593029Downward Expansion-3515
2026-04-242,745.002,775.00-44.52848825Downward Expansion-3518
2026-04-172,780.002,776.67-42.45827320Downward Expansion-4624
2026-04-102,725.002,780.33-41.60520626Downward Expansion-5346
2026-04-032,655.002,786.67-39.26606346Balance-5151
2026-03-272,720.002,794.00-39.60817971Balance-2227
2026-03-202,715.002,799.17-44.22711730Balance-2122
2026-03-132,675.002,805.00-43.06847074Balance-2216
2026-03-062,675.002,813.17-44.961802689Balance-105
2026-02-272,850.002,825.33-48.352655527Balance2226
2026-02-202,945.002,826.33-43.57939087Balance3132
2026-02-132,905.002,826.50-42.132487513Balance2313
2026-02-062,845.002,829.50-39.501927493Balance-12
2026-01-302,840.002,835.17-41.962198525Balance-106
2026-01-232,825.002,840.83-40.341244376Balance-118
2026-01-162,790.002,845.17-40.001230315Balance-1010
2026-01-092,845.002,854.33-36.224773570Balance-913
2026-01-022,880.002,859.17-32.0910784197Balance-511
2025-12-262,845.002,864.00-30.753162549Balance-1913
2025-12-192,885.002,867.00-28.547926681Downward Expansion-2111
2025-12-122,720.002,870.67-35.67861905Downward Expansion-5029
2025-12-052,700.002,880.83-35.841215952Downward Expansion-5633
2025-11-282,730.002,900.83-32.863307955Downward Expansion-5535
2025-11-212,745.002,915.00-31.8232798874Downward Expansion-5942
2025-11-142,710.002,930.17-35.88462700Downward Expansion-6571
2025-11-072,685.002,947.33-36.15851648Downward Expansion-7269
2025-10-312,690.002,964.50-39.03657360Downward Expansion-7463
2025-10-242,760.002,980.00-35.49496754Downward Expansion-6454
2025-10-172,785.002,992.50-32.15991683Downward Expansion-6155
2025-10-102,785.003,006.67-30.12114663Downward Expansion-6456
2025-10-032,795.003,017.50-29.24301733Downward Expansion-6550
2025-09-262,795.003,025.50-26.47671566Downward Expansion-6643
2025-09-192,890.003,035.83-25.91531659Downward Expansion-5435
2025-09-122,915.003,044.33-24.75900454Downward Expansion-5338
2025-09-052,875.003,048.83-21.94524846Downward Expansion-5845
2025-08-292,875.003,055.00-21.96692150Downward Expansion-5933
2025-08-222,890.003,058.67-21.603154998Downward Expansion-5940
2025-08-152,920.003,061.50-22.673837495Balance-5740
2025-08-083,040.003,064.83-19.743288628Balance-4932
2025-08-012,880.003,065.83-22.474729278Balance-6348
2025-07-252,950.003,069.67-23.141507849Balance-5329
2025-07-182,995.003,065.67-22.47768888Balance-1313
2025-07-113,015.003,067.00-22.38904845Balance-1913
2025-07-043,010.003,071.33-20.222813155Balance-2014
2025-06-272,955.003,062.83-22.411330896Balance-2820
2025-06-203,065.003,061.17-19.661163240Balance-1424
2025-06-132,990.003,055.67-19.361467764Balance-1529
2025-06-063,025.003,052.50-17.58807948Balance-1320
2025-05-302,935.003,056.50-17.531114594Balance-1817
2025-05-232,995.003,064.33-13.28909099Upward Expansion1711
2025-05-163,025.003,067.17-14.463688962Upward Expansion2713
2025-05-093,300.003,070.33-5.311169903Upward Expansion6034
2025-05-023,155.003,068.00-8.537161871Upward Expansion5027
2025-04-253,200.003,073.50-6.471697034Upward Expansion5538
2025-04-183,225.003,083.67-3.052888045Upward Expansion3129
2025-04-113,200.003,087.50-1.435983275Upward Expansion3032
2025-04-043,155.003,091.83-3.701579162Balance2732
2025-03-283,135.003,094.00-7.371218026Balance2424
2025-03-213,210.003,102.50-7.882245370Balance2324
2025-03-143,110.003,112.17-7.781116771Balance-610
2025-03-073,035.003,133.50-9.641240742Balance-1310
2025-02-283,105.003,163.00-6.201742049Balance-1311
2025-02-213,145.003,188.33-9.101179946Balance-108
2025-02-143,050.003,218.50-9.531018910Balance-2312
2025-02-073,060.003,259.83-6.632124607Balance-2413
2025-01-312,985.003,308.17-8.59137006Downward Expansion-3619
2025-01-242,975.003,357.83-9.491629510Downward Expansion-3720
2025-01-173,020.003,427.33-7.66779986Downward Expansion-3724
2025-01-103,070.003,510.00-5.821214677Downward Expansion-3925
2025-01-032,995.003,618.33-5.241091337Downward Expansion-4227
2024-12-272,830.003,682.17-8.914272105Downward Expansion-6441
2024-12-203,035.003,743.67-2.184002529Downward Expansion-5741
2024-12-133,145.003,810.83-2.146142466Downward Expansion-6048
2024-12-062,755.003,838.83-11.78975455Downward Expansion-7479
2024-11-292,905.003,840.50-8.08829889Downward Expansion-6668
2024-11-222,900.003,836.17-9.85765275Downward Expansion-6969
2024-11-152,895.003,831.33-6.821802569Downward Expansion-7371
2024-11-083,145.003,824.67-4.331447309Downward Expansion-6163
2024-11-013,170.003,811.50-2.70909897Downward Expansion-6060
2024-10-253,080.003,794.50-6.821685638Downward Expansion-6663
2024-10-183,120.003,781.83-5.925313016Downward Expansion-3943
2024-10-113,230.003,768.33-2.54866607Downward Expansion-3843
2024-10-043,320.003,750.501.41610592Rotation Down-3439
2024-09-273,505.003,730.334.062244092Rotation Down-3241
2024-09-203,340.003,705.501.563957253Rotation Down-2548
2024-09-133,330.003,689.172.151102486Rotation Down-2751
2024-09-063,220.003,674.500.116102984Rotation Down-3149
2024-08-303,390.003,662.330.251589298Deceleration-2736
2024-08-233,500.003,646.332.411765680Deceleration-519
2024-08-163,750.003,627.509.704396217Deceleration315
2024-08-093,920.003,600.0019.8216747625Deceleration1918
2024-08-023,865.003,565.8314.772425456Deceleration2221
2024-07-264,050.003,531.6718.278689543Deceleration3225
2024-07-194,290.003,494.6723.024103101Upward Expansion3924
2024-07-124,510.003,451.5027.1429101571Upward Expansion4736
2024-07-054,475.003,398.6726.558587100Upward Expansion6456
2024-06-285,060.003,347.6746.9517625852Upward Expansion6766
2024-06-215,500.003,274.6761.5846067555Upward Expansion7176
2024-06-146,320.003,185.6789.13124973513Upward Expansion9698
2024-06-074,910.003,065.1750.8246661328Upward Expansion8394
2024-05-314,675.002,991.0049.2637261995Upward Expansion8895
2024-05-245,050.002,926.1759.3859538209Upward Expansion9497
2024-05-173,985.002,845.0025.2342695716Upward Expansion8879
2024-05-102,805.002,798.00-11.83481448Downward Expansion-2816
2024-05-032,775.002,796.83-11.72308488Downward Expansion-3819
2024-04-262,755.002,796.00-12.14574446Downward Expansion-4427
2024-04-192,695.002,800.00-12.28558117Downward Expansion-5836
2024-04-122,750.002,808.00-13.911507781Downward Expansion-5739
2024-04-052,660.002,821.17-17.97398046Downward Expansion-7068
2024-03-292,700.002,841.00-18.10572809Downward Expansion-6568
2024-03-222,715.002,861.83-18.08367517Downward Expansion-5260
2024-03-152,695.002,890.50-16.57245239Downward Expansion-5758
2024-03-082,715.002,901.83-16.79385157Balance-5547
2024-03-012,760.002,916.83-14.64323554Balance-4827
2024-02-232,850.002,928.17-13.16423003Balance-3216
2024-02-162,890.002,935.17-11.81248656Balance-2411
2024-02-092,855.002,945.67-12.36416598Balance-2711
2024-02-022,910.002,960.67-10.96596483Balance-2211
2024-01-262,935.002,974.83-5.512172737Balance-2011
2024-01-192,925.002,995.17-5.74627550Balance-2111
2024-01-122,895.003,017.17-8.86519373Balance-1510
2024-01-052,840.003,049.83-12.84792667Balance-1613
2023-12-292,940.003,078.67-12.773907322Balance-1116
2023-12-222,995.003,093.50-9.481011121Downward Expansion-1619
2023-12-152,925.003,105.00-10.41515653Downward Expansion-2822
2023-12-082,945.003,124.33-8.17983029Downward Expansion-3321
2023-12-012,870.003,145.50-10.01735044Downward Expansion-4027
2023-11-242,830.003,162.50-10.965992411Downward Expansion-4534
2023-11-172,705.003,176.17-13.99256096Downward Expansion-5743
2023-11-102,685.003,199.17-12.55309504Downward Expansion-6151
2023-11-032,730.003,214.17-9.55378408Downward Expansion-6361
2023-10-272,615.003,228.00-10.88517293Downward Expansion-7075
2023-10-202,575.003,246.17-14.94513244Downward Expansion-7677
2023-10-132,770.003,262.33-11.66464763Downward Expansion-6772
2023-10-062,750.003,275.83-10.63461871Downward Expansion-7271
Price vs TrendBelow-17.3%
Trend directionFalling-11.4%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-36.6%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+3.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-43.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+22.0%
Price momentumNegative-31.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.63ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-79 / ยฑ100

-31.7 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

75 /100

+32.8 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance12
Rotation Up24
Upward Expansion15
Deceleration42
Rotation Down62
Downward Expansion89

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 30%Upward Expansion 11%Deceleration 4%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 52%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-04-102026-09-25Established-31.2%
Balance2025-12-262026-04-03Established-6.7%
Downward Expansion2025-08-222025-12-19Established-0.2%
Balance2025-05-302025-08-15Developing-0.5%
Upward Expansion2025-04-112025-05-23Developing-6.4%
Balance2025-02-072025-04-04Developing+3.1%
Downward Expansion2024-10-112025-01-31Established-7.6%
Rotation Down2024-09-062024-10-04Developing+3.1%
Deceleration2024-07-262024-08-30Developing-16.3%
Upward Expansion2024-05-172024-07-19Developing+7.7%
Downward Expansion2024-03-152024-05-10Developing+4.1%
Balance2023-12-292024-03-08Developing-7.7%
Downward Expansion2023-10-062023-12-22Developing+8.9%
Balance2023-09-012023-09-29Developing-13.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing72
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution0
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
76/100
Current Relative Strength
-43.28
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-31.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-61.2%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
88th percentile42 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.45ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.63ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity KRW 1,935.53falling
Slow Activity KRW 2,103.60falling
Trend Reference KRW 2,267.87-17.3% close margin
Current Fair Value KRW 2,957.70-36.6% close margin
Structural low KRW 1,781.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.8%
Annualized volatility +29.6%
From structural high -44.0%
From structural low +5.3%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^KS11 Regime survived Read
Near term36+0.1%-21.0% to +75.0%+50.0%+47.2%-1.5%+83.3%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate12+1.2%-24.2% to +134.5%+50.0%+50.0%-4.0%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-0.5%-5.5% to +24.8%+42.9%+57.1%+2.1%+28.6%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-3.9%-26.5% to +20.7%+50.0%+50.0%-1.1%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context