Weekly structural research · JPX · Consumer Cyclical

3329 Stage Analysis

Towa Food Service Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close JPY 2,137.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 66−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 83/100directional strength

Maturity 15/100lifecycle context

Confidence 74/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +5.0%JPY 2,034.93 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	2,137.00	2,099.88	-13.66	47100	Upward Expansion	66	83
2026-09-25	2,145.00	2,099.35	-11.49	8100	Upward Expansion	72	88
2026-09-18	2,144.00	2,098.68	-10.37	8600	Upward Expansion	74	89
2026-09-11	2,145.00	2,097.81	-9.56	8100	Rotation Up	80	90
2026-09-04	2,144.00	2,096.75	-11.61	34300	Rotation Up	51	64
2026-08-28	2,129.00	2,095.35	-14.77	1700	Rotation Up	35	57
2026-08-21	2,125.00	2,094.22	-15.15	1400	Rotation Up	33	56
2026-08-14	2,117.00	2,093.36	-19.49	1100	Rotation Up	29	56
2026-08-07	2,120.00	2,092.69	-16.29	1200	Rotation Up	29	52
2026-07-31	2,112.00	2,092.23	-15.74	1100	Rotation Up	25	40
2026-07-24	2,119.00	2,091.10	-16.54	1200	Balance	27	30
2026-07-17	2,104.00	2,089.21	-17.22	2800	Balance	-9	17
2026-07-10	2,095.00	2,088.16	-23.60	2400	Downward Expansion	-20	18
2026-07-03	2,072.00	2,086.74	-26.50	3200	Downward Expansion	-35	23
2026-06-26	2,047.00	2,085.55	-27.75	6100	Downward Expansion	-42	26
2026-06-19	2,066.00	2,086.03	-29.74	5300	Downward Expansion	-56	36
2026-06-12	2,066.00	2,084.38	-25.04	5700	Rotation Down	-62	48
2026-06-05	2,007.00	2,083.10	-28.58	2800	Rotation Down	-46	74
2026-05-29	2,017.00	2,084.51	-28.74	51500	Rotation Down	-44	72
2026-05-22	2,018.00	2,085.49	-26.11	32000	Rotation Down	-39	52
2026-05-15	2,013.00	2,088.69	-24.76	31400	Upward Expansion	-45	47
2026-05-08	2,052.00	2,092.03	-25.62	20800	Upward Expansion	-12	20
2026-05-01	2,071.00	2,094.03	-21.66	322400	Upward Expansion	18	18
2026-04-24	2,138.88	2,095.10	-20.10	102900	Upward Expansion	62	65
2026-04-17	2,157.77	2,094.08	-18.44	60300	Upward Expansion	76	74
2026-04-10	2,157.77	2,092.13	-17.01	45100	Upward Expansion	83	65
2026-04-03	2,132.92	2,089.85	-12.95	47800	Upward Expansion	71	46
2026-03-27	2,118.99	2,089.28	-14.68	17500	Upward Expansion	60	41
2026-03-20	2,113.03	2,087.90	-15.51	13000	Upward Expansion	60	49
2026-03-13	2,112.03	2,087.70	-16.77	16400	Upward Expansion	64	68
2026-03-06	2,120.98	2,087.11	-19.66	29200	Upward Expansion	67	76
2026-02-27	2,124.96	2,086.06	-24.46	46500	Rotation Up	76	77
2026-02-20	2,118.00	2,084.80	-22.59	12800	Rotation Up	45	57
2026-02-13	2,113.03	2,083.48	-23.42	5500	Rotation Up	34	47
2026-02-06	2,102.09	2,082.10	-20.54	10900	Rotation Up	26	45
2026-01-30	2,095.13	2,081.15	-19.86	10600	Rotation Up	23	43
2026-01-23	2,099.11	2,080.29	-20.86	11300	Rotation Up	23	30
2026-01-16	2,097.12	2,079.27	-21.41	8500	Rotation Up	21	27
2026-01-09	2,106.07	2,078.39	-18.48	16500	Downward Expansion	17	23
2026-01-02	2,078.23	2,077.17	-17.36	6800	Downward Expansion	-25	20
2025-12-26	2,062.32	2,076.71	-18.93	20700	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2025-12-19	2,072.26	2,075.97	-16.75	17600	Downward Expansion	-42	24
2025-12-12	2,052.37	2,075.35	-19.99	13500	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2025-12-05	2,036.46	2,075.62	-20.36	17300	Rotation Down	-66	72
2025-11-28	2,061.32	2,076.72	-19.32	32000	Rotation Down	-35	65
2025-11-21	2,016.57	2,076.77	-18.77	16500	Rotation Down	-52	70
2025-11-14	2,027.51	2,077.64	-21.48	35400	Rotation Down	-43	51
2025-11-07	2,049.39	2,078.97	-20.81	35900	Rotation Down	-30	31
2025-10-31	2,046.41	2,079.28	-24.44	472300	Rotation Down	6	8
2025-10-24	2,114.07	2,080.24	-17.43	56600	Upward Expansion	66	56
2025-10-17	2,113.08	2,079.77	-14.85	25800	Upward Expansion	66	59
2025-10-10	2,112.09	2,077.95	-16.06	24400	Upward Expansion	69	52
2025-10-03	2,103.18	2,076.27	-12.45	57600	Upward Expansion	57	39
2025-09-26	2,108.13	2,074.48	-11.69	20900	Upward Expansion	68	48
2025-09-19	2,099.22	2,071.59	-11.64	8200	Upward Expansion	59	39
2025-09-12	2,089.33	2,070.43	-11.73	23500	Upward Expansion	59	43
2025-09-05	2,116.05	2,069.60	-7.25	24700	Upward Expansion	82	71
2025-08-29	2,077.45	2,067.26	-8.54	35900	Upward Expansion	61	56
2025-08-22	2,107.14	2,065.67	-7.20	13600	Upward Expansion	81	80
2025-08-15	2,094.27	2,062.41	-9.51	6500	Upward Expansion	72	69
2025-08-08	2,089.33	2,060.14	-6.57	10800	Upward Expansion	70	63
2025-08-01	2,087.35	2,057.90	-4.61	9600	Upward Expansion	71	57
2025-07-25	2,078.44	2,054.84	-6.65	7000	Upward Expansion	61	43
2025-07-18	2,071.51	2,051.22	-3.30	11300	Upward Expansion	54	38
2025-07-11	2,073.49	2,047.93	-2.59	27300	Upward Expansion	58	45
2025-07-04	2,069.53	2,044.68	-3.29	8300	Deceleration	52	41
2025-06-27	2,068.54	2,041.69	-4.11	15200	Deceleration	50	35
2025-06-20	2,070.52	2,039.12	0.32	16900	Deceleration	40	21
2025-06-13	2,069.53	2,036.26	1.82	11600	Deceleration	39	17
2025-06-06	2,064.58	2,033.66	1.92	25800	Deceleration	25	13
2025-05-30	2,039.84	2,032.18	0.19	55100	Deceleration	13	8
2025-05-23	2,053.70	2,031.16	3.09	16800	Deceleration	33	18
2025-05-16	2,060.62	2,031.26	1.89	12000	Deceleration	34	17
2025-05-09	2,069.53	2,031.66	3.10	25300	Deceleration	39	20
2025-05-02	2,062.60	2,031.91	4.73	125700	Deceleration	35	17
2025-04-25	2,042.81	2,032.17	7.14	374000	Upward Expansion	39	22
2025-04-18	2,067.43	2,033.16	11.62	38200	Upward Expansion	57	42
2025-04-11	2,058.57	2,031.39	15.11	72100	Upward Expansion	59	48
2025-04-04	2,075.31	2,029.93	15.75	53400	Upward Expansion	61	58
2025-03-28	2,099.94	2,029.21	6.87	47600	Upward Expansion	79	57
2025-03-21	2,058.57	2,027.83	3.40	13800	Rotation Up	33	26
2025-03-14	2,061.52	2,028.58	5.50	10600	Rotation Up	38	31
2025-03-07	2,049.70	2,028.98	5.53	23700	Rotation Up	25	33
2025-02-28	2,021.14	2,028.62	3.55	58100	Rotation Up	24	49
2025-02-21	2,064.48	2,027.23	1.59	13100	Rotation Up	37	61
2025-02-14	2,064.48	2,027.23	0.66	15100	Rotation Up	41	54
2025-02-07	2,045.76	2,027.49	0.80	12300	Balance	29	30
2025-01-31	2,030.00	2,028.44	-1.88	12400	Balance	-10	20
2025-01-24	2,009.32	2,029.89	-3.77	11800	Downward Expansion	-25	22
2025-01-17	2,026.06	2,031.92	0.71	8900	Downward Expansion	-25	19
2025-01-10	2,022.12	2,032.39	-1.35	17700	Downward Expansion	-39	26
2025-01-03	1,995.53	2,032.59	-4.35	3200	Downward Expansion	-61	51
2024-12-27	1,969.92	2,033.32	-6.64	37500	Downward Expansion	-68	70
2024-12-20	1,972.88	2,035.63	-2.85	23100	Downward Expansion	-67	67
2024-12-13	1,975.83	2,038.09	-4.69	11700	Downward Expansion	-68	69
2024-12-06	1,979.77	2,039.81	-3.69	23700	Downward Expansion	-68	69
2024-11-29	1,991.59	2,040.90	-1.00	70900	Downward Expansion	-62	66
2024-11-22	1,984.70	2,040.95	-1.62	16000	Balance	-64	62
2024-11-15	1,991.59	2,042.50	-2.35	13500	Balance	-34	41
2024-11-08	2,020.15	2,044.47	-3.20	24500	Balance	-12	17
2024-11-01	2,009.32	2,046.14	-0.20	514400	Balance	9	5
2024-10-25	2,056.68	2,049.57	2.38	82100	Balance	45	28
2024-10-18	2,072.36	2,050.47	0.23	40100	Balance	46	28
2024-10-11	2,077.26	2,048.35	-1.29	31200	Balance	46	25
2024-10-04	2,070.40	2,045.55	0.68	46100	Balance	33	13
2024-09-27	2,072.36	2,041.41	-2.49	28900	Balance	23	12
2024-09-20	2,014.52	2,036.07	-0.20	16300	Balance	-10	10
2024-09-13	2,014.52	2,037.18	2.81	16100	Balance	10	5
2024-09-06	2,053.74	2,033.25	5.32	18400	Upward Expansion	43	27
2024-08-30	2,058.64	2,026.94	-0.68	105600	Upward Expansion	42	22
2024-08-23	2,081.18	2,020.92	1.02	14200	Upward Expansion	39	16
2024-08-16	2,073.34	2,013.34	1.32	12500	Upward Expansion	36	16
2024-08-09	2,039.03	2,006.21	8.28	56000	Upward Expansion	29	14
2024-08-02	1,979.23	1,999.05	2.80	31600	Upward Expansion	17	9
2024-07-26	2,064.52	1,993.83	2.36	12200	Upward Expansion	53	37
2024-07-19	2,072.36	1,984.52	-3.20	13600	Upward Expansion	55	44
2024-07-12	2,074.32	1,974.73	-5.68	8700	Deceleration	56	42
2024-07-05	2,073.34	1,964.15	-5.00	16500	Deceleration	56	35
2024-06-28	2,070.40	1,953.25	-1.85	21200	Deceleration	56	29
2024-06-21	2,040.01	1,945.05	-0.61	20600	Deceleration	48	24
2024-06-14	2,028.25	1,939.97	-1.53	13300	Deceleration	45	25
2024-06-07	2,017.46	1,933.18	-1.44	43100	Deceleration	37	23
2024-05-31	2,039.03	1,925.80	0.35	392600	Deceleration	39	24
2024-05-24	2,046.87	1,918.19	0.53	39400	Deceleration	39	22
2024-05-17	2,027.27	1,908.98	-0.66	37300	Deceleration	35	19
2024-05-10	2,012.56	1,901.92	0.16	46600	Deceleration	38	23
2024-05-03	1,992.96	1,896.42	-0.78	75400	Upward Expansion	43	31
2024-04-26	2,031.19	1,892.73	1.95	495100	Upward Expansion	59	48
2024-04-19	2,050.72	1,888.45	5.40	91700	Upward Expansion	64	66
2024-04-12	2,070.23	1,880.93	-0.11	120700	Upward Expansion	66	75
2024-04-05	2,112.18	1,874.54	3.29	99600	Upward Expansion	80	82
2024-03-29	2,083.89	1,868.04	-1.60	73000	Upward Expansion	82	73
2024-03-22	2,008.77	1,860.51	-6.40	40300	Upward Expansion	71	52
2024-03-15	1,993.16	1,854.23	-2.06	43700	Upward Expansion	72	72
2024-03-08	1,946.33	1,845.10	-6.81	83900	Upward Expansion	63	67
2024-03-01	1,912.18	1,834.68	-9.09	493600	Upward Expansion	63	67
2024-02-23	2,047.79	1,826.18	-0.79	101800	Upward Expansion	93	85
2024-02-16	1,896.57	1,811.70	-6.68	41500	Upward Expansion	68	61
2024-02-09	1,864.38	1,801.81	-4.43	17500	Upward Expansion	59	58
2024-02-02	1,878.04	1,791.25	-1.81	15000	Deceleration	64	53
2024-01-26	1,853.65	1,780.42	-2.00	25800	Deceleration	55	35
2024-01-19	1,859.50	1,770.02	-2.29	21800	Deceleration	46	28
2024-01-12	1,824.38	1,759.33	-3.17	40400	Deceleration	31	15
2024-01-05	1,822.43	1,748.51	2.98	13800	Deceleration	15	11
2023-12-29	1,785.36	1,737.08	0.61	30100	Deceleration	6	17
2023-12-22	1,778.53	1,727.24	1.08	29000	Deceleration	10	15
2023-12-15	1,757.06	1,718.79	0.46	33000	Deceleration	9	7
2023-12-08	1,746.33	1,710.83	1.96	62300	Deceleration	14	14
2023-12-01	1,824.38	1,702.94	3.06	350800	Deceleration	49	32
2023-11-24	1,887.79	1,692.13	6.15	120400	Deceleration	64	36
2023-11-17	1,824.38	1,679.10	2.92	39600	Deceleration	35	20
2023-11-10	1,796.09	1,668.54	4.62	85900	Deceleration	34	22
2023-11-03	1,810.72	1,658.77	7.71	217000	Deceleration	40	25
2023-10-27	1,770.72	1,648.70	8.77	482100	Upward Expansion	44	33
2023-10-20	1,815.38	1,639.35	10.74	88200	Upward Expansion	51	47
2023-10-13	1,847.41	1,627.90	9.21	76400	Upward Expansion	63	56

Price vs TrendAbove+1.8%

Trend directionRising+0.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+5.0%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-13.7%

Relative strength directionImproving+12.8%

Price momentumPositive+0.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.06×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

66 / ±100

+15.8 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

83 /100

+19.3 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

3329 Directional State ↗ 3329 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance11

Rotation Up61

Upward Expansion97

Deceleration42

Rotation Down25

Downward Expansion22

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 13%Upward Expansion 38%Deceleration 22%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 12%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-02	New	-0.3%
Rotation Up	2026-07-31	2026-09-11	Developing	+1.6%
Balance	2026-07-17	2026-07-24	New	+0.7%
Downward Expansion	2026-06-19	2026-07-10	New	+1.4%
Rotation Down	2026-05-22	2026-06-12	New	+2.4%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-06	2026-05-15	Developing	-5.1%
Rotation Up	2026-01-16	2026-02-27	Developing	+1.3%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-01-09	Developing	+2.6%
Rotation Down	2025-10-31	2025-12-05	Developing	-0.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-11	2025-10-24	Established	+2.0%
Deceleration	2025-05-02	2025-07-04	Developing	+0.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-04-25	Developing	-2.7%
Rotation Up	2025-02-14	2025-03-21	Developing	-0.3%
Balance	2025-01-31	2025-02-07	New	+0.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing57

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution67

Stage 4 · Declining52

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3A · Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 18/100
Current Relative Strength: -13.66
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +0.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -28.4%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 91th percentile151 in cohort

Test 3329 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume4.17×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.06×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 3329 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 2,142.07rising

Slow Activity JPY 2,106.37rising

Trend Reference JPY 2,099.88+1.8% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 2,034.93+5.0% close margin

Structural low JPY 1,999.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +0.7%

Annualized volatility +7.9%

From structural high -2.3%

From structural low +6.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	31	+0.4%-6.9% to +12.1%	+54.8%	+54.8%	-1.9%	+67.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	13	-0.0%-5.4% to +21.2%	+38.5%	+38.5%	-1.9%	+23.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+0.9%-0.7% to +27.7%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-8.9%	+62.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	5	+4.3%+1.5% to +24.8%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-1.9%	+60.0%	Usable descriptive sample

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

3329 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map