Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Communication Services

META Stage Analysis

Meta Platforms Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 718.67Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 68−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 80/100directional strength

Maturity 17/100lifecycle context

Confidence 69/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +24.3%USD 578.12 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	718.67	617.66	-0.90	69670894	Upward Expansion	68	80
2026-10-02	728.08	614.13	0.15	96199765	Upward Expansion	74	79
2026-09-25	751.66	611.31	3.67	168307042	Balance	81	72
2026-09-18	665.28	607.83	-5.66	99577422	Balance	27	25
2026-09-11	647.57	607.47	-8.00	93267248	Balance	18	10
2026-09-04	616.33	607.17	-13.58	81436682	Downward Expansion	-36	18
2026-08-28	577.61	608.64	-19.43	85439751	Downward Expansion	-50	39
2026-08-21	549.51	613.23	-23.74	89012407	Downward Expansion	-61	47
2026-08-14	589.85	616.83	-21.02	64223268	Downward Expansion	-45	28
2026-08-07	592.10	617.81	-20.67	81856186	Downward Expansion	-43	20
2026-07-31	556.71	619.80	-22.36	112108495	Downward Expansion	-45	24
2026-07-24	595.19	622.89	-17.37	57383515	Downward Expansion	-28	22
2026-07-17	646.01	625.12	-12.37	93676160	Downward Expansion	-13	13
2026-07-10	669.21	625.51	-13.51	117029973	Downward Expansion	-14	10
2026-07-03	582.90	624.62	-23.81	100409309	Downward Expansion	-56	58
2026-06-26	550.25	627.58	-28.08	78308742	Downward Expansion	-69	66
2026-06-19	577.22	630.79	-28.65	78300617	Downward Expansion	-58	48
2026-06-12	566.48	631.30	-28.76	85529602	Downward Expansion	-64	48
2026-06-05	592.48	632.68	-24.44	121971683	Downward Expansion	-55	31
2026-05-29	631.95	633.61	-23.66	71956675	Downward Expansion	-33	19
2026-05-22	609.72	634.10	-24.72	61904119	Downward Expansion	-48	28
2026-05-15	613.69	638.32	-23.81	65850315	Downward Expansion	-34	14
2026-05-08	609.09	641.71	-25.08	79154998	Downward Expansion	-31	22
2026-05-01	608.21	644.85	-21.55	116528453	Downward Expansion	-29	25
2026-04-24	674.43	648.20	-12.13	55424914	Downward Expansion	-12	16
2026-04-17	687.94	650.45	-8.61	68137779	Downward Expansion	-20	16
2026-04-10	629.30	653.38	-11.33	83440888	Downward Expansion	-59	56
2026-04-03	573.95	657.51	-15.76	92820150	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2026-03-27	525.26	663.38	-20.12	102875873	Downward Expansion	-84	77
2026-03-20	593.14	670.42	-13.13	71672502	Balance	-70	59
2026-03-13	612.65	675.73	-12.35	62901276	Balance	-62	43
2026-03-06	643.75	681.39	-9.18	59390656	Balance	-38	23
2026-02-27	647.07	685.50	-10.14	56413026	Balance	-36	20
2026-02-20	654.53	688.85	-9.69	51543145	Balance	-19	12
2026-02-13	638.67	690.71	-11.19	66913634	Balance	-26	16
2026-02-06	660.32	692.82	-9.80	80051287	Balance	-17	11
2026-01-30	715.27	694.65	-4.64	138783173	Downward Expansion	1	5
2026-01-23	657.63	694.70	-12.68	73727846	Downward Expansion	-47	28
2026-01-16	619.18	697.15	-17.81	78444041	Downward Expansion	-61	35
2026-01-09	651.94	699.19	-14.45	59691089	Downward Expansion	-36	22
2026-01-02	649.29	700.13	-13.16	39360836	Downward Expansion	-37	23
2025-12-26	662.15	701.65	-13.11	36907557	Downward Expansion	-37	22
2025-12-19	657.64	701.07	-12.75	115694118	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2025-12-12	642.60	699.97	-14.36	69116547	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2025-12-05	671.72	699.81	-12.34	86887579	Rotation Down	-62	60
2025-11-28	646.31	697.09	-14.96	75010589	Rotation Down	-37	70
2025-11-21	592.75	695.37	-18.25	108402329	Rotation Down	-53	80
2025-11-14	607.92	693.78	-18.88	98738450	Rotation Down	-54	72
2025-11-07	620.14	690.17	-17.52	134018637	Deceleration	-46	60
2025-10-31	646.71	687.55	-16.79	195726753	Deceleration	-22	28
2025-10-24	736.49	682.75	-3.61	44289205	Deceleration	12	17
2025-10-17	715.10	677.35	-4.31	49577770	Deceleration	12	18
2025-10-10	703.52	673.30	-3.53	74205500	Deceleration	23	16
2025-10-03	708.76	670.03	-5.02	73462727	Deceleration	37	26
2025-09-26	741.87	667.16	0.55	51695168	Upward Expansion	46	38
2025-09-19	775.88	664.59	4.82	66368903	Upward Expansion	68	48
2025-09-12	753.16	661.41	4.16	52736959	Upward Expansion	59	44
2025-09-05	750.03	660.74	5.94	38103871	Upward Expansion	60	52
2025-08-29	736.33	659.44	5.34	39316894	Upward Expansion	62	62
2025-08-22	752.37	657.76	7.67	60187591	Upward Expansion	64	76
2025-08-15	782.71	654.16	11.36	52495033	Upward Expansion	81	87
2025-08-08	766.83	648.39	10.05	53516377	Upward Expansion	79	70
2025-08-01	747.60	643.26	11.63	106919869	Upward Expansion	77	66
2025-07-25	710.39	638.40	4.17	46289604	Upward Expansion	63	66
2025-07-18	702.02	634.62	4.29	58119553	Upward Expansion	65	73
2025-07-11	715.21	630.63	8.04	49441865	Upward Expansion	69	77
2025-07-04	716.70	627.35	8.36	46771746	Upward Expansion	71	75
2025-06-27	731.27	624.14	12.57	66964199	Rotation Up	80	77
2025-06-20	680.16	618.80	9.55	56393293	Rotation Up	39	58
2025-06-13	680.17	614.66	10.00	49803046	Rotation Up	40	57
2025-06-06	694.95	610.36	12.20	66231516	Balance	47	47
2025-05-30	644.93	606.73	6.73	43675628	Balance	12	24
2025-05-23	624.58	604.03	5.73	44482926	Balance	3	18
2025-05-16	637.81	602.21	5.75	85744892	Deceleration	-16	17
2025-05-09	590.15	600.06	4.89	62699441	Deceleration	-42	26
2025-05-02	594.66	599.94	5.74	112156295	Rotation Down	-30	30
2025-04-25	545.10	599.87	0.57	82748232	Rotation Down	-36	57
2025-04-18	499.50	600.51	-1.73	63018170	Rotation Down	-50	67
2025-04-11	541.42	602.46	4.04	149672743	Rotation Down	-30	53
2025-04-04	502.73	601.79	3.90	120799303	Deceleration	-46	52
2025-03-28	574.46	601.60	7.00	71755052	Deceleration	-29	35
2025-03-21	593.89	599.71	8.28	105661484	Deceleration	7	23
2025-03-14	605.20	597.40	10.80	83389252	Upward Expansion	23	21
2025-03-07	622.65	594.69	11.46	80931122	Upward Expansion	47	37
2025-02-28	664.98	591.08	15.43	80779542	Upward Expansion	64	66
2025-02-21	680.26	585.08	14.41	67721946	Upward Expansion	67	84
2025-02-14	733.12	577.83	20.92	67389106	Upward Expansion	88	94
2025-02-07	711.08	569.18	21.25	82543532	Upward Expansion	88	88
2025-01-31	685.86	562.00	17.68	119381675	Upward Expansion	85	75
2025-01-24	644.37	557.02	9.43	52923519	Upward Expansion	75	51
2025-01-17	609.82	552.23	5.65	65543274	Upward Expansion	60	41
2025-01-10	612.89	548.29	9.73	55974643	Upward Expansion	64	42
2025-01-03	601.72	544.56	5.91	37164437	Upward Expansion	60	45
2024-12-27	596.92	540.81	4.77	29107274	Upward Expansion	59	59
2024-12-20	582.43	536.35	3.68	104806419	Upward Expansion	59	56
2024-12-13	616.87	532.76	7.85	49130163	Upward Expansion	75	60
2024-12-06	620.27	527.81	9.94	67143256	Deceleration	77	46
2024-11-29	571.10	522.89	5.17	38287127	Deceleration	43	28
2024-11-22	556.00	518.80	3.73	53985252	Deceleration	40	27
2024-11-15	550.97	514.94	5.15	66020965	Upward Expansion	44	33
2024-11-08	586.03	512.48	8.50	64214816	Upward Expansion	68	50
2024-11-01	563.98	509.89	10.69	92950778	Upward Expansion	60	54
2024-10-25	570.03	508.53	10.71	49487286	Upward Expansion	63	74
2024-10-18	573.23	505.59	12.13	45480023	Upward Expansion	65	78
2024-10-11	586.64	503.35	15.64	45728782	Upward Expansion	73	81
2024-10-04	592.60	499.81	18.99	60371898	Upward Expansion	79	78
2024-09-27	564.18	496.79	14.18	66166129	Upward Expansion	70	57
2024-09-20	558.20	494.60	14.84	69255730	Upward Expansion	70	46
2024-09-13	521.19	492.01	9.50	54044146	Upward Expansion	55	38
2024-09-06	497.00	490.28	11.24	44100065	Upward Expansion	51	44
2024-08-30	517.90	489.18	9.86	42447764	Upward Expansion	53	53
2024-08-23	524.54	487.61	11.06	58279624	Balance	56	48
2024-08-16	523.97	483.15	12.78	63214275	Balance	56	26
2024-08-09	514.38	478.36	17.49	92309940	Balance	40	19
2024-08-02	484.95	473.59	11.89	114143586	Balance	24	18
2024-07-26	462.65	469.06	3.98	71591230	Upward Expansion	17	10
2024-07-19	473.67	465.33	4.02	89108167	Upward Expansion	43	28
2024-07-12	495.61	461.22	4.98	70878656	Upward Expansion	57	48
2024-07-05	536.38	455.77	13.75	45427337	Upward Expansion	77	68
2024-06-28	500.92	448.89	10.65	60493720	Upward Expansion	59	44
2024-06-21	491.54	442.92	9.11	59258940	Deceleration	43	31
2024-06-14	500.86	437.72	11.94	53091829	Deceleration	49	32
2024-06-07	489.25	432.09	13.84	54106676	Deceleration	41	24
2024-05-31	463.32	426.65	11.46	47057019	Deceleration	19	14
2024-05-24	474.62	421.60	12.98	57338047	Deceleration	18	13
2024-05-17	468.36	415.59	13.70	65663289	Deceleration	17	20
2024-05-10	472.61	410.18	18.02	60373022	Deceleration	29	25
2024-05-03	448.56	404.82	14.56	91987468	Deceleration	33	25
2024-04-26	439.95	400.29	14.29	185705182	Upward Expansion	42	32
2024-04-19	477.45	395.55	29.69	75578595	Upward Expansion	60	51
2024-04-12	508.05	389.52	31.94	57542681	Upward Expansion	67	62
2024-04-05	523.37	382.51	36.63	77389395	Upward Expansion	79	67
2024-03-29	481.92	374.91	26.23	44788439	Upward Expansion	65	64
2024-03-22	505.74	368.64	33.04	52202585	Upward Expansion	76	70
2024-03-15	480.46	361.21	31.59	89007219	Upward Expansion	68	68
2024-03-08	502.14	354.56	37.40	76590861	Upward Expansion	80	73
2024-03-01	498.52	347.79	36.03	69243423	Upward Expansion	84	93
2024-02-23	480.39	341.44	35.32	70992664	Upward Expansion	82	93
2024-02-16	469.26	336.18	35.75	104693912	Upward Expansion	85	95
2024-02-09	464.09	330.27	33.93	122781818	Upward Expansion	93	97
2024-02-02	470.91	325.00	40.08	171972674	Upward Expansion	99	99
2024-01-26	390.76	318.91	19.09	77135380	Upward Expansion	87	94
2024-01-19	380.16	315.37	17.79	66056802	Upward Expansion	85	89
2024-01-12	371.27	312.24	19.53	85986730	Upward Expansion	85	86
2024-01-05	348.93	309.15	17.21	60512753	Upward Expansion	68	70
2023-12-29	350.92	306.27	15.38	49392831	Upward Expansion	75	66
2023-12-22	350.36	303.58	16.80	80087432	Upward Expansion	77	53
2023-12-15	332.04	300.57	12.98	112025431	Upward Expansion	63	49
2023-12-08	329.89	297.61	17.22	77246129	Upward Expansion	63	64
2023-12-01	322.03	294.35	16.42	82768958	Upward Expansion	62	69
2023-11-24	335.33	291.30	22.71	45186657	Upward Expansion	74	76
2023-11-17	332.16	288.07	24.25	82071316	Upward Expansion	73	57
2023-11-10	325.95	284.03	26.03	75773009	Upward Expansion	69	41
2023-11-03	311.90	280.49	25.76	106699936	Upward Expansion	58	34
2023-10-27	294.18	277.23	28.16	175795144	Upward Expansion	52	34
2023-10-20	306.00	274.43	31.72	90796351	Upward Expansion	57	42

Price vs TrendAbove+16.4%

Trend directionFalling-0.3%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+24.3%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-0.9%

Relative strength directionImproving+12.6%

Price momentumPositive+14.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.05×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

68 / ±100

+50.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

80 /100

+69.8 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

META Directional State ↗ META Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance17

Rotation Up82

Upward Expansion96

Deceleration39

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion18

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 11%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 47%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 21%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-10-02	2026-10-09	New	-1.3%
Balance	2026-09-11	2026-09-25	New	+16.1%
Downward Expansion	2026-03-27	2026-09-04	Established	+17.3%
Balance	2026-02-06	2026-03-20	Developing	-10.2%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-01-30	Developing	+11.3%
Rotation Down	2025-11-14	2025-12-05	New	+10.5%
Deceleration	2025-10-03	2025-11-07	Developing	-12.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-04	2025-09-26	Established	+3.5%
Rotation Up	2025-06-13	2025-06-27	New	+7.5%
Balance	2025-05-23	2025-06-06	New	+11.3%
Deceleration	2025-05-09	2025-05-16	New	+8.1%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-05-02	New	+9.8%
Deceleration	2025-03-21	2025-04-04	New	-15.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-03-14	Established	-1.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing41

Stage 2 · Advancing73

Stage 3 · Distribution67

Stage 4 · Declining27

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 47/100
Current Relative Strength: -0.90
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +14.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -8.7%
Communication Services regime cohort: 76th percentile21 in cohort

Test META trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.75×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.05×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore META Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 715.92rising

Slow Activity USD 629.02rising

Trend Reference USD 617.66+16.4% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 578.12+24.3% close margin

Structural low USD 524.49shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.9%

Annualized volatility +44.3%

From structural high -7.8%

From structural low +38.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	32	+3.6%-19.3% to +23.4%	+62.5%	+62.5%	+1.4%	+78.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+9.1%-5.8% to +47.6%	+70.0%	+70.0%	+4.8%	+60.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+9.4%-9.4% to +65.9%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+6.1%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+13.7%-51.2% to +182.2%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-3.9%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

META Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map